Forked-Unemployment — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

32 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$120

$120 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 92% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (7)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 03:34
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 15:04
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 18:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 15:04
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 18:54
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 04:20
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	$-5	05-04 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 03:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 03:24
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:04
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 04:40
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 18:54
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:25
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	$-5	05-05 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 18:54
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-05 04:25
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-05 03:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 17:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-05 04:24
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$3	4	+4	Up	+$1	05-05 02:35
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	05-05 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-05 02:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-05 02:45
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 00:40
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 02:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 00:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 01:55
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-05 02:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 01:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:54:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x80b472…
05-05 18:54:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb7679…
05-05 18:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa25009…
05-05 18:14:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01c55c…
05-05 17:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0ae922…
05-05 15:04:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8c2e45…
05-05 15:04:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc80a9…
05-05 04:40:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x327efd…
05-05 04:25:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd37a4c…
05-05 04:24:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb5bb57…
05-05 04:20:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeb0740…
05-05 03:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfabb19…
05-05 03:34:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3f710c…
05-05 03:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f2f38…
05-05 03:24:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa74391…
05-05 03:24:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xff4ab5…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcd6970…
05-05 02:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x090eed…
05-05 02:45:02	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2bb570…
05-05 02:44:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1ed245…
05-05 02:35:00	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xa5a0e4…
05-05 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6c7aef…
05-05 02:20:02	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc41606…
05-05 02:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe7ec1f…
05-05 01:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5aad3a…
05-05 01:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc56ab4…
05-05 00:45:08	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x91f517…
05-05 00:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xce6355…
05-05 00:40:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8eb252…
05-04 23:39:20	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6f6557…
05-04 23:25:02	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6f552a…
05-04 23:04:18	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x27448c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	12	$2.09K	84	05-05 18:54
Thirsty-Adjustment 0x2f32…ada6	10	$727	116	05-05 17:55
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	9	$622	30	05-05 18:54
Abandoned-Saxophone 0x32a2…505c	7	$5.92K	7	05-05 04:40
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	6	$3.52K	6	05-05 18:54
Shocked-Acetate 0x2a9c…c8cf	4	$3.43K	4	05-05 03:20
Great-Titanium 0x1e21…dbe4	3	$595	5	05-05 17:54