Worthwhile-Incubation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$43

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-25 15:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 9% $-22

Politics

25% — —

Other

8% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$5	500	+500	Up	$-5	05-10 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$5	500	+500	Down	$-5	05-13 21:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-25 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$2	200	+200	Up	$-2	05-11 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$2	200	+200	Up	$-2	05-12 16:15
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$2	9	+9	open	—	05-13 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	$-2	05-11 18:44
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-21 11:02
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$2	9	+9	open	—	05-11 15:46
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$2	31	+31	Up	$-2	05-10 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$2	21	+21	open	—	05-23 22:29
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-13 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-12 22:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	05-23 22:26
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-21 11:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 12?	1	$1	790	+790	Yes	$-1	05-11 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$1	100	+100	Down	$-1	05-10 22:39
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	1	$1	38	+38	Yes	$-1	05-11 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$1	8	+8	open	—	05-14 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$1	14	+14	Down	$-1	05-10 22:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 15:50:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7c3f7e…
05-23 22:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfd98cf…
05-23 22:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf51afc…
05-23 22:26:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x03b619…
05-21 11:09:50	LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x8dd853…
05-21 11:02:46	Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd96642…
05-14 21:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xea5874…
05-13 21:12:15	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x1c3852…
05-13 21:11:14	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x45d93c…
05-13 21:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xcecba2…
05-12 22:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2a769a…
05-12 16:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xe27c2c…
05-11 18:52:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 12?	No	BUY	790	0¢	$1	0x88699c…
05-11 18:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0f11db…
05-11 15:46:20	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x55b3ac…
05-11 15:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x379289…
05-11 00:02:15	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xd1d221…
05-10 22:48:57	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x5cdf32…
05-10 22:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x60c22c…
05-10 22:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9d6eaa…
05-10 22:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0xeaa11a…
05-10 22:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	362	1¢	$4	0x55634a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	15	$21.8K	442	05-29 07:45
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	11	$8.30K	967	05-23 22:29
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	11	$4.90K	537	05-23 22:29
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	11	$4.59K	392	05-23 22:28
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	11	$2.60K	325	05-23 22:29
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	11	$2.10K	447	05-23 22:29
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	11	$1.19K	131	05-23 22:29
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	10	$11.7K	1,146	05-23 22:29