Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$188

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-05

last 10-20 17:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

86% 10% -$16

Politics

8% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% 0% -$3

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$29	39	0	+39	Argentina	+$9	07-12 00:06
cs2 atreid sawy 2026 07 05	2	$19	26	0	+26	SAW Youngsters	-$19	07-05 13:18
cs2 eye faze 2026 07 05	2	$19	13	13	+0	FaZe	$0	07-05 13:14
Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	2	$12	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	10-18 01:12
Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	4	$11	40	40	+0	No	-$1	10-20 03:45
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?	2	$11	42	42	+0	No	$0	10-18 09:23
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$10	50	50	+0	No	-$4	10-18 01:01
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	4	$8	34	34	+0	open	—	10-18 01:46
Will Shengshu have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	4	$8	36	36	+0	open	—	10-20 11:49
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?	2	$7	20	20	+0	open	—	10-17 14:24
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?	3	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	10-17 06:35
Will Nebraska have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	2	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	10-17 00:51
will donald trump be the first of these people impeached by december 31 2027	2	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	10-17 15:29
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	2	$6	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-20 10:10
Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?	3	$5	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 05:10
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	2	$5	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 17:27
Will Xavi Hernandez attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	2	$5	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-20 14:06
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 45% or more?	2	$5	21	21	+0	open	—	10-18 16:00
Will Jonathan Aranda lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	2	$3	24	24	+0	No	-$3	10-18 16:00
Will Microsoft AI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	10-20 09:31
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	10-18 09:10
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?	2	$1	5	5	+0	open	—	10-19 00:37
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	2	$1	6	6	+0	open	—	10-18 02:49
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$0	2	2	+0	open	—	10-17 10:35
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by 6%-10%?	2	$0	0	0	+0	No	$0	10-17 00:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 17:27:21	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x19edd2…
10-20 16:26:41	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x498d40…
10-20 14:06:05	Will Xavi Hernandez attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x557b94…
10-20 14:06:00	Will Xavi Hernandez attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x1be912…
10-20 11:49:24	Will Shengshu have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x1b64c9…
10-20 11:49:21	Will Shengshu have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x8f7b7f…
10-20 11:29:14	Will Shengshu have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x0a3ea8…
10-20 11:28:14	Will Shengshu have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xd0decc…
10-20 10:10:36	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x65dddd…
10-20 10:10:33	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x0790b0…
10-20 09:31:29	Will Microsoft AI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x4dfad6…
10-20 09:31:24	Will Microsoft AI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xfe8ab5…
10-20 05:10:18	Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xf3aad2…
10-20 05:10:14	Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x117646…
10-20 05:10:14	Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x04afea…
10-20 03:45:24	Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xdcffdc…
10-20 03:45:23	Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xbe9468…
10-19 00:37:02	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x8fcea4…
10-19 00:36:59	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xdf8a5f…
10-18 16:00:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 45% or more?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x808b3b…
10-18 16:00:06	Will Jonathan Aranda lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x79fdf2…
10-18 15:54:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 45% or more?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xf2c50a…
10-18 15:54:27	Will Jonathan Aranda lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Yes	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x5423ac…
10-18 09:23:08	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	13¢	$5	0x2b2d9d…
10-18 09:22:30	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	13¢	$5	0x7a3dfb…
10-18 09:10:03	Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc6e988…
10-18 09:09:54	Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfd3c4a…
10-18 02:49:02	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xe34dfb…
10-18 02:48:59	Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xac95cc…
10-18 01:46:51	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0x66cef2…
10-18 01:46:27	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x59ff46…
10-18 01:46:27	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x42e0cf…
10-18 01:46:00	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf30bbb…
10-18 01:12:21	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x4eff57…
10-18 01:11:51	Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x44402b…
10-18 01:01:23	Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x3ee154…
10-18 01:01:14	Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x3efdc1…
10-17 15:29:14	will donald trump be the first of these people impeached by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xe0038d…
10-17 15:29:03	will donald trump be the first of these people impeached by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xb969f7…
10-17 14:24:17	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x842cb6…
10-17 14:22:12	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xbc52e4…
10-17 10:35:48	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xe9371c…
10-17 08:32:24	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xaa639a…
10-17 06:35:48	Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x5d76f9…
10-17 05:32:20	Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xf3333a…
10-17 02:00:39	Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x70a736…
10-17 00:51:32	Will Nebraska have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xe92168…
10-17 00:48:56	will sergio ramos attend the 2026 ballon dor ceremony	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x3a5783…
10-17 00:48:02	Will Nebraska have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd49269…
10-17 00:47:59	will sergio ramos attend the 2026 ballon dor ceremony	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x63fce4…
10-17 00:36:05	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by 6%-10%?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x7b1447…
10-17 00:35:39	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by 6%-10%?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x0926c4…
07-12 00:06:34	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	39	76¢	$29	0x08b88a…
07-05 13:18:14	cs2 atreid sawy 2026 07 05	Atreides	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x12bcaa…
07-05 13:14:58	cs2 eye faze 2026 07 05	FaZe	SELL	13	74¢	$9	0x546b28…
07-05 13:13:59	cs2 eye faze 2026 07 05	FaZe	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x6dc5a0…
07-05 12:57:40	cs2 atreid sawy 2026 07 05	Atreides	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xde5f5e…