Elderly-Flower — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

47 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$504 lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 11-03 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

41% 29% -$46

Crypto

34% 83% +$3

Politics

21% 100% +$30

Sports

4% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?	Yes		+17	$3	12¢	$2	-$1	10-29 16:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	5	$80	90	82	+8	Yes	+$30	01-15 20:24
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	1	$63	63	0	+63	Yes	+$0	01-23 07:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 09:30 UTC	1	$32	32	0	+32	Up	+$0	02-01 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 08:45 UTC	1	$32	32	0	+32	Down	+$0	02-01 08:57
ethereum above 2500 on january 31	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	01-31 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 06:30 UTC	3	$24	25	0	+25	Up	+$1	01-22 06:42
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$22	37	0	+37	Yes	+$14	10-26 16:16
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$20	68	0	+68	No	-$20	10-15 07:49
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	01-28 08:08
bitcoin up or down february 1 4am et	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	02-01 09:57
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	1	$16	27	0	+27	Yes	-$16	11-03 16:34
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$15	39	0	+39	No	-$15	05-30 15:16
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	1	$15	27	0	+27	Yes	-$15	11-03 16:31
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$14	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	02-03 06:14
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	01-25 00:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 06:45 UTC	2	$8	12	0	+12	Up	+$4	01-22 06:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 07:15 UTC	2	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	01-22 07:28
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-31?	1	$7	58	0	+58	No	-$7	10-29 16:42
Will FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	1	$7	44	0	+44	Yes	+$37	10-29 16:45
lol wb jdg 2026 01 24 game1	1	$7	7	0	+7	Weibo Gaming	+$0	01-24 12:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 07:00 UTC	1	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	01-22 07:12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	1	$6	27	0	+27	Yes	-$6	11-03 16:38
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 int2	1	$4	6	0	+6	No	-$4	02-24 17:01
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$4	9	5	+4	Yes	+$0	01-29 04:31
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	1	$4	27	0	+27	No	-$4	10-19 16:31
Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?	1	$3	17	0	+17	open	—	10-29 16:57
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?	1	$3	30	0	+30	No	-$3	05-30 15:16
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?	1	$3	27	0	+27	No	-$3	05-30 15:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 07:00 UTC	2	$2	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	01-31 07:10
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$2	27	0	+27	Yes	-$2	10-29 16:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:38:13	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	27	24¢	$6	0xb4f133…
11-03 16:34:40	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	27	58¢	$16	0xeb3aac…
11-03 16:31:46	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x4b30fd…
10-29 16:57:50	Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x6f58d7…
10-29 16:54:23	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0xaba1f0…
10-29 16:45:32	Will FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0xb69ac7…
10-29 16:42:16	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0xd3917b…
10-26 16:16:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	37	61¢	$22	0x5fa2ac…
10-19 16:31:38	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	16¢	$4	0xecf15e…
10-15 07:49:32	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	68	30¢	$20	0xd554a9…
05-30 15:16:45	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xfae794…
05-30 15:16:22	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x22c9b8…
05-30 15:15:57	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xceccee…
02-24 17:01:58	ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 int2	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0xb7b099…
02-03 06:14:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x6bc58a…
02-01 09:58:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb7a5e5…
02-01 09:57:26	bitcoin up or down february 1 4am et	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x735fd4…
02-01 09:43:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x486ad3…
02-01 08:57:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x398960…
01-31 16:59:54	ethereum above 2500 on january 31	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x7291dc…
01-31 07:38:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6f635a…
01-31 07:32:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x927aee…
01-31 07:10:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x197b97…
01-31 07:09:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2cb53a…
01-30 09:59:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x9d496e…
01-29 04:31:28	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xe8f913…
01-28 08:17:03	ucl bvb int 2026 01 28 bvb	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x73cce8…
01-28 08:08:07	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x936cdd…
01-25 08:50:06	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf45012…
01-25 00:29:06	us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x858152…
01-24 15:18:52	us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x34b9d0…
01-24 13:28:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf6522e…
01-24 12:52:58	lol wb jdg 2026 01 24 game1	Weibo Gaming	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x0c862e…
01-23 07:05:52	will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x8bb112…
01-22 07:28:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc8b26e…
01-22 07:27:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x72b651…
01-22 07:12:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x8931ec…
01-22 06:58:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xaf7d86…
01-22 06:56:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4cac32…
01-22 06:42:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xef6db1…
01-22 06:42:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x701957…
01-22 06:41:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xad52f6…
01-15 20:24:12	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	SELL	70	72¢	$50	0xa48ef0…
01-15 19:21:32	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0x0c055c…
01-15 09:36:04	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x1b6c0a…
01-15 09:04:44	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x54835c…
01-15 08:32:34	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x1b21ab…