Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$88

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$192

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-22 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Sports

53% 83% +$89

Politics

31% — —

Other

12% 90% -$1

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-2,796	-$20	0¢	$-4	+$15	05-09 02:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl lak nyr 2026 03 16	1	$95	179	0	+179	Kings	+$84	03-16 14:51
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	26	$40	2,666	2,666	+0	open	—	05-24 11:38
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$20	0	2,796	-2,796	open	—	05-09 02:38
nhl ott det 2026 03 24	1	$2	4	0	+4	Senators	+$2	03-24 06:07
nba orl atl 2026 03 16	1	$2	4	0	+4	Hawks	-$2	03-16 11:11
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$2	2	0	+2	England	-$2	07-17 11:55
nba lal det 2026 03 23	1	$1	3	0	+3	Pistons	+$2	03-23 06:40
nba hou min 2026 03 25	1	$1	3	0	+3	Timberwolves	+$1	03-25 10:48
nba phi sac 2026 03 19	1	$1	2	0	+2	76ers	+$1	03-19 03:13
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Over	-$1	07-07 11:52
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Under	+$1	07-07 11:53
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 220 239	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-31 18:33
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	10-22 17:54
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-05 12:07
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:20
atp glinka ymer 2026 08 19	1	$1	2	0	+2	Daniil Glinka	+$1	08-19 14:19
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:20
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:17
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:20
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:18
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-07 16:18
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-07 16:17
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:12
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:19
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-07 16:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:17
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 17:54:08	Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x953e7d…
09-05 12:07:18	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe14e7e…
08-19 14:19:00	atp glinka ymer 2026 08 19	Daniil Glinka	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x78a4c1…
07-17 11:55:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x223187…
07-07 11:53:02	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x76d3eb…
07-07 11:52:20	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x49265c…
06-07 16:20:54	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x10798b…
06-07 16:20:34	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb4c48…
06-07 16:20:27	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x223cc4…
06-07 16:20:21	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1aaaf2…
06-07 16:20:13	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xade2bb…
06-07 16:20:07	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x10b116…
06-07 16:19:58	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c0b09…
06-07 16:19:51	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda9865…
06-07 16:19:42	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0315b0…
06-07 16:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x154200…
06-07 16:18:49	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdfc613…
06-07 16:18:42	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d6a2b…
06-07 16:18:34	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72f15f…
06-07 16:18:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc46501…
06-07 16:18:15	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x81673b…
06-07 16:18:07	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x481f06…
06-07 16:17:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37f1dd…
06-07 16:17:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x08e564…
06-07 16:17:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd21a45…
06-07 16:17:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x628e98…
06-07 16:12:16	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4c3b2…
06-07 16:12:07	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce1d4c…
05-24 11:38:00	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	127	1¢	$1	0x51450b…
05-24 11:33:29	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xb6ae96…
05-24 11:29:22	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xe166ab…
05-24 11:27:58	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	412	1¢	$3	0x8ffeab…
05-24 11:25:41	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xfb3d2e…
05-24 11:22:31	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xe48a9f…
05-24 11:13:42	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xd92d9c…
05-24 11:11:38	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe46d29…
05-24 11:10:09	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x5c1bdb…
05-24 11:08:57	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0x0e96d8…
05-24 11:08:43	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x6f113c…
05-24 11:05:29	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	279	1¢	$2	0x14565a…
05-24 10:51:39	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x3be030…
05-24 10:45:02	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4d5bfd…
05-24 10:41:55	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	239	1¢	$2	0x02ffa1…
05-24 10:39:36	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xf13a90…
05-24 10:38:58	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x6d8e3e…
05-24 10:35:37	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x0286ab…
05-24 10:29:40	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xcafa89…
05-24 10:25:57	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x98d7c2…
05-24 10:16:48	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x2701b2…
05-24 10:08:24	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x113d0e…
05-24 10:07:09	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe7852d…
05-24 09:57:45	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,015	1¢	$8	0x8704aa…
05-24 09:53:52	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	452	1¢	$4	0x4cf768…
05-10 00:02:03	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,666	1¢	$19	0xf0b623…
05-09 02:38:01	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,796	1¢	$20	0xc587ec…
03-25 10:48:51	nba hou min 2026 03 25	Timberwolves	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x0edb01…
03-24 06:07:13	nhl ott det 2026 03 24	Senators	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7bb114…
03-23 06:40:13	nba lal det 2026 03 23	Pistons	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xb81a94…
03-19 03:13:27	nba phi sac 2026 03 19	76ers	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6f6d2f…
03-16 14:51:29	nhl lak nyr 2026 03 16	Kings	BUY	179	53¢	$95	0xfc8751…
03-16 11:11:49	nba orl atl 2026 03 16	Magic	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x27f3be…
01-31 18:33:02	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 220 239	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6874d8…