Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$300

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-17 10:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

99% 75% -$302

Other

1% 88% +$2

Crypto

0% 80% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No		+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	05-31 13:29
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+2	$2	97¢	$2	+$0	06-21 14:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 10:43:42	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in october 2026 from october 16	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd93803…
10-07 08:54:30	AWS service disrupted by September 30?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb32c09…
10-07 08:53:54	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x3b0553…
09-27 06:20:11	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x469a0e…
09-17 12:25:51	googl up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xfcd469…
09-07 09:30:49	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc1b5bf…
08-22 11:27:48	Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 29?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa9aed5…
08-12 11:32:01	itf vasiles back 2026 08 12	Dayeon Back	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x1c8685…
08-05 10:33:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9d122c…
07-29 10:31:02	wta quevedo escorih 2026 07 29	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe68439…
07-22 10:58:31	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xb43b83…
07-22 10:46:22	Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x29a53a…
07-15 12:27:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xbbc6a3…
07-15 12:26:46	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x667afe…
07-08 10:54:26	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x34930f…
06-30 15:30:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x70c5c6…
06-21 14:50:53	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd42fa3…
06-13 16:10:19	Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x355f76…
06-06 15:33:36	will tim cook say developer during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc23500…
05-31 13:29:26	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x129e2b…
05-24 14:24:13	Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3846ff…
05-17 14:05:19	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x6e807e…
05-10 02:33:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7a7527…
05-03 00:56:46	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $380 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x426976…
04-17 16:22:16	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x8b7c3f…
04-10 15:56:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xcbc933…
03-27 15:27:17	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x539b79…
03-21 09:05:17	dota2 ess yg 2026 03 21	Yangon Galacticos	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x8b122b…
03-14 11:20:57	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xbaa523…
03-14 00:34:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	3,140	58¢	$1,821	0x5dd2a0…
03-14 00:33:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1,600	60¢	$960	0xc6cdd4…
03-14 00:14:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	112	63¢	$71	0xada3cb…
03-13 20:40:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	4,852	65¢	$3,154	0xb28525…
03-07 10:53:03	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x4230b3…
02-28 11:34:29	will apple announce the iphone 17e by march 15	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x02b135…
02-21 08:33:06	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd28f54…
02-13 14:47:21	another 7pt0 or above earthquake by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x7eb571…
02-06 15:20:33	another 7pt0 or above earthquake by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x91cbe6…
01-26 15:38:07	ethereum up or down on january 26	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xa70d62…
01-17 09:22:56	us confirms havana syndromecausing device by march 31	No	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0xaa946b…
01-07 12:05:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x213286…
01-02 10:21:27	brazil unemployment below 6pt3 for q4 2025	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4bc781…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$6.0K	4,852	4,852	+0	No	-$302	03-14 00:34
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by march 31 2026	2	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	02-13 14:47
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	-$1	03-14 11:20
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	10-07 08:53
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	-$1	07-15 12:26
us confirms havana syndromecausing device by march 31	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$0	01-17 09:22
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	09-07 09:30
AWS service disrupted by September 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-07 08:54
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	02-21 08:33
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	04-10 15:56
will apple announce the iphone 17e by march 15	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	02-28 11:34
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	07-22 10:46
Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 29?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	08-22 11:27
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $380 on May 4?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-03 00:56
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	03-27 15:27
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-05 10:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	01-07 12:05
dota2 ess yg 2026 03 21	1	$2	2	0	+2	Team Essence	-$2	03-21 09:05
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-31 13:29
googl up or down on september 17 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	09-17 12:25
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-21 14:50
itf vasiles back 2026 08 12	1	$2	2	0	+2	Dayeon Back	+$0	08-12 11:32
will tim cook say developer during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	06-06 15:33
ethereum up or down on january 26	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	01-26 15:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-10 02:33
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-17 14:05
wta quevedo escorih 2026 07 29	1	$2	2	0	+2	Kaitlin Quevedo	+$0	07-29 10:31
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in october 2026 from october 16	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	10-17 10:43
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	-$2	04-17 16:22
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-15 12:27