Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$164

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

50.2%

Resolved

318

Trades

1,085

lifetime

Volume

$3.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$44

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 07-21 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

39% 47% -$76

Politics

36% 73% -$18

Sports

22% 36% -$69

Crypto

2% 50% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	-27	-$21	96¢	$-26	-$5	06-19 02:07
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	+11	$9	92¢	$10	+$1	06-04 18:27
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+6	$3	88¢	$5	+$2	05-05 10:53
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+4	$3	86¢	$3	+$0	07-13 14:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	14	$77	79	79	+0	No	+$1	04-19 02:21
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	32	$73	185	185	+0	No	$0	04-09 16:32
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	14	$73	43	43	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 08:18
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	34	$54	190	190	+0	No	$0	04-09 11:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	14	$54	190	50	+140	No	-$12	05-05 23:13
nhl min bos 2026 03 28	10	$51	42	42	+0	Bruins	+$11	03-28 22:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$50	39	39	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 11:49
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	8	$45	100	66	+33	No	-$1	03-25 17:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$40	25	25	+0	No	-$2	04-14 07:31
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	5	$37	29	29	+0	Yes	-$3	03-24 03:49
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	6	$35	24	24	+0	No	+$5	07-12 18:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$33	21	21	+0	Yes	+$3	03-30 23:20
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	8	$32	19	19	+0	No	+$2	03-28 00:34
bkfibaqas chi chi2 2026 07 06	6	$32	19	19	+0	China	+$2	07-06 06:18
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	5	$31	35	35	+0	Yes	+$1	03-26 10:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$31	47	47	+0	No	+$1	05-23 08:32
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?	4	$31	18	18	+0	No	+$1	03-28 00:32
highest temperature in moscow on april 7 2026 7c	11	$31	34	33	+1	Yes	+$12	04-07 12:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$31	71	71	+0	No	+$1	06-01 12:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-21 14:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$30	17	17	+0	No	+$0	06-21 11:07
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	10	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-19 04:32
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	7	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-17 11:01
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	4	$30	19	19	+0	No	+$0	03-24 17:45
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	7	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	07-02 03:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$30	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	03-24 18:26
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	4	$30	18	18	+0	No	$0	03-26 10:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	7	$29	82	82	+0	No	-$1	05-06 11:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	10	$29	45	45	+0	open	—	05-20 15:20
nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	4	$29	45	20	+26	Rangers	-$11	03-28 17:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 17:37:00	Iran leadership change by July 31?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xba9e5c…
07-21 08:31:22	will trump speak to kim jong un in july 20260626154217424	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xc32b64…
07-15 17:20:28	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfae1c8…
07-15 12:28:43	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7d42bb…
07-15 07:56:47	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x359ff5…
07-15 01:46:37	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x5794e7…
07-14 15:04:59	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x1812f2…
07-14 12:33:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	27	11¢	$3	0xb487ad…
07-14 12:32:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x35a6f0…
07-14 11:26:58	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xb3a6ec…
07-13 18:16:46	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc3b96a…
07-13 14:40:02	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x201b8a…
07-13 14:31:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0x60acba…
07-13 14:23:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xd5b8d8…
07-13 11:12:47	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xeb0d5c…
07-12 18:43:52	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	24	83¢	$20	0x997fcb…
07-10 02:28:29	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf3bc80…
07-10 02:15:34	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x14ccff…
07-10 02:14:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x909c4b…
07-09 07:03:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x0a5600…
07-09 03:16:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x06aa51…
07-08 14:46:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x237eab…
07-08 14:03:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x7c8d39…
07-08 13:32:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x90e655…
07-08 13:31:41	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x090fc7…
07-08 13:20:32	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xa41151…
07-08 09:24:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x7d1728…
07-08 09:18:11	ufc will conor mcgregor fight in 2026	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x81fb32…
07-08 08:21:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x3e84a3…
07-08 08:19:53	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x66e52e…
07-08 05:51:05	ufc will conor mcgregor fight in 2026	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe0873e…
07-06 06:18:02	bkfibaqas chi chi2 2026 07 06	China	SELL	19	87¢	$17	0x64bcb7…
07-06 02:46:11	bkfibaqas chi chi2 2026 07 06	China	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xfdd29b…
07-06 02:40:26	bkfibaqas chi chi2 2026 07 06	China	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xb3f4d5…
07-06 02:36:52	bkfibaqas chi chi2 2026 07 06	China	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xc5269b…
07-06 02:13:22	bkfibaqas chi chi2 2026 07 06	China	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x73039b…
07-05 14:19:47	bkfibaqas chi chi2 2026 07 06	China	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xb821d6…
07-04 09:13:20	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x583fa2…
07-04 04:11:58	will hyperliquid reach 90 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc9466b…
07-04 02:50:01	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x036f42…
07-04 02:46:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6807b6…
07-04 02:19:28	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9bf1f1…
07-03 15:29:01	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x32b4f8…
07-03 15:28:58	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xcd22ef…
07-03 15:13:47	will hyperliquid reach 76 in july	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x164d48…
07-03 14:49:49	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x66023c…
07-03 14:48:07	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x96b076…
07-03 13:48:50	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x24a9ec…
07-03 13:42:23	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x18f21a…
07-03 12:54:13	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x666725…
07-03 06:28:29	will trump try to fire powell as fed board member by july 31 2026 20260626181928589	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe14d0e…
07-02 21:21:13	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x50f4fa…
07-02 21:21:11	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xaef93a…
07-02 13:33:58	will trump speak to kim jong un in july 20260626154217424	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x9f0e05…
07-02 13:31:53	will trump speak to kim jong un in july 20260626154217424	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x34c88a…
07-02 13:24:29	will trump speak to kim jong un in july 20260626154217424	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x315c46…
07-02 10:24:19	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x31166e…
07-02 10:10:59	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x117cc9…
07-02 07:29:20	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	41	42¢	$17	0x10b719…
07-02 05:59:46	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xfb4ef6…
07-02 05:59:46	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xc26acb…
07-02 05:13:38	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x116381…
07-02 03:24:08	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x920c97…
07-01 16:45:46	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x641df5…
07-01 16:40:11	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x2b3400…
07-01 16:23:14	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa26630…
07-01 14:25:56	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xbe77d2…
07-01 14:16:41	will trump speak to kim jong un in june	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x56817a…
07-01 13:17:13	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x84c07b…
07-01 10:09:11	will donald trump publicly insult elon musk by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x839db4…
07-01 07:42:49	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x392626…
07-01 03:30:43	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xac0f56…
07-01 03:16:20	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xd32836…
07-01 01:54:46	will donald trump publicly insult elon musk by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5a195b…
07-01 01:54:28	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x533350…
06-30 02:08:22	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x034f42…
06-29 16:12:29	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0f62c1…
06-29 13:54:08	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7bef60…
06-29 12:51:53	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x11686e…
06-29 11:51:38	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xd5c8ea…
06-29 08:36:40	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa86838…
06-29 08:29:56	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by june 30	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x322eca…
06-29 08:10:58	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	26	57¢	$15	0x9fbb8f…
06-27 00:28:44	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x1935f7…
06-26 21:23:38	will starmer officially leave office by june 30 20260622151504652	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe9bf76…
06-26 04:04:44	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xca0e78…
06-26 03:10:47	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x423fce…
06-26 01:46:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xe5e7d3…
06-25 15:08:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xee2bf1…
06-25 01:00:10	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x805f02…
06-24 19:57:17	Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8b5898…
06-24 16:58:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x2d6044…
06-24 13:31:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x73b40f…
06-24 09:28:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xf97104…
06-23 07:04:55	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x254074…
06-23 06:23:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x31bf92…
06-23 02:44:23	will starmer officially leave office by june 30 20260622151504652	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5fc72b…
06-22 21:15:07	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0xe76b64…
06-22 13:32:55	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xeb6501…
06-22 10:19:10	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xb55ce2…