Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
23.8%
Resolved
10
Trades
31
lifetime
Volume
$56
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$23
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 09:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
61% 25% -$6
Other
36% 40% -$4
Tech
4% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +23 $4 22¢ $5 +$1 10-11 07:52
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +14 $6 29¢ $4 -$2 10-26 09:52
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +4 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 10-26 09:53
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +3 $1 97¢ $3 +$2 05-23 15:02
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +9 $3 24¢ $2 -$1 10-21 13:29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +35 $6 6¢ $2 -$4 10-26 09:54
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +6 $2 23¢ $1 -$1 10-10 06:12
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 10-26 09:54