Accurate-Neck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$352

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

1,618

Trades

4,668

lifetime

Volume

$281.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

$371

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 196 days

Categories

Other

57% 35% -$12,614

Sports

23% 37% +$1,829

Politics

18% 68% -$1,499

Crypto

2% 34% -$267

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No		+1,542	$537	16¢	$254	-$283	10-24 21:10
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes		+700	$186	17¢	$116	-$70	10-25 13:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	9	$6.5K	6,717	0	+6,717	No	+$192	02-09 21:42
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$5.0K	4,978	0	+4,978	No	+$15	02-15 23:10
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	2	$4.5K	4,490	0	+4,490	No	+$13	02-07 22:33
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$4.2K	4,236	0	+4,236	No	+$13	02-16 23:10
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	1	$3.7K	3,689	0	+3,689	No	+$11	02-17 22:49
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	1	$3.4K	3,378	0	+3,378	No	+$7	02-12 00:02
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$3.3K	3,317	0	+3,317	No	+$17	02-14 00:37
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$3.3K	3,277	0	+3,277	No	+$3	02-02 03:51
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$3.0K	4,517	1,017	+3,500	Yes	-$1,424	02-27 15:01
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$2.5K	2,504	0	+2,504	No	+$8	02-12 23:14
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	18	$2.3K	4,911	0	+4,911	No	+$2,625	01-14 19:33
mwoh ger den 2026 02 12	2	$2.3K	2,409	509	+1,900	Germany	+$650	02-12 23:18
wta grachev sakkari 2026 02 11	12	$2.2K	2,455	139	+2,316	Sakkari	-$77	02-11 11:35
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	4	$1.7K	1,817	0	+1,817	No	+$94	02-19 21:38
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	1	$1.7K	2,004	0	+2,004	Yes	-$1,704	02-26 12:13
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	1	$1.4K	2,130	0	+2,130	No	-$1,406	06-15 21:34
bun uni wer 2026 03 08 wer	2	$1.3K	972	972	+0	Yes	+$641	03-08 21:40
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 bog1	4	$1.3K	714	714	+0	Yes	+$135	02-25 00:33
mwoh swe ita 2026 02 11	5	$1.3K	1,287	0	+1,287	Sweden	+$29	02-11 22:23
bl2 dyn svd 2026 02 27 dyn	27	$1.2K	1,470	770	+700	Yes	+$999	02-27 22:51
bl2 ksc dyn 2026 03 08 dyn	26	$1.2K	2,652	152	+2,500	No	-$972	03-08 14:17
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	4	$1.2K	2,092	804	+1,288	France	+$760	06-16 17:42
scop ran cel 2026 03 01 ran	4	$1.2K	2,702	0	+2,702	No	-$1,186	03-01 11:55
bun wol pau 2026 01 14 wol	4	$1.1K	1,338	438	+900	Yes	+$642	01-14 22:43
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	3	$1.1K	2,874	2,874	+0	No	-$604	06-24 20:06
bl2 ksv elv 2026 02 28 elv	6	$1.1K	2,398	0	+2,398	No	-$1,115	02-28 11:48
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	2	$1.1K	1,138	0	+1,138	No	+$46	01-30 17:34
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	12	$1.1K	1,885	620	+1,265	Jakub Mensik	-$284	06-02 20:32
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 gal	2	$994	1,225	725	+500	Yes	+$955	03-10 22:05
mwoh ger fra 2026 02 17	2	$986	1,108	0	+1,108	Germany	+$122	02-17 11:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:56:24	Swiss Indoors Basel: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Casper Ruud	Dominic Stephan Stricker	BUY	210	29¢	$61	0x3c3d34…
10-26 19:54:39	Erste Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien	Luca Van Assche	BUY	320	17¢	$54	0x17fcab…
10-26 14:06:39	Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0xd3adff…
10-26 12:28:02	Set Handicap: Matteo Berrettini (-1.5) vs Tomas Etcheverry (+1.5)	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	426	42¢	$179	0x36b063…
10-26 09:14:44	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Tatiana Prozorova	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xf2dd48…
10-26 09:08:47	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Tatiana Prozorova	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0x6f2225…
10-25 23:34:51	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	210	42¢	$88	0x677cb3…
10-25 23:03:48	Packers vs. Lions	Packers	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x9eae6e…
10-25 23:03:36	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	SELL	210	14¢	$30	0x81faa9…
10-25 22:58:38	Spread: Packers (-4.5)	Packers	SELL	210	9¢	$19	0x897d19…
10-25 20:22:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xe91fd7…
10-25 20:21:00	Packers vs. Lions	Packers	BUY	310	35¢	$108	0xedfe17…
10-25 20:20:41	Spread: Packers (-4.5)	Packers	BUY	210	23¢	$48	0xe1f350…
10-25 20:20:33	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	210	25¢	$52	0xf955d1…
10-25 17:00:18	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x783b45…
10-25 15:24:00	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	210	46¢	$97	0x4bd9ba…
10-25 13:34:30	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xc513c6…
10-25 13:27:54	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	51	16¢	$8	0x853aae…
10-25 11:53:12	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	420	47¢	$197	0x65ab4c…
10-25 11:52:29	Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	630	33¢	$208	0x522654…
10-25 11:52:00	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	46	16¢	$7	0xb9ef85…
10-24 21:42:54	Wild vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	220	38¢	$84	0xbebd85…
10-24 21:42:06	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	600	28¢	$170	0x4f0c37…
10-24 21:41:11	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	320	34¢	$109	0x157527…
10-24 21:40:48	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	210	48¢	$101	0xabc507…
10-24 21:10:47	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xa91d63…
10-24 21:10:38	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	52	28¢	$14	0x2687ab…
10-24 21:09:32	Lightning vs. Utah	Lightning	BUY	420	43¢	$181	0xb6a7ec…
10-24 21:00:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	44	17¢	$8	0x33dfbd…
10-24 21:00:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	56	17¢	$10	0x03fd4a…
10-24 20:59:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	86	17¢	$15	0xa9abed…
10-24 20:59:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x87b4f5…
10-24 16:19:54	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	191	20¢	$38	0x4495d5…
10-24 16:19:41	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xed0f76…
10-24 16:12:57	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xce2ed6…
10-24 16:11:36	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x0045e1…
10-24 16:00:53	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x8ad2fc…
10-24 16:00:18	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xfaa5b6…
10-24 15:58:50	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x30ad63…
10-24 10:55:56	Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	208	53¢	$110	0x88cb9a…
10-24 10:55:17	Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	384	53¢	$204	0xf51369…
10-24 10:54:11	Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x55b88b…
10-24 10:46:08	Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)	Hertha BSC	BUY	210	30¢	$63	0x67253f…
10-24 10:45:11	Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0x949ea3…
10-24 10:40:53	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x5ced45…
10-23 23:22:09	Lightning vs. Avalanche	Lightning	BUY	210	48¢	$101	0x4c0841…
10-23 23:21:36	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	420	25¢	$105	0xd52c9d…
10-23 23:20:18	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	310	36¢	$111	0xbc5bfc…
10-23 21:53:59	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	1,170	35¢	$408	0x04007f…
10-23 20:55:08	Fort Worth: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Aidan Mayo	Alexander Maarten Jong	BUY	129	31¢	$40	0xbc94c1…
10-23 20:54:32	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti	Luca Van Assche	BUY	210	23¢	$48	0x57abd2…
10-23 19:07:56	Fort Worth: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Aidan Mayo	Alexander Maarten Jong	BUY	170	46¢	$78	0xc6a2d4…
10-23 18:36:57	Fort Worth: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Aidan Mayo	Alexander Maarten Jong	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8740e9…
10-23 18:22:29	Fort Worth: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Aidan Mayo	Alexander Maarten Jong	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x9e183b…
10-23 18:21:38	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti	Luca Van Assche	BUY	310	33¢	$102	0x2b8a7d…
10-23 18:20:51	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zizou Bergs	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	320	35¢	$112	0x8b5fad…
10-23 18:00:02	W75 Saguenay: Tatjana Maria vs Reese Brantmeier	Tatjana Maria	BUY	232	7¢	$16	0x6296c1…
10-23 17:52:36	W75 Saguenay: Tatjana Maria vs Reese Brantmeier	Tatjana Maria	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x8adcc3…
10-23 16:38:14	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Daniel Altmaier	SELL	355	0¢	$1	0x7d1e89…
10-23 16:38:05	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Daniel Altmaier	SELL	155	0¢	$0	0x8af474…
10-23 16:20:11	W75 Saguenay: Tatjana Maria vs Reese Brantmeier	Tatjana Maria	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x238afc…
10-23 16:18:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	210	13¢	$27	0xa894b3…
10-23 15:34:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0x3fc73c…
10-23 12:15:51	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul	Corentin Moutet	BUY	243	23¢	$56	0x72e682…
10-23 11:57:45	M25 Sarreguemines: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Masur	Adrien Gobat	BUY	209	28¢	$59	0x56e173…
10-23 11:50:21	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	Iva Jovic	SELL	620	0¢	$1	0xabefcb…
10-23 10:43:09	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	Iva Jovic	BUY	210	19¢	$40	0xbeece3…
10-23 09:32:27	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	Iva Jovic	BUY	410	56¢	$230	0xed5f98…
10-23 01:03:00	Utah vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	310	38¢	$118	0xc9022e…
10-23 01:02:24	Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)	Red Wings	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x4a1b6b…
10-23 01:02:08	Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)	Red Wings	BUY	220	39¢	$86	0xf336af…
10-23 01:01:24	Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)	Red Wings	BUY	69	38¢	$26	0x6dba95…
10-23 00:47:17	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x255802…
10-22 23:32:47	Sharks vs. Senators	Sharks	BUY	230	46¢	$106	0xed016d…
10-22 23:28:08	Sharks vs. Senators	Sharks	BUY	85	31¢	$26	0x90d40c…
10-22 21:36:38	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	BUY	260	41¢	$107	0x1b0235…
10-22 21:32:17	Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong	J.J. Wolf	BUY	213	72¢	$153	0xb78fec…
10-22 20:45:56	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-22?	No	SELL	300	70¢	$210	0xf370ec…
10-22 20:41:06	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x27ee42…
10-22 20:40:51	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	399	8¢	$32	0xfc711e…
10-22 20:25:42	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	343	25¢	$86	0x89bc9b…
10-22 20:25:41	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0xdbfe28…
10-22 20:24:39	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	120	10¢	$12	0xd255de…
10-22 20:23:39	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xedcb1d…
10-22 20:15:38	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xcaf57d…
10-22 20:15:38	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	210	25¢	$52	0xc716a7…
10-22 20:15:38	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	184	25¢	$46	0xbf46a4…
10-22 15:25:20	European Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	240	79¢	$190	0xe14553…
10-22 15:15:02	European Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	191	75¢	$143	0x254874…
10-21 18:46:51	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	320	34¢	$109	0x2a6c3f…
10-21 04:23:38	Red Wings vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	213	50¢	$106	0x0500fb…
10-21 01:50:30	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Lightning	BUY	78	29¢	$23	0x79f466…
10-21 01:26:18	Spread: Kraken (-1.5)	Kraken	BUY	360	28¢	$101	0x4563bf…
10-20 23:32:11	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Lightning	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x28063a…
10-20 23:28:53	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Lightning	BUY	642	29¢	$186	0x037aa1…
10-20 21:16:14	Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x6940c2…
10-20 21:09:09	Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0xa76da5…
10-20 20:44:23	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	110	19¢	$21	0x1d8479…
10-20 20:33:29	Game Spread: Brandon Nakashima (-3.5) vs Hamad Medjedovic (+3.5)	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x1ef850…
10-20 20:28:23	Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-10-20?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7b673d…