Spherical-Refuge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.14K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

103

Trades

365

lifetime

Volume

$98.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$270

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 07-14 17:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

64% 44% -$4,539

Tech

18% 100% +$519

Sports

9% 30% -$491

Politics

7% 83% +$300

Crypto

2% 100% +$75

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	49	$16.3K	16,500	0	+16,500	Yes	+$247	06-24 17:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	4	$16.0K	16,609	0	+16,609	No	+$581	06-02 22:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	29	$15.1K	16,371	0	+16,371	No	+$1,296	05-23 16:16
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	14	$10.1K	10,801	0	+10,801	No	+$686	06-08 17:34
starmer out by july 31 2026	15	$8.9K	11,200	11,200	+0	Yes	-$5,202	06-20 13:25
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	37	$3.8K	16,200	15,700	+500	No	-$165	07-11 23:06
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	5	$3.6K	1,890	1,890	+0	No	+$17	07-04 16:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$3.5K	4,151	0	+4,151	No	+$699	06-05 23:13
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$2.6K	1,690	1,690	+0	No	+$15	03-20 20:51
will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	1	$2.0K	2,036	0	+2,036	No	+$69	06-06 00:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$1.5K	1,700	0	+1,700	Yes	+$204	07-13 16:52
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$1.5K	1,253	1,253	+0	Yes	+$4	03-31 02:09
Iran leadership change by June 30?	6	$1.3K	1,435	0	+1,435	No	+$109	06-08 09:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$1.1K	1,280	0	+1,280	Yes	-$1,062	04-04 14:00
highest temperature in nyc on february 28 2026 50forhigher	15	$978	1,091	0	+1,091	Yes	-$978	02-28 14:16
spx up or down on march 6 2026	6	$923	986	486	+500	Down	+$28	03-06 18:28
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	5	$912	620	620	+0	No	-$9	03-06 14:13
nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	1	$759	949	0	+949	Yes	+$189	03-31 02:16
will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	6	$630	766	0	+766	Yes	+$136	04-01 13:36
efa man2 ars 2026 03 07 ars	1	$509	553	0	+553	Yes	+$44	03-07 12:58
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	10	$492	348	348	+0	Yes	+$2	07-06 21:18
rusixnat ire wal 2026 03 06 ire	1	$484	510	0	+510	Yes	+$25	03-06 18:29
highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 44 45f	4	$445	500	0	+500	No	+$55	02-27 19:13
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	4	$400	582	0	+582	No	-$400	07-05 20:11
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 btts	2	$324	540	0	+540	Yes	+$216	03-17 17:39
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	5	$306	364	0	+364	Yes	+$58	02-03 14:52
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	1	$300	448	0	+448	Over	+$148	06-23 16:44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$233	701	0	+701	No	-$233	07-04 22:30
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	1	$215	500	0	+500	Yes	-$215	06-26 18:57
spx up or down on march 2 2026	7	$200	233	0	+233	Up	-$200	03-02 11:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 17:55:40	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x3d4618…
07-13 16:52:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,192	88¢	$1,049	0x814082…
07-13 16:34:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	118	88¢	$104	0x4b0340…
07-13 14:36:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	390	88¢	$343	0xc63ce9…
07-11 23:06:02	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0xc30d77…
07-11 23:05:10	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15,700	12¢	$1,817	0xb45ead…
07-10 18:35:34	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	231	34¢	$77	0xe6df1f…
07-10 18:34:40	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x2d25cd…
07-07 19:58:41	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 goals luis diaz gte1	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xce176f…
07-07 19:58:11	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 assists granit xhaka gte1	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xf1b8e7…
07-07 19:57:26	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x84b12a…
07-07 19:56:46	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x4fc4e2…
07-06 21:18:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x1b3ffb…
07-06 21:10:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xffc975…
07-06 20:01:31	Spain to score first vs. Portugal?	Yes	BUY	95	51¢	$48	0xf9252b…
07-06 20:00:05	Spain to score first vs. Portugal?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3f524c…
07-06 18:53:59	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x1201a9…
07-06 17:55:37	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 goals bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x784420…
07-06 17:51:46	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x5984e9…
07-06 17:50:52	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x3ce7f0…
07-06 02:43:14	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x20d4fc…
07-06 02:32:40	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x67e37c…
07-06 00:45:43	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0x11108a…
07-06 00:45:17	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0x38599b…
07-06 00:06:20	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xee67c0…
07-05 20:11:20	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x9d53ed…
07-05 20:11:20	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x782ed8…
07-05 20:11:14	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x702231…
07-05 20:11:13	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x64c166…
07-05 19:29:04	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x1b0f73…
07-05 19:24:28	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$17	0x4c33b4…
07-05 19:11:43	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x2b00da…
07-05 19:09:20	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals alexander srloth gte1	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x935917…
07-04 22:30:20	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	701	33¢	$233	0x6a82ef…
07-04 19:52:46	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x1c2804…
07-04 19:51:41	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x13a4e6…
07-04 19:51:26	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x5a0009…
07-04 16:42:02	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 goals ismael saibari gte1	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xe32158…
07-04 16:36:07	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xb849de…
07-04 16:27:47	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1,890	97¢	$1,834	0x834540…
07-01 05:11:34	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 assists harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	70	16¢	$11	0xc118ea…
07-01 05:08:32	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xb6f383…
06-30 19:09:05	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	23	81¢	$18	0x10b102…
06-29 20:29:01	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x049ecb…
06-29 20:28:44	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals deniz undav gte1	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xf2ebc5…
06-29 20:28:14	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x95cb4f…
06-29 20:28:07	Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x01d940…
06-29 16:56:07	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0xd878f9…
06-29 16:53:10	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals daizen maeda gte1	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x352262…
06-29 16:52:40	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x90b2da…
06-29 16:51:14	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x7e505d…
06-28 18:16:25	Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 3 Canada?	Yes	BUY	134	6¢	$8	0x64cec9…
06-28 18:15:38	Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x0f90c0…
06-28 18:15:10	Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x5a2461…
06-28 18:12:10	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xf51290…
06-28 18:11:28	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xea43a0…
06-28 18:02:49	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0xa43b69…
06-27 20:44:43	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 goals bukayo saka gte1	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x18ea8b…
06-27 20:18:38	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 goals bukayo saka gte1	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0e4a3b…
06-26 18:57:26	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	No	BUY	500	43¢	$215	0x0534b0…
06-25 20:00:25	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	21	55¢	$11	0x0ed0c2…
06-25 20:00:23	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	79	55¢	$44	0x59fc13…
06-24 21:30:44	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	186	18¢	$33	0xd66079…
06-24 21:29:28	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	300	41¢	$123	0x0a81bc…
06-24 17:53:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,016	99¢	$1,001	0x2ef806…
06-24 17:28:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x037efa…
06-24 17:12:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	560	99¢	$552	0x5927ae…
06-24 17:06:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	586	98¢	$577	0x7fe87d…
06-24 16:59:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xd06442…
06-24 16:56:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6b667a…
06-24 15:59:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$35	0x0bec55…
06-24 15:56:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0xf03d85…
06-24 15:51:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$46	0xaf6c47…
06-24 15:45:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x1c8f9b…
06-24 15:26:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x5e6e3d…
06-24 15:26:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xef8528…
06-24 15:14:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0xc48b9e…
06-24 15:13:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	119	98¢	$118	0xff01a0…
06-24 15:12:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$118	0xb7e096…
06-24 15:12:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xfa0c2c…
06-24 15:11:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	116	98¢	$114	0x9d3058…
06-24 15:10:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0xd47ca4…
06-24 15:09:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	121	98¢	$120	0x819783…
06-24 15:06:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	124	98¢	$122	0x3d4cc0…
06-24 15:05:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	123	99¢	$121	0xc5bcc3…
06-24 15:05:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	122	98¢	$121	0xaec576…
06-24 15:02:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	125	98¢	$123	0x2f56ed…
06-24 15:01:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	122	99¢	$120	0x374e98…
06-24 15:00:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0xf0913f…
06-24 15:00:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x9b21ef…
06-24 14:59:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	111	98¢	$110	0x81bea8…
06-24 13:44:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	252	98¢	$249	0x56206f…
06-24 13:34:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	173	98¢	$171	0xc28c03…
06-24 13:34:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,318	99¢	$1,298	0x5d8659…
06-24 08:22:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,175	98¢	$1,158	0x66f337…
06-24 08:19:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1886ad…
06-24 08:07:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x32c95b…
06-24 07:49:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	358	98¢	$353	0x81a8ed…
06-24 07:48:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	360	99¢	$355	0x3d672a…
06-24 07:48:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	385	98¢	$379	0x1c8e28…