Realized P&L
+$1.21K
Unrealized P&L
+$56
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
5,497
lifetime
Volume
$187.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$1.97K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-09 21:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
80% 33% +$160
Other
20% 100% +$1,050
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,186 $-1,101 38¢ $-1195 $-94 06-07 20:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -2,525 $-262 11¢ $-265 $-3 06-09 21:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $139 16¢ $155 +$16 06-10 02:52
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +136 $-83 76¢ $104 +$187 06-09 08:25
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes -666 $-77 12¢ $-80 $-3 06-06 01:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +6,000 $122 $75 $-47 06-06 14:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +500 $65 12¢ $62 $-2 06-06 12:03
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -100 $-18 17¢ $-17 +$1 06-10 05:16
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No -800 $-11 $-12 $-2 06-09 04:23
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes +48 $4 12¢ $6 +$1 06-09 20:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +30 $1 12¢ $3 +$2 06-09 01:10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $1 $0 $-0 06-06 07:55