Realized P&L
+$1.21K
Unrealized P&L
+$775
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
6,311
lifetime
Volume
$220.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$1.19K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-21 17:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
82% 33% +$160
Other
18% 100% +$1,050
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,691 $-1,360 14¢ $-633 +$727 06-18 19:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,000 $-150 28¢ $-275 $-125 06-14 21:10
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -434 $-96 15¢ $-65 +$31 06-24 06:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +500 $65 11¢ $53 $-12 06-06 12:03
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes -666 $-77 $-50 +$27 06-06 01:23
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +540 $30 $43 +$13 07-20 17:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -50 $-128 58¢ $-29 +$99 07-06 01:17
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +67 $18 42¢ $28 +$9 06-24 05:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +160 $5 $12 +$7 07-21 17:22
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes +48 $4 $3 $-1 06-09 20:46