Realized P&L
+$1.21K
Unrealized P&L
+$682
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
5,984
lifetime
Volume
$208.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$1.72K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-28 20:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
82% 33% +$160
Other
18% 100% +$1,050
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,691 $-1,360 20¢ $-915 +$445 06-18 19:44
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +500 $180 54¢ $268 +$88 06-15 03:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,000 $-150 15¢ $-145 +$5 06-14 21:10
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +136 $-83 100¢ $136 +$219 06-09 08:25
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -434 $-96 20¢ $-89 +$7 06-24 06:24
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes -666 $-77 10¢ $-63 +$14 06-06 01:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +500 $65 10¢ $48 $-18 06-06 12:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +67 $18 46¢ $31 +$13 06-24 05:54
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes +48 $4 16¢ $8 +$3 06-09 20:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +6,000 $122 $6 $-116 06-06 14:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +5,274 $185 $5 $-179 06-12 12:27
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +40 $5 11¢ $4 $-1 06-12 05:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -3,525 $-257 $-4 +$253 06-14 21:16
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No -800 $-11 $-1 +$10 06-09 04:23
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +400 $60 $1 $-59 06-11 18:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +30 $1 $0 $-1 06-09 01:10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 07:55