Flustered-Ambition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$626

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

8,569

Trades

50,756

lifetime

Volume

$395.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-28 02:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% +$626

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 616 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	30	$1.3K	1,624	1,624	+0	Up	+$66	10-24 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	16	$879	1,050	1,050	+0	Down	+$17	10-28 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	10	$766	882	882	+0	Down	+$102	10-11 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	8	$742	882	882	+0	Down	+$68	10-24 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	27	$695	812	812	+0	Up	+$75	10-11 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:20 UTC	31	$687	812	812	+0	Up	+$15	09-26 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	39	$680	833	833	+0	Up	+$29	10-18 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:30 UTC	43	$672	831	831	+0	Up	+$60	09-26 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	12	$662	882	882	+0	Up	+$18	10-11 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$661	812	812	+0	Down	+$53	10-24 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	38	$655	812	812	+0	Up	+$49	10-10 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	17	$645	812	812	+0	Down	+$53	10-24 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	15	$645	812	812	+0	Up	+$37	09-28 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 20:45 UTC	9	$633	812	812	+0	Down	+$33	09-26 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	45	$624	805	805	+0	Up	+$36	10-25 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	37	$621	812	812	+0	Up	+$13	10-10 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	27	$620	812	812	+0	Down	+$13	10-10 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	16	$616	812	812	+0	Up	+$24	10-24 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	26	$613	812	812	+0	Up	+$12	10-24 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	27	$609	812	812	+0	Up	+$1	10-10 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	44	$608	805	805	+0	Up	+$14	09-10 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:10 UTC	18	$604	812	812	+0	Up	+$13	10-03 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	21	$604	812	812	+0	Down	+$13	10-24 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	50	$604	812	812	+0	Down	+$13	10-24 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	18	$603	812	812	+0	Up	+$14	10-10 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	19	$592	812	812	+0	Up	+$0	10-24 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:35 UTC	29	$579	755	755	+0	Down	+$10	10-04 17:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 02:45 UTC	19	$568	695	695	+0	Down	-$3	09-20 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	20	$560	733	733	+0	Down	+$11	10-10 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	19	$558	812	812	+0	Up	+$10	10-17 09:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	25	48¢	$12	0x0cc8ee…
10-28 02:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0xa9a0cb…
10-28 02:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0xabf605…
10-28 02:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x54c496…
10-28 00:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	75	47¢	$35	0xf9661b…
10-28 00:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x9d160d…
10-28 00:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	47¢	$8	0x7bb6d6…
10-28 00:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xfb61c8…
10-28 00:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xb83b60…
10-28 00:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xb4e1e9…
10-28 00:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x166f26…
10-28 00:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xe512d0…
10-28 00:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7e35de…
10-28 00:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	102	44¢	$45	0x230d34…
10-28 00:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x20d9e9…
10-28 00:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	70	49¢	$34	0x97bfc3…
10-28 00:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	70	45¢	$32	0x97bfc3…
10-28 00:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	70	45¢	$32	0xced669…
10-28 00:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	195	46¢	$90	0x537053…
10-28 00:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	125	44¢	$55	0x5fb332…
10-28 00:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	395	41¢	$162	0x2ae9d0…
10-28 00:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	125	42¢	$52	0xae6df5…
10-28 00:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	395	37¢	$146	0x4632b2…
10-28 00:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	70	45¢	$32	0x1d529e…
10-28 00:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	195	43¢	$84	0x193e1a…
10-28 00:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	125	41¢	$51	0xd11fae…
10-28 00:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0x1c8808…
10-28 00:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	46	47¢	$22	0x1af767…
10-28 00:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	23	47¢	$11	0x0d37f1…
10-28 00:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0x1dfc50…
10-27 23:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0x83d46a…
10-27 23:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xf14e43…
10-27 23:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xee390f…
10-27 23:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xf95322…
10-27 23:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x5cea77…
10-27 23:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	67	48¢	$32	0x118662…
10-27 23:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	67	46¢	$31	0xa1e683…
10-27 23:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	70	35¢	$24	0xb3b834…
10-27 23:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0xcbce9d…
10-27 21:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x5f9230…
10-27 21:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xcbdab1…
10-27 21:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xd3f068…
10-27 21:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x5ee350…
10-27 20:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0x11ba91…
10-27 20:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xe1d41d…
10-27 20:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x4e5f0c…
10-27 17:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	70	49¢	$34	0x227b86…
10-27 17:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	70	47¢	$33	0x997751…
10-27 12:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x336be7…
10-27 12:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xa77516…
10-27 12:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x38707c…
10-27 12:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	37¢	$11	0xd242aa…
10-27 10:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	70	38¢	$27	0xeec7ca…
10-27 10:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	70	44¢	$31	0x89123c…
10-27 04:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	23	47¢	$11	0xa36b83…
10-27 04:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	46¢	$11	0x0cb089…
10-27 04:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xcbccbb…
10-27 04:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0xabcd91…
10-27 04:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	70	47¢	$33	0xb910ca…
10-27 03:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	48¢	$9	0xe5bcfb…
10-27 03:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	42	48¢	$20	0x88bb9c…
10-27 03:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x4788b1…
10-27 03:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	70	47¢	$33	0xb7d6d1…
10-27 02:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x7592c2…
10-27 02:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	35	47¢	$16	0xfa4867…
10-27 02:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0xf78138…
10-27 02:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0xe6dabc…
10-27 02:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	51	49¢	$25	0xe96e36…
10-27 02:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xab7ac9…
10-27 02:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0xa7e25d…
10-27 02:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	48	49¢	$24	0xa16857…
10-27 02:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x871f7e…
10-27 02:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x750ecc…
10-27 02:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	125	45¢	$56	0x07a572…
10-27 02:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	70	51¢	$36	0xecc61a…
10-27 02:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0xed3568…
10-27 02:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xabc814…
10-27 02:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	44	48¢	$21	0x1c48d0…
10-27 02:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x350d86…
10-27 02:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	70	47¢	$33	0x432878…
10-27 01:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	70	47¢	$33	0x856ba4…
10-27 01:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0xaa447f…
10-27 00:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	48¢	$9	0xcc3ef5…
10-27 00:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xb0e16b…
10-27 00:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x43e244…
10-27 00:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x23899c…
10-27 00:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x8ccc55…
10-27 00:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0xa3ad5a…
10-27 00:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	70	48¢	$34	0xbaf667…
10-26 21:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	59	48¢	$28	0x0c73b3…
10-26 21:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x56bc82…
10-26 21:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x64202b…
10-26 21:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x644237…
10-26 21:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	70	47¢	$33	0x9d9549…
10-26 20:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xbe6339…
10-26 20:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x4e7917…
10-26 20:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x1766cc…
10-26 20:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	38	41¢	$16	0x3ba2fe…
10-26 20:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xa5fac6…
10-26 20:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x43a03d…