Realized P&L
+$4.78K
Unrealized P&L
-$409
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved
30
Trades
181
lifetime
Volume
$55.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$308
Open exposure
$526
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-25 16:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
59% 18% +$3,576
Politics
41% 18% +$1,356
Sports
0% 0% -$153
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,632 $620 15¢ $382 -$238 10-25 16:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +555 $60 7¢ $37 -$23 10-17 03:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,750 $15 1¢ $36 +$21 10-06 03:26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +861 $50 4¢ $32 -$18 10-17 03:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +2,223 $70 1¢ $14 -$56 10-06 03:26
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +671 $100 2¢ $13 -$87 09-01 02:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +495 $20 2¢ $12 -$8 10-17 03:17