Untidy-Auction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$106

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,096

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 08-11 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

47% 23% +$27

Politics

38% 20% +$72

Crypto

12% 23% +$4

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% 50% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	30	$752	769	638	+131	open	—	03-31 17:56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	15	$527	341	341	+0	open	—	05-01 20:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$442	231	231	+0	open	—	03-30 23:56
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	21	$431	285	253	+32	open	—	05-19 11:31
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	14	$360	194	194	+0	open	—	03-30 03:32
will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	14	$344	289	289	+0	open	—	04-15 12:13
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	9	$342	843	843	+0	open	—	04-27 19:45
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	16	$296	291	291	+0	open	—	04-03 09:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	9	$295	168	168	+0	open	—	05-01 20:16
bitcoin above 70k on february 9	21	$282	202	171	+31	open	—	02-09 17:03
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	12	$267	215	215	+0	open	—	03-26 09:33
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$236	244	233	+11	open	—	06-01 17:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$211	107	107	+0	open	—	04-27 16:36
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	3	$204	113	103	+11	open	—	04-21 17:01
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	2	$188	100	115	-15	open	—	06-22 01:11
bitboy convicted	17	$159	326	326	+0	open	—	03-31 17:02
will iran strike uae again in march	20	$158	263	263	+0	open	—	04-06 01:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$154	119	117	+2	open	—	04-16 00:06
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	7	$147	96	96	+0	open	—	03-30 12:00
will iran strike oman again in march	8	$145	99	99	+0	open	—	04-05 00:04
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	18	$142	255	212	+43	open	—	05-19 18:19
will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 70 20260618224014045	4	$131	170	70	+100	open	—	07-15 20:18
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	12	$131	72	77	-4	open	—	05-15 01:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$130	52	115	-63	open	—	06-16 14:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	2	$127	77	77	+0	open	—	06-16 14:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	6	$126	80	79	+1	open	—	04-16 12:07
will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 894	5	$126	140	13	+127	open	—	03-25 12:22
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$126	345	61	+284	open	—	04-30 20:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$126	299	113	+186	open	—	05-29 20:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	7	$122	208	202	+6	open	—	04-15 23:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 14:15:24	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x78b4dd…
08-11 14:15:04	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7c6120…
08-07 12:25:18	Halle Berry as Storm?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x7eb118…
08-07 12:23:55	Halle Berry as Storm?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x52a560…
08-07 09:57:27	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe5f5aa…
08-06 14:39:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x84c282…
08-05 13:08:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x611253…
08-05 13:08:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0x4eba88…
08-05 13:07:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0xb01cea…
08-05 13:07:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xc1e908…
08-03 22:42:23	Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbf097d…
08-03 08:26:09	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x171ed5…
08-03 08:21:56	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1cb553…
07-31 11:49:05	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xd94157…
07-31 11:47:14	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1bab9a…
07-31 11:46:47	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x6fa515…
07-30 13:53:03	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x43e9f7…
07-30 13:51:14	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	81	53¢	$43	0xd17be5…
07-30 09:45:02	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0x372d59…
07-29 12:30:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x0bef73…
07-29 12:29:15	will the powerball jackpot hit 1 billion by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6eb209…
07-29 12:27:38	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xbe5bc3…
07-29 12:26:41	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xacb870…
07-29 12:23:24	bitcoin up or down on july 29 2026	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xee1fe0…
07-29 11:55:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1af27b…
07-29 11:55:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb4e8a6…
07-25 23:02:36	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x8a8d9f…
07-22 11:53:28	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x973e18…
07-21 16:06:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6dcdda…
07-21 15:57:39	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	17	62¢	$11	0x2664a2…
07-20 13:08:57	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x49b326…
07-20 13:08:43	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x091646…
07-20 13:05:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x459787…
07-20 13:02:31	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xc6dc24…
07-20 13:00:31	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x72da27…
07-20 00:53:22	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x3b01a1…
07-20 00:53:01	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xc405ac…
07-19 22:02:34	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x412af1…
07-18 22:44:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x38aec8…
07-18 22:23:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0xe168e5…
07-18 21:52:25	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5bcac6…
07-18 21:52:19	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xb9f0c1…
07-18 21:52:10	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xec1434…
07-18 21:51:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x7d5195…
07-18 21:51:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	69	98¢	$68	0x706e25…
07-17 13:25:37	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x476fe9…
07-16 14:30:58	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x577d18…
07-16 14:30:40	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x3f1e62…
07-15 20:51:59	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x3eb5bb…
07-15 20:51:47	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0x7c1d68…
07-15 20:44:01	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0xa34a80…
07-15 20:43:49	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xc76d4e…
07-15 20:18:16	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 70 20260618224014045	Yes	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0x35dbfd…
07-15 20:08:29	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x382a05…
07-15 19:44:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 first half team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x30ed61…
07-15 19:42:17	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 first half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x12dd77…
07-15 19:07:43	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0xdfe471…
07-15 16:45:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6f2375…
07-15 13:25:47	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 shots lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xea6917…
07-15 13:25:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 shots jude bellingham gte3	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x642422…
07-15 13:25:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 assists jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf62c98…
07-15 13:23:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 first half team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x0b2900…
07-15 13:23:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 first half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9cf298…
07-14 23:20:26	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x02645f…
07-14 23:20:20	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xbfde22…
07-14 20:46:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	178	3¢	$5	0x352d01…
07-14 20:44:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc7899b…
07-14 15:30:28	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xae15e9…
07-14 15:29:47	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x346db4…
07-14 08:06:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xd13eec…
07-13 16:57:56	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 14 20	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x460702…
07-13 16:55:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0x6d259d…
07-13 16:42:01	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x098df3…
07-13 16:41:49	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in july 20260626154217433	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x95cc01…
07-13 16:41:20	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0xa4aa3c…
07-13 14:32:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 assists harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x40787c…
07-13 14:31:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts first half	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0bf558…
07-13 14:28:23	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xf27916…
07-13 14:28:08	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 extra time	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xa46179…
07-13 14:27:50	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x674174…
07-13 14:26:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x82283d…
07-13 14:24:37	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x2d573e…
07-13 14:24:25	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x52b664…
07-13 14:21:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xc5c7b6…
07-13 14:19:53	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x02b380…
07-13 14:19:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8b9158…
07-12 03:08:52	will declan rice score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6f7a16…
07-12 02:59:13	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3c78dd…
07-12 00:39:44	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xecc915…
07-11 23:13:13	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x812765…
07-11 23:07:25	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfe7e3c…
07-11 23:04:55	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	56	27¢	$15	0xb9f88b…
07-11 22:34:47	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in july 20260626154217427	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x033732…
07-11 20:17:44	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xac1415…
07-11 20:16:13	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x247c47…
07-09 15:55:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xac2d8a…
07-09 15:55:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc976bf…
07-09 15:52:50	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0xaf4087…
07-07 23:25:52	Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x064d48…
07-07 23:12:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x7c8aa7…