Warm-Occasion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$336

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

2,910 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$45.6K

$395.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$136

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 08-20 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 154 days

Categories

Other

100% 97% +$1

Crypto

0% 82% -$12

Politics

0% 67% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 29?	2	$1.7K	1,669	+1,669	No	+$2	07-29 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 2?	1	$1.5K	1,503	+1,503	No	+$3	08-02 13:55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 23?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	07-23 18:52
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 29?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	07-29 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 25?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	07-25 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 25?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	07-25 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 2?	1	$1.5K	1,503	+1,503	No	+$3	08-02 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 14?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	08-14 09:44
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 29?	1	$1.5K	1,503	+1,503	No	+$3	07-29 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 21?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	08-20 22:23
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 77°F or below on July 31?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	07-31 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on August 10?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	08-10 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 87°F or below on July 23?	1	$1.5K	1,504	+1,504	No	+$4	07-23 05:56
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on August 2?	1	$1.5K	1,503	+1,503	No	+$3	08-02 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on July 24?	1	$1.5K	1,505	+1,505	No	+$5	07-23 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	08-05 00:28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 7?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	08-06 22:37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 6?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	08-05 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 23?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	07-23 00:36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 18?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	08-18 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on August 21?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	08-20 22:58
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 6?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	08-05 22:37
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 25?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	07-25 04:37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 25?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$2	07-24 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on August 11?	1	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	No	+$3	08-11 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 9?	1	$1.5K	1,453	+1,453	No	+$3	08-09 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 3?	1	$1.4K	1,405	+1,405	No	+$3	08-03 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 29?	1	$1.3K	1,292	+1,292	No	+$2	07-29 05:05
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 31?	1	$1.3K	1,260	+1,260	No	+$1	07-31 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 6?	1	$1.2K	1,206	+1,206	No	+$1	08-05 16:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 22:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on August 21?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0xd47614…
08-20 22:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 21?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0x3da663…
08-20 13:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 20?	No	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0x0f691e…
08-20 13:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 20?	No	BUY	399	98¢	$391	0xa14bb2…
08-20 12:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fa0f1…
08-19 10:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 19?	No	BUY	512	100¢	$511	0x56b82e…
08-18 16:06:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 18?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0x651e6d…
08-18 15:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 18?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe4a3a4…
08-18 15:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 18?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x3150dc…
08-18 15:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?	No	BUY	1,128	100¢	$1,126	0xdb18c2…
08-17 22:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeab6d7…
08-17 22:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on August 18?	No	BUY	507	100¢	$507	0xeb97fe…
08-17 22:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 17?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$298	0x751d13…
08-17 03:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 17?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf0c450…
08-17 03:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 17?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x453bb1…
08-16 18:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on August 17?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xb6cb84…
08-16 04:56:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 16?	No	BUY	483	100¢	$482	0x0893e3…
08-15 14:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 15?	No	BUY	775	100¢	$774	0x34928f…
08-15 14:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x95832b…
08-15 14:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x501399…
08-15 02:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	434	100¢	$434	0xe7bd9b…
08-14 20:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xb2db2d…
08-14 19:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 14?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xc9bc08…
08-14 17:08:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on August 14?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x943844…
08-14 15:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0x966491…
08-14 12:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 73°F or below on August 14?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xee3dc9…
08-14 09:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0xd9afda…
08-13 21:17:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 13?	No	BUY	276	100¢	$276	0xaa8d70…
08-13 17:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 13?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0x4a609f…
08-13 15:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?	No	BUY	420	100¢	$420	0x8c3ddd…
08-13 12:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 14?	No	BUY	412	100¢	$412	0x8debe0…
08-12 21:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 12?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x0fc4c8…
08-12 20:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 12?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xa751bf…
08-12 20:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 12?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xfab4a7…
08-11 20:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 11?	No	BUY	1,020	100¢	$1,019	0xa9e871…
08-11 15:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on August 11?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,499	0x1b0aeb…
08-11 14:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on August 11?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0x9bd108…
08-11 14:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x8d204f…
08-10 22:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 10?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x542bd5…
08-10 13:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on August 10?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0x85bc6a…
08-10 12:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 10?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x54f19d…
08-10 11:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,029	0xc0a11e…
08-10 05:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x2b4bf3…
08-10 03:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on August 10?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xc68708…
08-10 03:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc01aea…
08-09 18:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 9?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7e2818…
08-09 16:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 10?	No	BUY	1,182	100¢	$1,181	0x4078d5…
08-09 15:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 9?	No	BUY	1,453	100¢	$1,450	0x8dc4e2…
08-09 09:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x1b9d0d…
08-09 08:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	349	100¢	$349	0x239e1f…
08-09 01:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 9?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x998601…
08-08 13:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0x5ec076…
08-07 21:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 79°F or below on August 7?	No	BUY	675	100¢	$674	0x9dda4c…
08-07 16:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	675	100¢	$675	0x07fb27…
08-07 16:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$87	0x21d155…
08-07 16:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 8?	No	BUY	477	100¢	$476	0xf90101…
08-07 14:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x610af3…
08-07 13:54:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 7?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x8e2db1…
08-07 11:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 7?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x1df997…
08-07 10:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 7?	No	BUY	316	100¢	$316	0xbf7996…
08-07 09:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0xe694f4…
08-07 09:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x811303…
08-07 05:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 7?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x1b8f87…
08-07 04:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 7?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x085393…
08-07 03:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0xc85643…
08-07 03:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 7?	No	BUY	672	100¢	$671	0xdc3c19…
08-07 03:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	411	100¢	$411	0xa834f1…
08-07 03:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	299	100¢	$297	0xb3d298…
08-07 03:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	632	100¢	$631	0x539b53…
08-07 03:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on August 7?	No	BUY	505	100¢	$504	0x389879…
08-07 02:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x0bd476…
08-07 01:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x285b88…
08-07 01:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 7?	No	BUY	665	100¢	$664	0x96d100…
08-07 01:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	390	100¢	$389	0xcb44b6…
08-07 01:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 6?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x47f9ef…
08-07 01:05:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 6?	No	BUY	335	100¢	$335	0xa66408…
08-06 23:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 6?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xd7171b…
08-06 22:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 7?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0x886de4…
08-06 03:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 6?	No	BUY	613	100¢	$612	0x049898…
08-05 22:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0xc909ac…
08-05 22:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 6?	No	BUY	724	100¢	$723	0x5a600a…
08-05 18:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on August 6?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x9c722a…
08-05 16:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 6?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0xecf80f…
08-05 16:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 6?	No	BUY	1,206	100¢	$1,205	0x469a03…
08-05 06:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x81f249…
08-05 05:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x814da1…
08-05 04:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e8820…
08-05 00:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0x19cd08…
08-04 21:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on August 4?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x66e609…
08-04 21:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on August 5?	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0x196076…
08-04 20:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 4?	No	BUY	327	100¢	$327	0xa4caf4…
08-04 14:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5?	No	BUY	268	100¢	$267	0xafae73…
08-03 20:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 3?	No	BUY	1,037	100¢	$1,036	0x3f86de…
08-03 20:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 3?	No	BUY	1,405	100¢	$1,402	0xe1c009…
08-03 19:51:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x079a08…
08-03 18:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 4?	No	BUY	281	100¢	$281	0x5b0f80…
08-03 18:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on August 4?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0x2561d9…
08-03 18:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on August 4?	No	BUY	296	100¢	$295	0x3c53f2…
08-03 03:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 3?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x461399…
08-02 15:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,500	0x208a04…