Blue-Membership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$210

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$99.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$597

Open exposure

$2.38K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-09

last 05-08 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

82% 100% +$210

Crypto

16% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		-2,570	$-2,365	92¢	$-2377	$-13	07-08 08:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	9	$12.3K	8,381	5,283	+3,098	open	—	04-23 11:57
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$6.8K	4,804	4,804	+0	open	—	03-23 05:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$5.9K	4,219	4,219	+0	open	—	03-24 05:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$4.9K	2,576	2,576	+0	Yes	+$75	05-07 10:55
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	6	$4.8K	6,007	0	+6,007	open	—	03-24 19:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$4.3K	2,777	2,777	+0	open	—	03-18 07:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$3.3K	3,078	3,078	+0	open	—	03-23 20:28
will uae strike iran by march 31	7	$3.3K	1,926	1,926	+0	open	—	03-24 19:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$3.3K	4,214	0	+4,214	open	—	05-02 06:41
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	3	$3.1K	2,176	1,137	+1,040	open	—	04-23 12:06
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	3	$2.7K	3,425	0	+3,425	open	—	04-18 06:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-30 19:11
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$2.5K	4,296	0	+4,296	open	—	04-18 06:26
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$2.4K	0	2,570	-2,570	open	—	07-08 08:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	5	$2.3K	1,304	1,304	+0	open	—	03-11 14:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$2.1K	1,122	1,122	+0	open	—	04-04 07:00
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$2.0K	2,857	0	+2,857	open	—	03-06 12:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$1.9K	2,025	0	+2,025	No	+$135	05-08 15:20
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	2	$1.6K	796	796	+0	open	—	02-11 05:11
solana above 80 on february 10	3	$1.6K	792	792	+0	open	—	02-10 17:49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	4	$1.5K	4,410	0	+4,410	open	—	04-21 08:59
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	6	$1.1K	1,538	109	+1,429	open	—	04-01 15:25
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	2	$1.1K	1,423	0	+1,423	open	—	03-24 09:02
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.0K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	03-24 08:58
ethereum above 1800 on march 1	2	$1.0K	541	541	+0	open	—	03-01 07:50
ethereum above 1900 on march 1	2	$1.0K	518	518	+0	open	—	03-01 17:02
ethereum above 1700 on february 24	2	$1.0K	517	517	+0	open	—	02-24 16:22
ethereum above 1900 on february 25	2	$1.0K	517	517	+0	open	—	02-25 17:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	open	—	03-02 14:15
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$1.0K	512	512	+0	open	—	02-24 05:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 08:07:34	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	2,570	92¢	$2,365	0x35965e…
05-08 15:20:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2,025	93¢	$1,890	0x401c81…
05-07 10:55:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,576	96¢	$2,466	0xc84b1c…
05-04 18:55:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	962	93¢	$894	0x5d9b54…
05-02 06:41:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,214	77¢	$1,705	0x3ed1f5…
05-02 06:26:28	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x7776fc…
05-02 06:24:52	Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0x01cd68…
05-02 06:14:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	78¢	$1,560	0x62f8a8…
04-30 19:13:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,614	93¢	$1,497	0xf07bf7…
04-30 19:11:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,497	0x5dc0ff…
04-29 19:38:28	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	SELL	402	24¢	$97	0xec39d7…
04-27 09:35:04	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x2f88ad…
04-27 09:28:44	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x7c5bc8…
04-27 09:28:06	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xe1b937…
04-26 17:54:12	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x193051…
04-26 17:53:56	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	SELL	196	4¢	$8	0x23d5e1…
04-25 07:42:26	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	No	BUY	685	82¢	$560	0xeea0c2…
04-25 07:33:14	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xbe948f…
04-25 07:05:20	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	SELL	116	6¢	$7	0x3f66ae…
04-23 12:06:58	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,040	96¢	$1,000	0x8dd61b…
04-23 11:57:56	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0x0b52ed…
04-23 04:44:26	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa05875…
04-22 19:20:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0x696cac…
04-22 13:52:02	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,086	92¢	$1,000	0xea5ae9…
04-22 13:50:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x0c5492…
04-21 08:59:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	46	28¢	$13	0x18868b…
04-20 07:22:26	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	2,962	34¢	$1,000	0x071044…
04-18 10:50:56	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	971	96¢	$932	0xb9c816…
04-18 06:55:16	ethereum above 2300 on april 18	Yes	BUY	1,014	99¢	$1,000	0x19cc7c…
04-18 06:54:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,429	70¢	$1,000	0x6af3b3…
04-18 06:26:56	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	1,235	81¢	$1,000	0x36aa60…
04-18 06:26:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	1,760	57¢	$1,000	0x2582f4…
04-18 06:26:14	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	5,283	93¢	$4,931	0x7c1db3…
04-18 06:06:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	143	56¢	$80	0xc6d688…
04-18 06:06:38	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	1,243	80¢	$1,000	0xead15d…
04-18 06:06:10	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1,137	95¢	$1,080	0xafcfc6…
04-16 19:46:46	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	948	77¢	$730	0xae0ee1…
04-15 04:09:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	1,535	54¢	$829	0x8463c9…
04-15 04:08:52	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xb06db4…
04-15 04:06:12	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9bf2ce…
04-14 16:44:14	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x463c11…
04-14 16:37:58	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x7f4523…
04-13 12:53:19	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	1,001	43¢	$429	0x2d56ec…
04-13 11:11:03	ethereum above 2100 on april 13	Yes	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0xe42f7e…
04-07 09:17:11	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,073	78¢	$837	0xea039c…
04-04 07:01:33	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	732	81¢	$592	0x6428ea…
04-04 07:01:13	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0x3202df…
04-04 07:00:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	SELL	1,122	97¢	$1,093	0x9d11a5…
04-02 15:10:35	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x6099b7…
04-02 15:06:55	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,176	85¢	$1,000	0x379a44…
04-02 14:56:53	btc updown 5m 1775141700	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xa0ffdc…
04-02 14:54:15	btc updown 5m 1775141400	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1444fa…
04-01 20:26:35	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,152	87¢	$1,000	0x83ead7…
04-01 20:26:13	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	1,122	89¢	$1,000	0x65d059…
04-01 20:25:43	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	731	74¢	$543	0xe62de5…
04-01 15:28:41	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0xc47e79…
04-01 15:28:33	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,137	88¢	$1,000	0xa657b1…
04-01 15:25:11	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,429	70¢	$1,000	0x9fa173…
04-01 15:21:05	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	501	77¢	$387	0x0c91ca…
03-24 19:12:07	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,174	85¢	$998	0x39e075…
03-24 19:05:43	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	1,126	89¢	$999	0xba6ec5…
03-24 09:03:35	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	506	87¢	$438	0x8680e6…
03-24 09:02:23	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0xdb3afd…
03-24 08:58:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1,250	43¢	$538	0xac0158…
03-24 05:26:15	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,744	86¢	$1,500	0x9554eb…
03-24 05:25:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	4,219	67¢	$2,830	0x3d18e7…
03-23 20:29:31	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	BUY	1,289	78¢	$1,000	0xc8b87e…
03-23 20:28:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	2,383	51¢	$1,215	0xe98e53…
03-23 05:24:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,449	69¢	$1,000	0xc24285…
03-23 05:24:23	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	404	86¢	$349	0x6b1d40…
03-23 05:22:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1,752	77¢	$1,349	0x9a5beb…
03-21 09:58:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	928	75¢	$696	0xb54a7f…
03-21 09:58:33	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	800	87¢	$696	0x6078cd…
03-20 20:44:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,250	40¢	$500	0x9218ad…
03-20 20:43:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	695	72¢	$500	0xcca99b…
03-19 13:38:11	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,000	78¢	$780	0x6c7134…
03-18 17:35:01	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	49	84¢	$41	0xb16a8d…
03-18 07:55:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	676	74¢	$500	0x9fb3c6…
03-18 07:55:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	2,055	73¢	$1,500	0xb600f9…
03-18 07:55:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	2,219	92¢	$2,041	0x06b7ff…
03-17 06:24:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	696	73¢	$508	0xeb2c81…
03-17 06:23:45	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	545	93¢	$508	0x0c2d3c…
03-12 20:06:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x343c83…
03-12 10:41:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1,699	53¢	$900	0x5a04a0…
03-12 10:38:01	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,310	84¢	$1,100	0xb1a703…
03-12 10:37:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1,001	53¢	$530	0x52837f…
03-11 14:21:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	148	75¢	$111	0x6f8493…
03-11 14:19:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,450	69¢	$1,000	0xcd3c4c…
03-11 14:19:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	1,161	96¢	$1,111	0xc452a9…
03-10 07:21:49	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	545	87¢	$475	0x557088…
03-09 20:23:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xa59e1a…
03-09 20:18:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	586	85¢	$500	0x1ca61b…
03-09 20:13:21	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x85bf70…
03-09 20:11:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0xc18c80…
03-09 20:11:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	575	87¢	$500	0xc07f04…
03-09 20:04:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	3,053	71¢	$2,175	0x95184f…
03-08 18:21:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	842	57¢	$480	0x97f6e2…
03-08 18:12:01	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x8b3b69…
03-08 07:01:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	697	60¢	$418	0xaadc2b…
03-08 07:00:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	558	75¢	$418	0xd0b863…