Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$109.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$339

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

Trades

827

lifetime

Volume

$199.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$242

Open exposure

$5.20K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-26 11:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

98% 29% +$112,787

Crypto

2% 0% -$3,071

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 557 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes		+10,022	$2,858	30¢	$3.0K	+$98	10-26 11:21
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+7,340	$1,998	30¢	$2.2K	+$241	10-26 11:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	27	$111.2K	58,503	58,503	+0	No	+$1,215	03-04 00:12
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	22	$16.1K	131,951	9	+131,942	Yes	+$115,878	02-27 10:09
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$12.9K	11,001	11,001	+0	Yes	-$380	02-22 15:37
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$12.2K	11,110	11,110	+0	Yes	+$1,166	02-19 08:48
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	51	$11.0K	20,929	20,929	+0	No	+$103	03-03 23:21
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$10.9K	11,224	11,224	+0	Yes	-$51	02-19 22:29
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	6	$6.0K	33,936	33,936	+0	No	-$1,258	01-25 22:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	25	$5.8K	10,703	10,703	+0	open	—	10-25 22:59
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	9	$3.3K	10,822	800	+10,022	open	—	10-26 11:21
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	9	$2.6K	20,425	680	+19,745	No	-$2,297	01-30 14:15
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	11	$2.0K	7,340	0	+7,340	open	—	10-26 11:41
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	5	$1.6K	7,815	7,815	+0	No	-$1,078	02-11 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	131	$756	3,507	177	+3,330	Up	-$647	10-25 22:43
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	2	$565	11,566	11,566	+0	No	-$231	02-10 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	64	$296	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	-$296	10-25 22:32
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	2	$252	4,606	4,606	+0	No	-$4	02-04 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	110	$250	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	-$250	10-26 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	33	$240	800	0	+800	Down	-$240	10-25 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$239	2,500	0	+2,500	Down	-$239	10-25 21:43
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	3	$227	5,405	5,405	+0	No	-$173	02-10 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	85	$208	3,000	0	+3,000	Down	-$208	10-25 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	5	$200	7,732	0	+7,732	Down	-$200	10-25 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	87	$179	2,988	0	+2,988	Down	-$179	10-25 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	38	$170	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$170	10-25 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$168	400	0	+400	Down	-$168	10-25 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	29	$150	1,500	0	+1,500	Down	-$150	10-25 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	54	$150	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$150	10-25 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$128	1,500	0	+1,500	Down	-$128	10-25 21:56
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$100	2,381	0	+2,381	No	-$100	02-27 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$36	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	-$36	10-25 21:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 11:41:30	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	800	29¢	$232	0xd9f55b…
10-26 11:21:09	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	800	29¢	$232	0x75967b…
10-26 10:05:08	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0xa6fa52…
10-26 10:02:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,087	26¢	$283	0x93bb4d…
10-26 09:48:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x5fb9e8…
10-26 09:41:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xed1798…
10-26 09:41:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x78d777…
10-26 09:41:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x6de2b8…
10-26 09:41:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x0395db…
10-26 09:36:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	428	26¢	$111	0x324e95…
10-26 09:25:38	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,100	27¢	$297	0x35ef41…
10-26 09:23:29	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,000	27¢	$540	0x11641c…
10-26 09:19:26	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	137	27¢	$37	0x915a28…
10-26 08:56:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xe24d16…
10-26 08:49:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,690	27¢	$726	0x42e344…
10-26 08:47:53	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	68	27¢	$18	0xf0fc18…
10-26 08:47:21	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0x76df31…
10-26 08:37:17	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x26716c…
10-26 08:25:20	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x2cd989…
10-26 07:03:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9,272	29¢	$2,687	0x843855…
10-26 06:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8c0f0d…
10-26 06:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	394	5¢	$20	0x41f070…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfc9b4f…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xf43839…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeea95d…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xedc603…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xe79222…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0xe4e7e3…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0xe3e969…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xe1ac86…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xe06c55…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdf3af7…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0xdcf3fd…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd8e5de…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	159	5¢	$8	0xd53f33…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc6309c…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xc14e63…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xb9c868…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xb812e0…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb4c016…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa7dbfd…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xa6850c…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0xa309a9…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x928826…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x90e855…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8dd43f…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x800b12…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	193	5¢	$10	0x68a3d7…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5bce42…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x51dce2…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x50fc36…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	69	5¢	$3	0x4cc510…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4917ae…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x413bf6…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3d0326…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x325c52…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2afeaa…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x27308b…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x271218…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x22f80b…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x106b2e…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0feac5…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x0703e3…
10-26 06:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x05aaa8…
10-26 06:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	749	5¢	$37	0xb4a4f9…
10-26 06:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0x9e65e6…
10-26 06:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0x9d01a9…
10-26 06:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x7a4626…
10-26 06:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	157	5¢	$8	0x5ed4e8…
10-26 06:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3079dc…
10-26 06:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xa2731a…
10-26 06:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xa10c7b…
10-26 06:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3f43a0…
10-26 06:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x39c351…
10-26 06:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0a6633…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfb8a23…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf337ef…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	127	5¢	$6	0xed413a…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd56850…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0xd4b113…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	84	5¢	$4	0xd2fd91…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xceb5f8…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	202	5¢	$10	0xbbb870…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb05db4…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	121	5¢	$6	0x9e1d5a…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9877d9…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x940288…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0x7ea7b4…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5d7fad…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x366a8b…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x234223…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	161	5¢	$8	0x1948c8…
10-26 06:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0ebf0f…
10-26 06:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xcd016d…
10-26 06:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x641db8…
10-26 06:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0x524704…
10-26 06:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x4315c0…
10-26 06:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x301241…
10-26 06:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2eb674…
10-26 06:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x176627…