Imaginary-Run — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$153

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved (90d)

2,847

Trades (90d)

3,090

12,937 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$7.87K

$28.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 11-04 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% -$164

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	99¢	$5	+$3	11-04 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	—	+6	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	11-04 17:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:50 UTC	2	$38	21	20	+0	Up	+$3	02-20 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:40 UTC	2	$32	17	17	+0	Up	+$3	02-20 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 10:50 UTC	2	$31	33	0	+33	Down	+$2	03-03 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 12:15 UTC	3	$29	52	0	+52	Up	-$29	02-26 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:35 UTC	2	$27	15	15	+0	Up	+$3	02-20 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 18:00 UTC	6	$26	15	15	+0	Up	+$4	02-24 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 11:10 UTC	6	$25	16	15	+0	Up	+$5	03-25 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	8	$24	42	0	+42	Up	-$9	11-04 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:30 UTC	2	$24	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	02-20 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	8	$23	41	0	+41	Up	-$2	11-04 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$21	21	21	+0	Down	+$11	05-29 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	5	$21	26	0	+26	Down	+$5	11-04 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	6	$21	32	0	+32	Down	-$16	11-03 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	6	$21	31	0	+31	Up	-$1	11-03 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	5	$21	41	0	+41	Up	-$2	06-02 19:36
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 16:00 UTC	1	$20	29	0	+29	Down	-$20	02-20 16:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 17:50 UTC	8	$20	22	22	+0	Down	-$3	03-03 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 18:35 UTC	8	$20	15	15	+0	Up	+$10	03-04 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	6	$19	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	11-03 13:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 17:45 UTC	6	$18	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	03-03 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	6	$18	35	0	+35	Up	-$8	11-03 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	6	$18	32	0	+32	Up	+$8	11-03 12:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:10 UTC	17	$17	59	46	+13	Down	-$3	03-04 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$17	33	33	+0	Up	+$7	05-29 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	05-16 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	6	$17	26	0	+26	Up	-$6	11-04 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	5	$17	26	0	+26	Up	+$3	11-03 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	6	$17	32	0	+32	Up	-$1	11-04 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	13	$17	15	14	+0	Up	$0	04-25 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$17	31	0	+31	Up	+$4	11-04 01:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 17:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x3b2b30…
11-04 17:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x849a42…
11-04 16:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4e3e0e…
11-04 16:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5c07f1…
11-04 16:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xa035fe…
11-04 16:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x0f1979…
11-04 15:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x114427…
11-04 15:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa1aa57…
11-04 15:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1f126b…
11-04 15:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x99e399…
11-04 15:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x79132d…
11-04 15:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x07e9a9…
11-04 14:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x105a0a…
11-04 14:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x7fecd6…
11-04 14:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x965958…
11-04 14:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xecf523…
11-04 14:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa79fdf…
11-04 14:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xc6f3bc…
11-04 14:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5f0e7e…
11-04 14:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc63bfd…
11-04 14:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x49c67c…
11-04 14:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd39af1…
11-04 14:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe9629d…
11-04 14:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3ab260…
11-04 14:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0xd70529…
11-04 14:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7146e8…
11-04 14:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xaba4f0…
11-04 14:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x56d16a…
11-04 14:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8a6a25…
11-04 14:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0cf677…
11-04 14:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x293369…
11-04 14:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc65d43…
11-04 14:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x76031d…
11-04 14:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x292d01…
11-04 14:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xcf43df…
11-04 14:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1a06ed…
11-04 14:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x0bd0af…
11-04 14:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x226bec…
11-04 14:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd93363…
11-04 14:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4d0321…
11-04 13:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8c34dd…
11-04 13:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf6f113…
11-04 13:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7eedfa…
11-04 13:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x101ee8…
11-04 13:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x6c2e6c…
11-04 13:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xba0c38…
11-04 13:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5153b0…
11-04 13:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1cc79f…
11-04 13:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8297d9…
11-04 12:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xea4db4…
11-04 12:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x05f136…
11-04 12:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf016b4…
11-04 12:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2e1f32…
11-04 12:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xc64fa5…
11-04 12:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1b1f55…
11-04 12:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x18d90a…
11-04 12:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x95fd03…
11-04 12:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0189a2…
11-04 12:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3c5ccd…
11-04 12:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x883ac5…
11-04 12:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xc92863…
11-04 12:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5ca0cb…
11-04 12:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x57bae7…
11-04 12:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x503e24…
11-04 12:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x62239e…
11-04 12:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x160074…
11-04 12:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd7a549…
11-04 12:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x600adc…
11-04 12:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x70c1d7…
11-04 12:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2e0a11…
11-04 11:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x32ae5b…
11-04 11:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x55a785…
11-04 11:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x53b927…
11-04 11:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x096664…
11-04 11:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5fed2a…
11-04 11:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4530ce…
11-04 11:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcfb670…
11-04 11:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x015653…
11-04 11:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2c045d…
11-04 11:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x36e9cc…
11-04 11:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1c06c8…
11-04 10:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2d4ff1…
11-04 10:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xbb2670…
11-04 10:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x376ef6…
11-04 10:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe2cac8…
11-04 10:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x66c642…
11-04 10:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x851c77…
11-04 10:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb5be6b…
11-04 09:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xebc4e3…
11-04 09:06:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x09c439…
11-04 08:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd61078…
11-04 08:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xeeaf65…
11-04 08:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1f0a0b…
11-04 08:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcdad5f…
11-04 08:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x68c6fa…
11-04 08:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0ede8d…
11-04 08:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xa15249…
11-04 08:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x988943…
11-04 08:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x59daff…
11-04 08:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7691d3…