Imaginary-Run — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$152

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved (90d)

2,835

Trades (90d)

2,927

12,642 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$7.20K

$27.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 11-01 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 158 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% -$164

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:50 UTC	2	$38	21	20	+0	Up	+$3	02-20 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:40 UTC	2	$32	17	17	+0	Up	+$3	02-20 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 10:50 UTC	2	$31	33	0	+33	Down	+$2	03-03 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 12:15 UTC	3	$29	52	0	+52	Up	-$29	02-26 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:35 UTC	2	$27	15	15	+0	Up	+$3	02-20 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 18:00 UTC	6	$26	15	15	+0	Up	+$4	02-24 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 11:10 UTC	6	$25	16	15	+0	Up	+$5	03-25 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:30 UTC	2	$24	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	02-20 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$21	21	21	+0	Down	+$11	05-29 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	5	$21	41	0	+41	Up	-$2	06-02 19:36
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 16:00 UTC	1	$20	29	0	+29	Down	-$20	02-20 16:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 17:50 UTC	8	$20	22	22	+0	Down	-$3	03-03 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 18:35 UTC	8	$20	15	15	+0	Up	+$10	03-04 18:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 17:45 UTC	6	$18	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	03-03 17:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:10 UTC	17	$17	59	46	+13	Down	-$3	03-04 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$17	33	33	+0	Up	+$7	05-29 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	05-16 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	13	$17	15	14	+0	Up	$0	04-25 23:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 19:30 UTC	3	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	02-24 19:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:40 UTC	4	$16	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	03-03 15:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:00 UTC	16	$15	187	187	+0	Up	+$3	03-04 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	11	$15	11	11	+0	Down	$0	04-25 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	6	$15	16	16	+0	Down	-$5	05-16 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 16:15 UTC	4	$15	11	11	+0	Down	-$1	03-03 16:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 17:40 UTC	4	$15	12	12	+0	Up	-$2	03-03 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	10	$15	13	12	+0	Up	+$0	04-25 23:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 10:00 UTC	3	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	02-25 10:05
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 12:10 UTC	2	$15	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	02-20 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:30 UTC	3	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$6	02-24 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 19:25 UTC	2	$14	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	02-24 19:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 18:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4b74e6…
11-01 18:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7d7c53…
11-01 18:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd6e904…
11-01 17:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa4ee97…
11-01 17:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x238b7f…
11-01 17:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe5bcfa…
11-01 16:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1ce866…
11-01 16:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x49fe39…
11-01 16:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf6804a…
11-01 16:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x113e96…
11-01 15:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x414bbd…
11-01 15:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcfe6f1…
11-01 15:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc98323…
11-01 15:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x141eeb…
11-01 15:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe34e94…
11-01 14:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x151193…
11-01 13:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x76e054…
11-01 13:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x004b8e…
11-01 12:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x46895d…
11-01 12:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x840e00…
11-01 12:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb9be85…
11-01 11:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1dcbdd…
11-01 11:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4bcd25…
11-01 11:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xda59cd…
11-01 10:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x57d2db…
11-01 10:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe04ed2…
11-01 09:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa2e6ac…
11-01 08:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x921b23…
11-01 08:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xedb493…
11-01 08:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x59bbd9…
11-01 07:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x503687…
11-01 04:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7da13a…
11-01 04:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7031ea…
11-01 04:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc77633…
11-01 03:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x42e8dd…
11-01 03:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf6277c…
11-01 02:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8ff1a1…
11-01 02:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x97862f…
11-01 02:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x31b049…
11-01 01:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xf2c3a8…
11-01 01:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5efa07…
11-01 00:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb3d2e0…
11-01 00:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4947df…
11-01 00:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xb34486…
11-01 00:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcc55f8…
10-31 23:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x18fcac…
10-31 23:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4f8d59…
10-31 22:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x802503…
10-31 22:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa51214…
10-31 22:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x62b909…
10-31 22:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf80241…
10-31 21:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd9b2d9…
10-31 21:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe72bb2…
10-31 21:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa402cf…
10-31 21:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcec9e9…
10-31 21:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe02328…
10-31 12:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6d510b…
10-31 11:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc41088…
10-31 11:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa6b8db…
10-31 07:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3bf2fd…
10-31 05:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4a8ad2…
10-31 05:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd1dd9d…
10-31 04:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4b9b00…
10-31 03:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5a019e…
10-31 03:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb2e74b…
10-31 03:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe62438…
10-31 03:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb626b0…
10-31 02:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x909c54…
10-31 01:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa69cc9…
10-31 01:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xab1206…
10-31 00:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xba8e39…
10-31 00:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x081564…
10-31 00:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x716743…
10-31 00:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd0e0b1…
10-31 00:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6a7c27…
10-30 23:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x166400…
10-30 23:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8d170f…
10-30 23:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x165b62…
10-30 23:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x68b8f1…
10-30 23:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xed0be1…
10-30 20:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x242c4c…
10-30 19:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x16dc32…
10-30 19:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x13320d…
10-30 19:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x21e7a4…
10-30 19:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdfe7fa…
10-30 18:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf7f1ad…
10-30 18:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xff28bf…
10-30 18:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8ed8e9…
10-30 17:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0d85fc…
10-30 17:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa8eaa1…
10-30 17:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xefb47f…
10-30 17:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4337b8…
10-30 15:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x75f478…
10-30 14:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x07931f…
10-30 14:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6b1f3c…
10-30 13:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x7c6d76…
10-30 13:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5abdef…
10-30 13:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe8fa6b…
10-30 12:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe3669b…
10-30 12:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc19764…