Imaginary-Run — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$153

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved (90d)

2,880

Trades (90d)

3,158

13,042 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$8.14K

$29.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-19

last 11-05 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% -$169

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	98¢	$5	+$3	11-05 11:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:50 UTC	2	$38	21	20	+0	Up	+$3	02-20 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:40 UTC	2	$32	17	17	+0	Up	+$3	02-20 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 10:50 UTC	2	$31	33	0	+33	Down	+$2	03-03 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 12:15 UTC	3	$29	52	0	+52	Up	-$29	02-26 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:35 UTC	2	$27	15	15	+0	Up	+$3	02-20 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 18:00 UTC	6	$26	15	15	+0	Up	+$4	02-24 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 11:10 UTC	6	$25	16	15	+0	Up	+$5	03-25 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	8	$24	42	0	+42	Up	-$9	11-04 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:30 UTC	2	$24	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	02-20 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	8	$23	41	0	+41	Up	-$2	11-04 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$21	21	21	+0	Down	+$11	05-29 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	5	$21	26	0	+26	Down	+$5	11-04 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	6	$21	32	0	+32	Down	-$16	11-03 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	6	$21	31	0	+31	Up	-$1	11-03 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	5	$21	41	0	+41	Up	-$2	06-02 19:36
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 16:00 UTC	1	$20	29	0	+29	Down	-$20	02-20 16:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 17:50 UTC	8	$20	22	22	+0	Down	-$3	03-03 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 18:35 UTC	8	$20	15	15	+0	Up	+$10	03-04 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	6	$19	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	11-03 13:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 17:45 UTC	6	$18	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	03-03 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	6	$18	35	0	+35	Up	-$8	11-03 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	6	$18	32	0	+32	Up	+$8	11-03 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	6	$18	33	0	+33	Down	+$4	11-04 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:10 UTC	17	$17	59	46	+13	Down	-$3	03-04 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$17	33	33	+0	Up	+$7	05-29 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	05-16 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	6	$17	26	0	+26	Up	-$6	11-04 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	5	$17	26	0	+26	Up	+$3	11-03 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	6	$17	32	0	+32	Up	-$1	11-04 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	13	$17	15	14	+0	Up	$0	04-25 23:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 11:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf77936…
11-05 11:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1a04ca…
11-05 10:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x17aeb0…
11-05 10:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2e338f…
11-05 10:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xf2cfae…
11-05 10:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x912ff7…
11-05 09:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x29290a…
11-05 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5b5b68…
11-05 09:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xabe9be…
11-05 09:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xff823c…
11-05 09:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xeb2c85…
11-05 09:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x65e425…
11-05 09:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1a36fa…
11-05 09:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xdfe281…
11-05 09:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x188644…
11-05 09:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x052afb…
11-05 09:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0d7d70…
11-05 09:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0xcc88d9…
11-05 07:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb5890f…
11-05 07:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc3a4b6…
11-05 07:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6e76bf…
11-05 07:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xdedfa4…
11-05 07:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x95d580…
11-05 07:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9813ac…
11-05 07:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x0ebf1f…
11-05 07:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0bd991…
11-05 07:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd3cee3…
11-05 07:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x81731e…
11-05 06:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xc7eb80…
11-05 05:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa19cbd…
11-05 05:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x01daeb…
11-05 05:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc9ef72…
11-05 04:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x14c507…
11-05 04:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x07fb6e…
11-05 04:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc493fa…
11-05 04:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x49055f…
11-05 04:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe1ef9d…
11-05 04:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x4e8009…
11-05 03:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa00c2c…
11-05 03:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x35849c…
11-05 03:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa6a57d…
11-05 03:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbe2271…
11-05 02:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x71e2bd…
11-05 02:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd9f7a5…
11-05 02:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa0a7e5…
11-05 02:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf63783…
11-05 02:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xbf4c33…
11-05 01:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x06f327…
11-05 01:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xcbce6d…
11-05 01:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xacbbbb…
11-05 01:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9c679e…
11-05 01:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa87f46…
11-05 01:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xaa6584…
11-05 01:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xa8bc42…
11-05 01:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0b1e76…
11-05 00:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7e8061…
11-05 00:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0c4c16…
11-05 00:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x89559e…
11-05 00:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2bf011…
11-05 00:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x79db0c…
11-05 00:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1b59eb…
11-05 00:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x03ad23…
11-04 23:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xb84885…
11-04 23:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x25c1ef…
11-04 22:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0ff4d1…
11-04 22:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x35eb71…
11-04 22:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xf7819b…
11-04 22:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbf7fd6…
11-04 22:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xaea935…
11-04 22:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb594dc…
11-04 22:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb3004a…
11-04 22:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0894c6…
11-04 22:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8227d5…
11-04 22:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$0	0xb7bd51…
11-04 22:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xc35155…
11-04 22:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x07a39f…
11-04 21:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xae86e6…
11-04 21:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x4c4d63…
11-04 20:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xec9842…
11-04 20:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xbdd860…
11-04 20:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x874322…
11-04 20:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x58a786…
11-04 20:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xb6afd7…
11-04 20:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x65c565…
11-04 20:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa3bcff…
11-04 20:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x722529…
11-04 19:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa4258f…
11-04 19:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xabd77b…
11-04 19:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0663ca…
11-04 19:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x8684ad…
11-04 19:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x715488…
11-04 19:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa00c11…
11-04 18:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb566d0…
11-04 18:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x739c69…
11-04 18:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x733441…
11-04 18:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbf44b2…
11-04 18:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x4efcf0…
11-04 18:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe821d6…
11-04 18:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x011a2c…
11-04 18:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x691417…