Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
95.4%
Resolved
100
Trades
152
lifetime
Volume
$1.20K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$178
24 positions
First seen
2026-06-29
last 10-27 23:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
42% 95% +$18
Crypto
34% 100% +$17
Politics
21% 94% -$3
Sports
2% 67% -$7
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +13 $12 98¢ $13 +$1 10-24 00:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +13 $12 96¢ $12 +$0 10-24 07:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +13 $12 96¢ $12 +$0 10-24 07:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28? Yes +12 $12 98¢ $12 +$0 10-27 17:02
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-27 23:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 10-20 09:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 10-20 06:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-20 06:42
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$0 10-20 17:12
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +8 $8 97¢ $8 $0 10-19 06:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 10-27 20:26
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 10-20 23:02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 10-16 16:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 10-20 15:10
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-02 09:55
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-05 07:40
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-05 02:04
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-05 04:28
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 10-05 03:53
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-05 09:43
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-02 14:39
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 10-02 16:35
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 10-05 05:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 10-03 01:01