Dark-Conformation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

457

Trades

786

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-11 01:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

74% 68% +$177

Crypto

22% 81% -$34

Politics

4% 17% -$58

Sports

0% 75% +$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	10	$1.1K	689	689	+0	Yes	-$108	03-24 06:59
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 15corhigher	6	$1.1K	589	589	+0	No	-$27	03-24 09:10
highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 11c	20	$1.0K	739	337	+402	Yes	+$19	03-21 09:57
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 24 2026 28c	8	$564	286	286	+0	No	+$0	03-24 09:23
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 12c	2	$560	281	281	+0	No	+$2	03-24 03:15
highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 10c	8	$538	308	274	+34	No	+$9	03-21 04:03
highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 10c	2	$434	350	87	+262	No	+$3	03-18 12:52
highest temperature in tokyo on march 14 2026 12c	3	$434	220	220	+0	No	+$7	03-14 05:05
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 7c	2	$406	206	206	+0	No	+$6	03-26 02:03
highest temperature in beijing on march 26 2026 25c	2	$404	213	213	+0	Yes	+$4	03-26 07:53
highest temperature in seoul on march 14 2026 7c	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	+$0	03-14 02:49
highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 10c	13	$329	353	70	+283	No	+$21	03-19 06:20
highest temperature in seoul on march 20 2026 15corhigher	1	$328	330	0	+330	No	+$2	03-20 02:43
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 16corhigher	1	$300	306	0	+306	No	+$6	03-23 06:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$293	172	172	+0	Yes	-$45	04-08 00:55
highest temperature in seoul on march 16 2026 11c	3	$288	293	0	+293	No	+$6	03-16 06:54
highest temperature in seoul on march 28 2026 12c	2	$280	297	0	+297	Yes	+$17	03-28 06:24
highest temperature in wuhan on march 26 2026 20c	2	$260	274	0	+274	No	+$14	03-26 08:50
highest temperature in beijing on march 24 2026 19c	2	$233	242	0	+242	Yes	+$9	03-24 11:29
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 13corhigher	1	$215	220	0	+220	No	+$5	03-17 06:18
highest temperature in seoul on march 30 2026 19c	3	$202	103	103	+0	No	+$2	03-30 06:28
highest temperature in wuhan on april 10 2026 27c	8	$201	103	103	+0	No	+$1	04-10 09:10
highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 9c	3	$183	100	100	+0	No	-$9	03-18 06:17
will iran strike israel on march 3	3	$171	585	85	+500	Yes	-$1	03-05 07:01
highest temperature in wuhan on april 3 2026 23c	1	$151	151	0	+151	No	+$0	04-03 09:49
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	5	$130	136	10	+125	No	-$4	04-17 06:21
will iran strike israel on march 6	3	$126	187	149	+38	No	-$15	03-07 11:39
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 31c	1	$121	121	0	+121	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	1	$118	119	0	+119	Yes	+$0	05-12 08:52
highest temperature in seoul on april 9 2026 12c	2	$118	126	0	+126	Yes	+$8	04-09 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 01:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	17	9¢	$1	0x89a0ef…
07-10 09:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xafb3d7…
07-10 09:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c9869…
07-10 07:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x819da2…
07-10 07:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9699de…
07-08 07:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xb0a71f…
07-08 06:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5f03a8…
07-07 08:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or below on July 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2817d2…
07-07 08:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ac3ad…
07-07 08:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on July 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd821b8…
07-07 08:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x877f60…
07-07 03:38:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	54	18¢	$10	0xf926c7…
07-07 03:38:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	60	18¢	$11	0x40d450…
07-07 03:38:38	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	55	33¢	$18	0x4e33f2…
07-07 01:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xeaabef…
07-07 01:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x025012…
07-06 12:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x4f2438…
07-06 08:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7d9137…
07-06 08:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb20108…
07-06 08:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 6?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x869b1b…
07-06 08:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf64431…
07-06 06:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x05ce28…
07-06 06:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x16ed31…
07-06 03:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xfc10ee…
07-06 03:29:35	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	88	14¢	$12	0x2d16e0…
07-06 02:23:55	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xcb77dd…
07-04 00:42:05	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	68	98¢	$66	0x54fe29…
07-02 09:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xb75dea…
07-02 09:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x60cca8…
06-27 09:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on June 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9c6869…
06-27 09:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6b0da…
06-27 09:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5225e1…
06-27 09:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb10b95…
06-27 09:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x46c219…
06-27 09:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2762e3…
06-27 07:36:47	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x718899…
06-26 09:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 26?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xaaf3b1…
06-26 09:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaee0ba…
06-26 09:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 26?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa14c31…
06-26 09:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47f0f4…
06-25 09:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$75	0x936243…
06-25 02:51:22	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x98fd0a…
06-25 02:45:56	Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0xabc60c…
06-25 02:28:22	Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb6d904…
06-12 07:37:16	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x65c609…
06-12 07:36:42	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x48f462…
06-12 07:36:07	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1b9026…
06-12 07:35:51	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x061493…
06-12 07:35:25	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x174c68…
06-12 07:35:10	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb0ed8b…
06-12 07:34:22	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x155228…
06-12 07:33:54	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2fbed1…
06-12 07:33:34	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5e85a9…
06-12 07:33:13	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe96fea…
06-12 07:33:04	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2905fc…
06-12 07:19:34	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8bc51e…
06-12 03:53:46	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xd5eedf…
06-12 03:40:06	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x4ea5b8…
06-12 01:05:39	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xcf5f0e…
06-11 09:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x04eb7b…
06-11 09:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda706f…
06-11 09:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a8ab1…
06-11 09:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29dcea…
06-11 07:39:40	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa33d6e…
06-11 07:39:16	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xad9580…
06-11 07:33:03	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x9c75a6…
06-04 09:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xf16cb7…
06-04 09:32:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x76032f…
06-03 02:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb50c09…
06-03 02:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x395911…
06-03 02:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26a4e4…
05-18 02:02:12	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0x22eb4a…
05-18 02:02:05	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x03d4db…
05-18 02:02:00	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xa1ca42…
05-14 07:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x967b13…
05-14 03:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd94555…
05-13 09:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xd139dd…
05-13 06:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x07f340…
05-13 01:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe0dec9…
05-13 01:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0x74b09c…
05-12 08:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x359885…
05-11 07:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2dc317…
05-11 07:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x0ebc85…
05-07 07:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0b0f8b…
05-07 07:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 7?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x7c85f2…
05-07 07:35:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x778a75…
05-07 07:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 7?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7a89c1…
05-07 07:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1fdbab…
05-06 07:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 6?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xe23ae3…
04-25 08:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xe6dd16…
04-22 10:30:02	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x6ad42a…
04-22 09:04:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5863fc…
04-22 06:19:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9067a4…
04-22 06:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe5f3c1…
04-22 03:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x60a08f…
04-22 03:18:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x19c41c…
04-22 02:24:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x22c6fe…
04-22 02:22:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x91450c…
04-22 02:18:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbbf102…
04-22 02:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8d4148…