Unwelcome-Surprise — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$65

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,132 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$3.31K

$77.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 11-01 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

91% 61% +$239

Sports

8% 54% -$767

Crypto

1% 100% +$134

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
clf acm int 2026 08 05 total 1pt5	2	$1.3K	878	878	+0	Over	+$443	08-05 12:59
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	7	$1.1K	847	847	+0	JD Gaming	+$158	10-08 13:21
Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	10	$1.0K	1,000	673	+327	Corentin Moutet	-$213	10-20 15:24
lol t1 kc 2026 07 18	4	$997	697	697	+0	Karmine Corp	+$343	07-18 14:05
Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-18?	2	$970	511	511	+0	Yes	+$51	07-18 18:08
wta wa kasatki 2026 08 03	8	$948	664	664	+0	Daria Kasatkina	-$15	08-04 03:31
lol g2 dk 2026 07 16 game handicap home 1pt5	2	$850	541	541	+0	Dplus KIA	+$230	07-16 15:21
lol we nip 2026 01 22	6	$761	489	489	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$8	01-22 13:39
wta wa ostapen 2026 01 22	10	$650	590	513	+77	Wang	-$40	01-22 05:17
lol dk ns 2026 01 21	5	$605	427	427	+0	Dplus KIA	+$13	01-21 10:33
lol edg tt 2026 01 23 game2	5	$601	1,334	383	+951	EDward Gaming	-$23	01-23 11:46
lol gam t1 2026 07 16 game handicap home 1pt5	2	$581	325	325	+0	T1	+$68	07-16 13:19
Will CD Castellón vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?	2	$575	373	373	+0	Yes	+$164	10-04 18:25
atp spizzir wu 2026 01 22	5	$569	469	788	-319	Spizzirri	-$69	01-22 07:27
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong	3	$568	363	301	+63	Quentin Halys	+$33	10-07 10:28
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces	4	$564	372	372	+0	Golden State Valkyries	+$8	10-10 03:57
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-09?	2	$544	294	294	+0	Yes	+$44	10-09 14:06
lol ns t1 2026 08 03	4	$541	339	339	+0	Nongshim Red Force	+$81	08-03 12:50
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5	2	$540	291	291	+0	Under	+$40	10-18 15:43
Manchester United FC leading at halftime?	2	$537	287	287	+0	No	+$37	10-31 13:35
Will Al Duhail SC win on 2026-10-08?	2	$505	286	286	+0	Yes	+$65	10-08 16:38
lol bro2 drx 2026 08 04	3	$503	334	305	+29	Kiwoom DRX	+$107	08-04 13:50
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yibing Wu vs Michael Zheng	3	$498	421	222	+199	Yibing Wu	-$54	10-07 11:52
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-10-31?	2	$498	268	268	+0	Yes	+$38	10-31 07:10
Will Club Puebla vs. Club León FC end in a draw?	2	$486	276	276	+0	Yes	+$66	10-10 03:18
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-18?	2	$479	262	262	+0	Yes	+$39	10-18 13:44
lol g2 agal 2026 07 16	3	$458	313	259	+53	AG.AL	+$60	07-16 11:04
lol navi shft 2026 08 03 game2	2	$454	282	282	+0	Natus Vincere	+$110	08-03 16:49
Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	4	$452	372	372	+0	Ann Li	-$28	10-20 04:37
wta zhen maneiro 2026 07 13	4	$451	255	255	+0	Qinwen Zheng	+$51	07-13 16:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 13:29:42	Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	262	92¢	$240	0xd3e6ae…
11-01 13:26:39	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb88002…
11-01 12:37:09	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xafb470…
11-01 12:10:51	PEC Zwolle vs. ADO Den Haag: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x69c98d…
11-01 11:25:33	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions	Jilin Northeast Tigers	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x68ee0d…
11-01 11:21:19	PEC Zwolle vs. ADO Den Haag: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	126	87¢	$110	0x915ed9…
11-01 10:59:43	FK Orenburg leading at halftime?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0xce7a4d…
11-01 10:21:52	FK Orenburg leading at halftime?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xd43bb0…
11-01 10:19:49	Set Handicap: Lilli Tagger (-1.5) vs Harriet Dart (+1.5)	Harriet Dart	SELL	232	100¢	$232	0x9dc7e7…
11-01 09:55:21	Set Handicap: Lilli Tagger (-1.5) vs Harriet Dart (+1.5)	Harriet Dart	BUY	232	52¢	$120	0xe9a908…
11-01 08:07:51	Perth Glory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xdc466a…
11-01 08:06:04	FC Machida Zelvia vs. Gamba Ōsaka: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x106aa3…
11-01 06:58:46	FC Machida Zelvia vs. Gamba Ōsaka: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x2eeba6…
11-01 04:49:43	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xa1c894…
11-01 04:49:07	Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xd0cf77…
11-01 01:45:12	Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xcf2ba0…
10-31 15:52:31	Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x7588db…
10-31 15:49:40	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x1b5154…
10-31 15:08:51	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x1a7d7e…
10-31 14:05:54	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa2600b…
10-31 13:35:06	Manchester United FC leading at halftime?	No	SELL	287	100¢	$287	0x12368f…
10-31 13:06:12	Manchester United FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	287	87¢	$250	0x8fd3df…
10-31 09:55:10	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart	Xinran Sun	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x27f5a4…
10-31 07:10:00	Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	268	100¢	$268	0x019e20…
10-31 05:22:58	Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	268	86¢	$230	0x8d4133…
10-31 02:24:22	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x8081d4…
10-30 23:28:58	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x44e13b…
10-30 13:48:43	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi	Lilli Tagger	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x167d2d…
10-30 10:57:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu	Xinran Sun	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x099f89…
10-30 09:52:30	Will Auckland FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x7c6961…
10-30 08:51:57	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Alexandra Eala	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x256faf…
10-29 12:55:32	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x7215eb…
10-29 10:22:11	Gangwon FC vs. Kuching City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x0d89ce…
10-28 03:12:35	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	54	52¢	$28	0xdb5528…
10-28 03:11:53	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Kamilla Rakhimova	SELL	88	33¢	$29	0x393372…
10-28 02:33:24	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	88	53¢	$47	0xd556f5…
10-28 02:32:45	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	114	43¢	$49	0xcbac10…
10-28 02:28:47	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	114	56¢	$64	0xe2a51f…
10-28 02:24:24	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xafe2b3…
10-28 02:24:15	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	247	13¢	$32	0xa2709d…
10-28 01:19:23	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x37e3e8…
10-28 01:06:44	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Nets	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xde05f0…
10-28 01:05:35	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Nets	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0xa7f07c…
10-28 01:05:02	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Nets	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x2bbe13…
10-25 05:28:12	Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa3e1d1…
10-25 04:06:21	Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x9a9003…
10-25 01:17:27	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x20b473…
10-25 00:08:29	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xb60f16…
10-25 00:02:45	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x3d3941…
10-24 23:51:27	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x56b8b3…
10-24 16:07:41	SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x8655b4…
10-24 16:06:50	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x142429…
10-24 15:18:53	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x67b0a0…
10-24 15:18:05	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	36	37¢	$13	0x8b3089…
10-24 14:49:03	FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0xf15b4a…
10-24 13:56:56	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x8e2fa1…
10-24 13:56:45	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xdc39d6…
10-24 13:35:33	FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x6763ca…
10-21 16:05:15	Will FF Jaro win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x6f6ea3…
10-21 15:14:35	Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x948784…
10-21 14:14:18	Ghazl El Mahalla SC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xd8d8e4…
10-20 15:24:00	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	BUY	327	60¢	$196	0x308c3b…
10-20 15:22:23	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Corentin Moutet	SELL	210	51¢	$107	0xb9f5d0…
10-20 15:14:42	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Corentin Moutet	BUY	210	50¢	$105	0x12282a…
10-20 15:14:03	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	SELL	141	50¢	$70	0x9baa9a…
10-20 15:10:47	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xb773c2…
10-20 15:10:12	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	SELL	286	77¢	$220	0xc0601e…
10-20 14:14:27	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xfdb9ef…
10-20 14:14:21	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x3dbbc1…
10-20 14:14:12	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Corentin Moutet	SELL	36	30¢	$11	0xbe51e9…
10-20 13:45:20	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Corentin Moutet	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x508c78…
10-20 13:37:17	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales: O/U 176.5	Over	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc45a3a…
10-20 13:35:20	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales	Jilin Northeast Tigers	SELL	38	9¢	$3	0x380da7…
10-20 11:14:35	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales: O/U 176.5	Over	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xc86016…
10-20 11:13:21	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales	Jilin Northeast Tigers	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x7ae9e5…
10-20 10:00:56	Japan Women's Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns	Katerina Siniakova	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x8e78d7…
10-20 09:35:41	Japan Women's Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xce3f3a…
10-20 09:31:14	Ningbo Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x0b2760…
10-20 09:30:56	Ningbo Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x9d400a…
10-20 09:28:57	Ningbo Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x2ae31a…
10-20 09:20:03	Ningbo Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	29	73¢	$21	0xde3471…
10-20 09:17:11	Ningbo Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x7a8aea…
10-20 07:15:53	Japan Women's Open: Paula Badosa vs Antonia Ruzic	Antonia Ruzic	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xb246bc…
10-20 06:44:55	Japan Women's Open: Paula Badosa vs Antonia Ruzic	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x5ba172…
10-20 05:30:02	Guangzhou 2: Ognjen Milic vs Jay Dylan Friend	Jay Dylan Friend	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xd4fefc…
10-20 05:19:11	Guangzhou 2: Ognjen Milic vs Jay Dylan Friend	Jay Dylan Friend	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x4f7946…
10-20 05:18:38	Guangzhou 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Kaichi Uchida	Kaichi Uchida	SELL	429	3¢	$13	0x971f4a…
10-20 05:18:18	Guangzhou 2: Ognjen Milic vs Jay Dylan Friend	Ognjen Milic	SELL	316	82¢	$259	0x31711f…
10-20 04:44:45	Guangzhou 2: Ognjen Milic vs Jay Dylan Friend	Ognjen Milic	BUY	316	28¢	$90	0x23bc2a…
10-20 04:39:08	Guangzhou 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Kaichi Uchida	Kaichi Uchida	BUY	429	14¢	$60	0xb0e333…
10-20 04:37:56	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	Ann Li	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x2781bf…
10-20 04:31:48	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	Ann Li	BUY	160	81¢	$130	0xdf251e…
10-20 04:28:47	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Shuai Zhang	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xe5a3c2…
10-20 04:28:17	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	Emerson Jones	SELL	212	24¢	$51	0xa7987f…
10-20 04:19:03	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	Emerson Jones	BUY	212	52¢	$110	0x7a79d4…
10-20 04:17:18	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Shuai Zhang	SELL	119	8¢	$10	0x69fb27…
10-20 03:43:29	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Shuai Zhang	BUY	119	47¢	$56	0xbf58c7…
10-20 03:43:14	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Tereza Valentova	SELL	24	53¢	$12	0x02ff8c…
10-20 03:21:38	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Tereza Valentova	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x894839…
10-20 00:27:00	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 152.5	Over	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xec0412…