Unwelcome-Surprise — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$416

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved (90d)

241

Trades (90d)

447

1,090 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$38.0K

$74.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-25 05:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

91% 61% +$81

Sports

8% 56% -$544

Crypto

1% 100% +$134

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
clf acm int 2026 08 05 total 1pt5	2	$1.3K	878	878	+0	Over	+$443	08-05 12:59
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	7	$1.1K	847	847	+0	JD Gaming	+$158	10-08 13:21
Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	10	$1.0K	1,000	673	+327	Corentin Moutet	-$213	10-20 15:24
lol t1 kc 2026 07 18	4	$997	697	697	+0	Karmine Corp	+$343	07-18 14:05
Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-18?	2	$970	511	511	+0	Yes	+$51	07-18 18:08
wta wa kasatki 2026 08 03	8	$948	664	664	+0	Daria Kasatkina	-$15	08-04 03:31
lol g2 dk 2026 07 16 game handicap home 1pt5	2	$850	541	541	+0	Dplus KIA	+$230	07-16 15:21
lol we nip 2026 01 22	6	$761	489	489	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$8	01-22 13:39
wta wa ostapen 2026 01 22	10	$650	590	513	+77	Wang	-$40	01-22 05:17
lol dk ns 2026 01 21	5	$605	427	427	+0	Dplus KIA	+$13	01-21 10:33
lol edg tt 2026 01 23 game2	5	$601	1,334	383	+951	EDward Gaming	-$23	01-23 11:46
lol gam t1 2026 07 16 game handicap home 1pt5	2	$581	325	325	+0	T1	+$68	07-16 13:19
Will CD Castellón vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?	2	$575	373	373	+0	Yes	+$164	10-04 18:25
atp spizzir wu 2026 01 22	5	$569	469	788	-319	Spizzirri	-$69	01-22 07:27
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong	3	$568	363	301	+63	Quentin Halys	+$33	10-07 10:28
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces	4	$564	372	372	+0	Golden State Valkyries	+$8	10-10 03:57
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-09?	2	$544	294	294	+0	Yes	+$44	10-09 14:06
lol ns t1 2026 08 03	4	$541	339	339	+0	Nongshim Red Force	+$81	08-03 12:50
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5	2	$540	291	291	+0	Under	+$40	10-18 15:43
Will Al Duhail SC win on 2026-10-08?	2	$505	286	286	+0	Yes	+$65	10-08 16:38
lol bro2 drx 2026 08 04	3	$503	334	305	+29	Kiwoom DRX	+$107	08-04 13:50
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yibing Wu vs Michael Zheng	3	$498	421	222	+199	Yibing Wu	-$54	10-07 11:52
Will Club Puebla vs. Club León FC end in a draw?	2	$486	276	276	+0	Yes	+$66	10-10 03:18
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-18?	2	$479	262	262	+0	Yes	+$39	10-18 13:44
lol g2 agal 2026 07 16	3	$458	313	259	+53	AG.AL	+$60	07-16 11:04
lol navi shft 2026 08 03 game2	2	$454	282	282	+0	Natus Vincere	+$110	08-03 16:49
Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	4	$452	372	372	+0	Ann Li	-$28	10-20 04:37
wta zhen maneiro 2026 07 13	4	$451	255	255	+0	Qinwen Zheng	+$51	07-13 16:15
nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	4	$451	318	317	+0	Clippers	+$29	03-03 05:36
lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	3	$451	312	263	+49	Hanwha Life Esports	+$75	07-12 13:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 05:28:12	Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa3e1d1…
10-25 04:06:21	Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x9a9003…
10-25 01:17:27	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x20b473…
10-25 00:08:29	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xb60f16…
10-25 00:02:45	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x3d3941…
10-24 23:51:27	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x56b8b3…
10-24 16:07:41	SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x8655b4…
10-24 16:06:50	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x142429…
10-24 15:18:53	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x67b0a0…
10-24 15:18:05	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	36	37¢	$13	0x8b3089…
10-24 14:49:03	FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0xf15b4a…
10-24 13:56:56	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x8e2fa1…
10-24 13:56:45	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xdc39d6…
10-24 13:35:33	FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x6763ca…
10-21 16:05:15	Will FF Jaro win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x6f6ea3…
10-21 15:14:35	Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x948784…
10-21 14:14:18	Ghazl El Mahalla SC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xd8d8e4…
10-20 15:24:00	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	BUY	327	60¢	$196	0x308c3b…
10-20 15:22:23	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Corentin Moutet	SELL	210	51¢	$107	0xb9f5d0…
10-20 15:14:42	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Corentin Moutet	BUY	210	50¢	$105	0x12282a…
10-20 15:14:03	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	SELL	141	50¢	$70	0x9baa9a…
10-20 15:10:47	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xb773c2…
10-20 15:10:12	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	SELL	286	77¢	$220	0xc0601e…
10-20 14:14:27	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xfdb9ef…
10-20 14:14:21	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Ugo Humbert	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x3dbbc1…
10-20 14:14:12	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Corentin Moutet	SELL	36	30¢	$11	0xbe51e9…
10-20 13:45:20	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet	Corentin Moutet	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x508c78…
10-20 13:37:17	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales: O/U 176.5	Over	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc45a3a…
10-20 13:35:20	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales	Jilin Northeast Tigers	SELL	38	9¢	$3	0x380da7…
10-20 11:14:35	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales: O/U 176.5	Over	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xc86016…
10-20 11:13:21	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales	Jilin Northeast Tigers	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x7ae9e5…
10-20 10:00:56	Japan Women's Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns	Katerina Siniakova	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x8e78d7…
10-20 09:35:41	Japan Women's Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xce3f3a…
10-20 09:31:14	Ningbo Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x0b2760…
10-20 09:30:56	Ningbo Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x9d400a…
10-20 09:28:57	Ningbo Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x2ae31a…
10-20 09:20:03	Ningbo Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	29	73¢	$21	0xde3471…
10-20 09:17:11	Ningbo Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x7a8aea…
10-20 07:15:53	Japan Women's Open: Paula Badosa vs Antonia Ruzic	Antonia Ruzic	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xb246bc…
10-20 06:44:55	Japan Women's Open: Paula Badosa vs Antonia Ruzic	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x5ba172…
10-20 05:30:02	Guangzhou 2: Ognjen Milic vs Jay Dylan Friend	Jay Dylan Friend	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xd4fefc…
10-20 05:19:11	Guangzhou 2: Ognjen Milic vs Jay Dylan Friend	Jay Dylan Friend	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x4f7946…
10-20 05:18:38	Guangzhou 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Kaichi Uchida	Kaichi Uchida	SELL	429	3¢	$13	0x971f4a…
10-20 05:18:18	Guangzhou 2: Ognjen Milic vs Jay Dylan Friend	Ognjen Milic	SELL	316	82¢	$259	0x31711f…
10-20 04:44:45	Guangzhou 2: Ognjen Milic vs Jay Dylan Friend	Ognjen Milic	BUY	316	28¢	$90	0x23bc2a…
10-20 04:39:08	Guangzhou 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Kaichi Uchida	Kaichi Uchida	BUY	429	14¢	$60	0xb0e333…
10-20 04:37:56	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	Ann Li	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x2781bf…
10-20 04:31:48	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	Ann Li	BUY	160	81¢	$130	0xdf251e…
10-20 04:28:47	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Shuai Zhang	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xe5a3c2…
10-20 04:28:17	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	Emerson Jones	SELL	212	24¢	$51	0xa7987f…
10-20 04:19:03	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	Emerson Jones	BUY	212	52¢	$110	0x7a79d4…
10-20 04:17:18	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Shuai Zhang	SELL	119	8¢	$10	0x69fb27…
10-20 03:43:29	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Shuai Zhang	BUY	119	47¢	$56	0xbf58c7…
10-20 03:43:14	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Tereza Valentova	SELL	24	53¢	$12	0x02ff8c…
10-20 03:21:38	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Tereza Valentova	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x894839…
10-20 00:27:00	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 152.5	Over	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xec0412…
10-20 00:01:36	Will CA Sarmiento vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcf6af0…
10-19 15:05:42	Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x794021…
10-19 14:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf10afb…
10-19 14:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x36360c…
10-19 13:33:26	Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shanghai Sharks: O/U 187.5	Over	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xfd6c03…
10-19 13:33:15	Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shanghai Sharks	Shanghai Sharks	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x0d9773…
10-19 11:21:57	Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shanghai Sharks: O/U 187.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xdd4b6d…
10-19 11:20:50	Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shanghai Sharks	Shanghai Sharks	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xbba8d7…
10-19 06:59:05	Ningbo Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Han Shi	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	41	68¢	$28	0x73c500…
10-19 06:29:38	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Elise Mertens	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x72a68f…
10-19 05:45:02	Japan Women's Open: Caty McNally vs Sinja Kraus	Sinja Kraus	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0xd16857…
10-19 05:15:44	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	57	22¢	$13	0x9fdaf2…
10-19 05:14:27	Japan Women's Open: Caty McNally vs Sinja Kraus	Sinja Kraus	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xe5bae1…
10-19 05:12:47	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Elise Mertens	SELL	24	66¢	$16	0x13b5aa…
10-19 05:12:20	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xea086e…
10-19 04:57:23	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Elise Mertens	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xb87e9d…
10-19 04:44:18	Will CD Marquense win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x23ed64…
10-19 03:33:11	Will CD Marquense win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xc2902c…
10-19 03:28:06	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0xd1d2e6…
10-19 02:51:35	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xfb9b61…
10-19 00:56:30	Clube do Remo vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x37c995…
10-19 00:01:48	Clube do Remo vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x9b6bef…
10-18 17:40:57	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x8f3df1…
10-18 17:24:51	Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x299782…
10-18 16:28:42	Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xe593f8…
10-18 16:27:05	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0xfe5362…
10-18 15:45:08	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x3ba666…
10-18 15:43:53	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	291	100¢	$290	0x02ecd8…
10-18 14:54:00	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	291	86¢	$250	0x933df1…
10-18 14:21:50	Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x2a106d…
10-18 14:21:21	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: 1st Half O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x330064…
10-18 13:56:36	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: 1st Half O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x2a37ca…
10-18 13:44:12	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	262	99¢	$259	0x5839ac…
10-18 13:34:35	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	262	84¢	$220	0xa79569…
10-18 12:57:50	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Jilin Northeast Tigers	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0xc8cf3d…
10-18 12:56:02	Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	246	100¢	$245	0x53207d…
10-18 11:27:32	Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	246	52¢	$128	0x4628f8…
10-18 11:22:42	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	143	39¢	$56	0x95ffc9…
10-18 10:33:44	Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x50c185…
10-18 10:33:08	FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x62f00f…
10-18 07:39:27	FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x156c01…
10-18 07:38:56	Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Aoi Ito	Harriet Dart	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x581f32…
10-18 07:06:02	Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Aoi Ito	Harriet Dart	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x78ec47…
10-15 12:38:52	LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	HANJIN BRION	BUY	276	58¢	$160	0x7dace7…