Realized P&L
+$5.51K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
262
Trades
1,598
lifetime
Volume
$253.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$159
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 18:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
73%
73%
+$2,772
Politics
22%
79%
+$3,781
Sports
2%
70%
$0
Tech
1%
57%
-$1,562
Crypto
1%
88%
+$522
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 171 | $35.8K | 32,470 | 19,253 | +13,218 | Yes | -$117 | 02-01 20:07 |
| earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times | 1 | $10.0K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | Yes | +$20 | 01-21 18:29 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926 | 16 | $9.2K | 4,515 | 5,115 | -600 | No | +$310 | 03-19 19:57 |
| ilhan omar town hall attack staged | 19 | $7.9K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | No | +$43 | 02-11 18:09 |
| new stranger things episode released by january 31 294 | 3 | $6.0K | 6,000 | 0 | +6,000 | No | +$32 | 01-29 16:21 |
| will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting | 4 | $5.9K | 6,000 | 0 | +6,000 | Yes | +$90 | 02-13 10:33 |
| us strikes yemen by december 31 | 6 | $5.0K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | Yes | +$10 | 01-02 03:16 |
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 1 | $5.0K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | No | +$15 | 01-01 20:46 |
| italy nordio reform referendum passes | 74 | $5.0K | 4,000 | 3,719 | +281 | No | +$135 | 03-23 16:10 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | 2 | $4.9K | 4,938 | 0 | +4,938 | Yes | +$10 | 04-30 22:30 |
| us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31 | 3 | $4.8K | 4,825 | 0 | +4,825 | Yes | +$18 | 02-03 20:47 |
| will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282 | 9 | $4.1K | 1,966 | 2,466 | -500 | No | +$223 | 03-24 16:15 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 2 | $4.0K | 4,000 | 0 | +4,000 | No | +$41 | 03-04 17:49 |
| will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025 | 13 | $3.9K | 4,706 | 0 | +4,706 | Yes | +$775 | 02-10 11:00 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 20 | $3.9K | 4,159 | 400 | +3,759 | Yes | +$297 | 02-28 21:47 |
| mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026 | 13 | $3.8K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | No | +$157 | 03-28 14:48 |
| will the us strike somalia next 656 | 8 | $3.8K | 1,246 | 2,567 | -1,320 | Yes | +$20 | 01-25 02:42 |
| us strike on somalia by january 31 338 | 25 | $3.8K | 2,800 | 1,300 | +1,500 | Yes | +$315 | 01-23 18:59 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | 11 | $3.7K | 3,500 | 1,000 | +2,500 | No | +$409 | 02-08 22:34 |
| will the us strike iran next 433 | 19 | $3.6K | 3,146 | 500 | +2,646 | No | +$70 | 01-23 18:17 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time? | 7 | $3.1K | 3,300 | 0 | +3,300 | No | +$197 | 02-13 09:59 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 5 | $2.9K | 1,521 | 1,521 | +0 | No | +$53 | 03-19 19:00 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | 2 | $2.5K | 2,500 | 0 | +2,500 | No | +$19 | 02-04 22:35 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | 30 | $2.4K | 0 | 5,000 | -5,000 | cancelled | -$50 | 05-19 22:00 |
| will seguro win all of portugals districts | 4 | $2.3K | 2,120 | 1,000 | +1,120 | Yes | +$377 | 02-07 01:13 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | 2 | $2.0K | 2,078 | 0 | +2,078 | No | +$62 | 03-29 16:04 |
| will the us not strike another country before 2027 952 | 1 | $2.0K | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | +$4 | 01-23 18:54 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | 1 | $1.9K | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | +$84 | 05-29 07:41 |
| miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121 | 2 | $1.9K | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | +$106 | 03-21 20:14 |
| nuclear weapon detonation by march 31 | 7 | $1.8K | 1,911 | 0 | +1,911 | No | +$148 | 03-01 10:15 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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