(anonymous) 0x782861…ae381b
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Realized P&L
-$119
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
55.4%
Resolved
386
Trades
678
lifetime
Volume
$2.39K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$168
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-11
last 11-01 11:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
67% 46% -$92
Politics
25% 42% -$11
Tech
4% 67% +$0
Sports
2% 17% -$16
Crypto
2% 33% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 10-08 09:22
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 10-28 18:31
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +11 $10 84¢ $9 -$1 10-08 11:08
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +9 $8 95¢ $9 +$1 09-16 21:06
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +9 $8 89¢ $8 +$0 10-27 19:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 +$0 10-21 16:45
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 89¢ $7 +$0 09-20 15:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +8 $7 88¢ $7 +$0 10-19 11:01
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +8 $7 87¢ $7 +$0 09-23 12:02
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +7 $5 100¢ $7 +$1 10-13 14:24
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +7 $6 90¢ $7 +$0 10-22 09:57
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +7 $6 84¢ $6 +$0 09-30 16:52
israeli knesset election annulled No +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 10-28 20:24
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +6 $4 95¢ $5 +$1 09-12 11:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 10-25 20:04
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 10-29 19:19
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 10-08 17:37
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 09-29 15:18
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 46¢ $5 $0 09-26 07:46
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 10-23 23:21
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 10-10 19:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? No +6 $4 74¢ $4 $0 10-11 21:36
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +5 $3 84¢ $4 +$1 09-17 22:16
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 10-08 21:06
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 75¢ $4 +$1 09-17 23:02
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $4 68¢ $4 $0 09-28 17:56
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 10-26 15:39
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +9 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 09-26 18:30
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? No +5 $2 7¢ $0 -$2 10-07 20:12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 09-27 20:06