Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

89 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$113

$167 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-29

last 10-28 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

67% 56% +$6

Politics

26% 38% -$5

Tech

6% 33% -$2

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	2	$5	7	+7	Yes	-$1	08-20 18:45
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-19 00:51
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-14 07:11
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-11 01:28
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$2	5	+5	cancelled	+$0	07-31 10:43
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-19 09:42
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-09 09:00
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 04:24
will spy reach 770 by september 14 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-15 09:05
will trump say smart during remarks at nasa	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-27 13:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$1	09-07 19:49
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	08-24 02:24
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	09-14 15:38
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-23 09:53
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	08-01 16:09
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-14 23:45
Will Macy's say "Automation" during earnings call?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-09 00:31
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-17 17:16
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-11 11:22
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-27 05:22
LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 13:17
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-30 14:25
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-13 16:23
spy closes above 775 on august 13 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-13 07:50
next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-28 21:27
will xauusd reach 4450 by august 17 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-17 04:27
will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-04 08:49
spy up or down on august 4 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Up	-$2	08-04 00:45
spx up or down on august 6 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	08-06 13:01
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	8	+8	No	+$6	08-07 13:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:19:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x81524a…
10-23 02:41:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x909f24…
10-22 18:26:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x148e82…
10-17 08:42:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9f4510…
10-14 01:02:04	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe1abf2…
10-13 13:41:08	will ewy reach 174 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5ce8f1…
10-10 04:38:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x32aa0a…
10-09 06:26:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9a8267…
10-08 22:26:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7eeec4…
10-08 00:38:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd6a9fe…
10-07 16:36:32	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xddd557…
10-06 19:37:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf19b46…
10-06 11:37:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xce7ab3…
10-05 15:29:01	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0068e9…
10-05 02:07:19	wti up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5343d5…
10-04 18:07:01	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x759948…
10-02 15:26:00	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9b0af7…
10-02 06:59:48	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x86f431…
10-01 15:42:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x34ce02…
09-27 16:44:53	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfb7d50…
09-27 03:17:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6038de…
09-26 07:44:38	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x767c12…
09-25 06:42:47	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5bd1e3…
09-24 18:04:53	Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x90f50c…
09-23 18:01:20	will ewy reach 188 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf0db96…
09-23 09:53:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x33fc1c…
09-19 09:42:38	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xd2504b…
09-19 00:51:43	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x1edc0e…
09-17 17:16:22	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xe9331e…
09-15 09:05:00	will spy reach 770 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x99e216…
09-14 23:45:36	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x08de88…
09-14 15:38:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x64c2e9…
09-14 07:11:12	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe1028e…
09-13 23:11:06	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa8d7bb…
09-11 11:22:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x011931…
09-11 01:28:58	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xc828df…
09-09 17:04:06	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x624d65…
09-09 09:00:49	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xfecc66…
09-09 00:31:13	Will Macy's say "Automation" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x007a30…
09-08 13:17:58	LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb1136a…
09-08 04:24:28	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x254bca…
09-07 19:49:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xecfeb9…
09-02 19:47:36	will xauusd dip to 4350 by august 31 2026 from september 2	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x958093…
09-01 18:54:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 1?	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x5726d1…
09-01 10:36:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd8c4ae…
08-30 14:25:40	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4cdc04…
08-29 18:04:34	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x8fdc94…
08-29 09:17:43	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x1c7aa6…
08-28 21:27:54	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x874c2b…
08-27 13:23:30	will trump say smart during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x150682…
08-27 05:22:24	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xb4e4c1…
08-26 19:13:27	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x943d35…
08-24 10:26:04	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc81f91…
08-24 02:24:51	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x654e2d…
08-23 08:10:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3fe602…
08-21 16:03:16	will warsh say integrity during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x9da6fa…
08-21 16:02:39	will trump say legacy during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x4934aa…
08-21 03:16:57	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9e19c5…
08-20 18:45:18	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xecd368…
08-18 18:41:18	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2fe5fc…
08-17 22:22:55	will rklb dip to 80 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x41c296…
08-17 12:40:12	will xagusd dip to 63 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x8c9dfd…
08-17 04:27:37	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xa85289…
08-17 01:39:06	will aapl reach 316 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xfd2a99…
08-13 16:23:39	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xaf2b30…
08-13 07:50:10	spy closes above 775 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xff0493…
08-12 23:47:51	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x86ed6d…
08-12 02:08:21	will trump say supreme court during remarks in new york 20260811183234696	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x15b2d3…
08-11 10:40:48	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x1268ca…
08-08 12:09:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd1ae8f…
08-07 13:25:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xf85238…
08-07 05:24:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xc51758…
08-06 21:12:15	will trump say biden 3 times during friday roundtable 20260805211427273	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe902f0…
08-06 13:01:48	spx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc397e7…
08-04 16:53:38	will trump say beautiful 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421448	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x585899…
08-04 08:49:47	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0bca53…
08-04 00:45:47	spy up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x4a3d18…
08-04 00:37:59	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x8b2cb7…
08-03 16:33:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x21f946…
08-03 08:27:36	will googl dip to 345 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x62b92e…
08-02 21:08:15	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xb30e5e…
08-02 11:47:48	sun quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 2pt7	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x235d11…
08-02 00:12:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xfb0737…
08-01 16:09:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xf3ca22…
08-01 02:53:06	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xddec2b…
07-31 18:47:30	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd81439…
07-31 10:43:42	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf913a7…
07-30 03:53:35	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1fe8c7…
07-29 15:11:32	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xab57fa…