Loathsome-Extent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$650

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$36.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$358

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-09 12:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

36% 77% -$396

Crypto

35% 79% -$337

Politics

15% 100% +$16

Tech

11% 100% +$38

Sports

3% 100% +$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	2	$2.6K	1,292	1,292	+0	No	+$1	05-26 04:34
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$2.6K	1,291	1,291	+0	No	+$4	05-23 05:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$6	06-11 14:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$2.1K	1,069	1,069	+0	No	+$5	07-02 11:55
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	4	$2.1K	1,063	1,063	+0	No	+$1	07-01 03:50
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	3	$2.1K	1,063	1,063	+0	No	+$9	06-27 21:31
will bitcoin dip to 60k in january 2026	2	$1.5K	771	771	+0	No	+$5	01-29 00:49
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	08-15 12:33
spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	2	$1.1K	571	571	+0	No	+$6	06-12 18:07
Trump out as President by April 30?	3	$1.1K	566	566	+0	No	+$7	04-25 10:46
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	2	$1.1K	560	560	+0	No	+$7	03-30 02:54
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 16 22	2	$1.1K	552	552	+0	No	+$2	03-19 21:42
nba sas lac 2026 03 16	3	$1.1K	554	554	+0	Spurs	+$28	03-17 03:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$1.0K	1,009	0	+1,009	No	+$5	05-28 14:56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	2	$961	483	483	+0	Yes	+$3	06-12 16:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$938	750	750	+0	No	-$188	08-30 07:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$799	406	405	+1	No	+$4	04-27 01:06
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	1	$765	0	766	-766	No	-$1	01-01 00:19
will pumpfun perform an airdrop by march 31	2	$728	370	370	+0	No	+$11	03-29 07:52
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	3	$696	632	66	+566	No	+$1	04-26 06:13
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$629	316	316	+0	No	+$2	03-05 14:32
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	3	$614	330	330	+0	Yes	+$13	03-02 09:33
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	11	$600	309	309	+0	No	+$17	03-12 15:17
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$599	317	317	+0	No	+$29	09-04 23:31
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$597	303	303	+0	No	+$4	02-24 07:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$574	288	288	+0	No	+$1	05-29 20:02
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	2	$538	271	271	+0	No	+$3	02-25 21:45
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$519	346	346	+0	No	-$104	09-09 12:18
will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	1	$405	406	0	+406	No	+$0	02-27 11:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	1	$401	402	0	+402	No	+$1	04-27 01:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 12:18:45	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x490924…
09-09 12:18:01	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	No	SELL	346	60¢	$208	0x9d0c8e…
09-09 02:11:39	LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	346	90¢	$312	0xbbeab0…
09-04 23:31:52	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	317	99¢	$314	0x9ec281…
08-30 08:01:43	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	317	90¢	$285	0x41cad1…
08-30 08:00:00	Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?	No	BUY	92	87¢	$80	0x20424b…
08-30 07:59:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	750	50¢	$375	0x9b34a7…
08-15 12:33:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	750	75¢	$563	0xd005ae…
08-15 12:33:24	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	58¢	$581	0xb0b9dc…
08-03 11:32:57	Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?	No	BUY	68	89¢	$60	0xfccbe1…
07-31 01:04:20	Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?	No	BUY	147	86¢	$127	0x46729c…
07-29 18:00:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	189	100¢	$189	0xb1392c…
07-23 11:24:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	189	99¢	$188	0x1c4f0e…
07-23 11:24:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	189	100¢	$188	0xa47504…
07-07 12:01:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	189	99¢	$187	0x0fe1fd…
07-07 12:01:19	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$875	0x5c2214…
07-02 11:55:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,069	100¢	$1,067	0x0fa9fc…
07-01 11:11:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,069	99¢	$1,062	0x1bf5ba…
07-01 03:50:28	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,059	100¢	$1,058	0x5b85aa…
07-01 03:00:23	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa7797b…
07-01 01:29:58	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3a9caf…
06-28 08:00:07	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,063	100¢	$1,061	0x99cdd9…
06-27 21:31:38	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	768	100¢	$766	0xa59869…
06-27 14:15:50	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	295	100¢	$295	0x4a97f8…
06-13 00:18:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1,063	99¢	$1,052	0x7e0fb1…
06-12 18:07:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	No	SELL	571	100¢	$570	0x685eac…
06-12 16:19:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	483	100¢	$482	0xa7aca9…
06-11 14:22:01	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	571	99¢	$564	0xd3da28…
06-11 14:20:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	619	100¢	$617	0x857f1c…
06-11 14:20:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x8a6c8c…
06-03 00:37:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	483	99¢	$479	0xf99609…
06-01 16:03:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	275	99¢	$273	0xab28a6…
05-31 05:43:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,100	99¢	$1,090	0x5e86bf…
05-29 20:02:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	288	100¢	$287	0xe7d003…
05-28 14:56:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	1,009	100¢	$1,004	0xa83fc5…
05-28 14:55:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0xe132ba…
05-26 04:34:07	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,292	100¢	$1,291	0x3f2b89…
05-24 08:31:11	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,292	100¢	$1,289	0x34c0b1…
05-23 05:52:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,291	100¢	$1,290	0xe4b6fe…
05-06 11:55:54	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,291	100¢	$1,286	0xbdc7d1…
05-01 11:16:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?	No	SELL	193	98¢	$190	0xaf7a7c…
04-30 20:12:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x769da8…
04-29 13:10:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x608091…
04-29 03:54:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x89f746…
04-27 01:06:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$401	0x0d5a24…
04-27 01:06:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	405	99¢	$401	0x54b47a…
04-26 06:13:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	566	100¢	$565	0xe5246c…
04-25 10:46:56	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	431	100¢	$430	0x4889bd…
04-25 10:15:18	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x124baa…
04-25 06:08:34	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$65	0xa16e9c…
04-23 13:43:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$65	0xbe59b4…
04-09 09:38:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xb11a0a…
04-03 14:55:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	406	98¢	$398	0x993461…
04-01 07:07:49	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	566	99¢	$558	0xb99a1f…
03-30 02:54:10	will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	No	SELL	560	100¢	$558	0x33aae2…
03-29 07:52:28	will pumpfun perform an airdrop by march 31	No	SELL	370	100¢	$370	0xcd895e…
03-26 08:49:59	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd61273…
03-23 01:03:49	will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	No	BUY	560	98¢	$551	0x5527ab…
03-19 21:42:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 16 22	No	SELL	552	100¢	$551	0x1549e3…
03-17 03:56:41	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 16 22	No	BUY	552	99¢	$549	0x506592…
03-17 03:52:57	nba sas lac 2026 03 16	Spurs	SELL	554	99¢	$549	0x172a88…
03-17 03:17:13	nba sas lac 2026 03 16	Spurs	BUY	507	94¢	$477	0xf20a7f…
03-17 03:16:57	nba sas lac 2026 03 16	Spurs	BUY	47	95¢	$44	0x0a9743…
03-16 15:58:49	wta brengle fruhvir 2026 03 15	Linda Fruhvirtova	BUY	44	92¢	$41	0x7816a8…
03-15 07:45:23	crint nzl zaf 2026 03 15	South Africa	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x5a6a09…
03-12 15:17:03	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0x5ee5ca…
03-12 15:16:39	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc2be21…
03-12 15:09:07	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x05ef9a…
03-12 15:07:57	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x526bfb…
03-12 14:51:07	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x561294…
03-12 14:45:35	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0a4685…
03-12 14:40:27	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x00aeeb…
03-12 14:38:09	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc59741…
03-12 14:25:41	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc547ee…
03-12 14:24:59	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd62669…
03-10 15:27:15	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0xc4874c…
03-10 15:26:43	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	BUY	309	94¢	$292	0x1ccb89…
03-07 13:50:15	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	Yes	BUY	316	100¢	$316	0x659566…
03-05 14:32:03	Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	316	100¢	$316	0xa250e2…
03-02 11:45:31	Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	316	99¢	$314	0x6790b4…
03-02 09:33:47	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	310	95¢	$295	0x9c97c5…
03-02 09:31:37	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xf9b8ef…
03-02 01:38:27	will pumpfun perform an airdrop by march 31	No	BUY	370	97¢	$358	0x615cbf…
02-27 11:31:07	will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	No	BUY	406	100¢	$405	0x314814…
02-25 21:45:10	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	SELL	271	100¢	$271	0x2ab30b…
02-25 21:42:50	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of february 767 713 548 338 651 365 876 463 984 145	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x0a2ae7…
02-24 07:21:26	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x265d07…
02-24 07:19:14	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	303	99¢	$300	0x1dab51…
02-01 07:46:06	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	303	98¢	$297	0x53fda4…
01-31 07:10:06	gc above 4600 jan 2026	Yes	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0xe95ca4…
01-30 12:53:54	gc above 6500 jan 2026	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xe85db2…
01-29 13:43:48	gc above 7000 jan 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x93aa9b…
01-29 01:33:34	gc above 4800 jan 2026	Yes	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0x5ae55b…
01-29 01:33:20	gc above 4600 jan 2026	Yes	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x4b6e12…
01-29 01:32:38	gc above 7000 jan 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x043c51…
01-29 01:32:30	gc above 6500 jan 2026	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x4b6f3b…
01-29 01:32:08	nvda above 170 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x888cc7…
01-29 01:30:58	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	BUY	271	99¢	$268	0x755bae…
01-29 01:30:52	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of february 767 713 548 338 651 365 876 463 984 145	No	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0x442eca…
01-29 00:49:24	will bitcoin dip to 60k in january 2026	No	SELL	771	100¢	$770	0x3b9a15…