Fresh-Snowflake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$364

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

194

Trades

381

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$92

1 position

First seen

2026-02-25

last 07-19 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

77% 56% -$354

Politics

15% 64% -$28

Crypto

5% 88% +$100

Sports

2% 36% -$72

Tech

1% 50% -$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-100	-$70	92¢	$-92	-$22	05-03 09:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	25	$573	601	471	+130	Down	-$60	05-18 14:32
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	6	$412	400	400	+0	Down	-$44	04-29 16:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	13	$355	331	221	+110	Down	-$68	05-07 15:50
spy up or down on april 20 2026	7	$355	240	240	+0	Down	-$2	04-20 14:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	8	$329	240	240	+0	No	+$6	04-17 21:11
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	7	$264	160	160	+0	No	-$3	05-06 12:54
spy up or down on april 21 2026	14	$255	230	100	+130	Down	-$97	04-21 14:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$221	280	280	+0	No	+$17	04-17 23:57
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	4	$208	251	251	+0	Up	+$78	04-06 06:49
will company b be accused of insider trading	1	$199	288	0	+288	No	+$89	02-25 21:23
wti up or down on april 17 2026	2	$196	110	110	+0	Down	+$11	04-17 12:49
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	10	$195	115	115	+0	No	+$7	04-18 17:29
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	2	$173	100	100	+0	Yes	+$11	04-25 06:37
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$163	94	94	+0	Yes	+$24	04-12 20:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	2	$160	100	100	+0	No	+$2	04-18 01:26
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	9	$160	101	101	+0	Up	+$4	05-14 13:51
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$147	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	04-08 14:38
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$143	84	84	+0	No	+$23	04-12 20:06
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$141	100	100	+0	No	+$7	04-17 18:06
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	5	$138	110	110	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 15:20
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 corners total 8pt5	2	$116	67	66	+1	Over	+$17	04-07 21:15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	3	$115	75	75	+0	Team Falcons	+$35	05-15 20:43
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 17, 2026?	3	$113	60	60	+0	No	+$7	04-16 15:49
ethereum above 2200 on april 9	2	$110	95	90	+5	Yes	+$75	04-09 16:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	4	$109	69	69	+0	No	+$7	04-22 15:59
spx opens up or down on april 14 2026	2	$106	60	60	+0	Up	+$11	04-14 13:16
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	1	$100	233	0	+233	Under	-$100	04-29 18:57
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	1	$97	225	0	+225	No	-$97	07-19 19:35
spx opens up or down on april 16 2026	2	$95	60	60	+0	Up	+$25	04-16 15:50
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	3	$94	140	70	+70	No	-$31	04-13 06:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 19:35:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	225	43¢	$97	0xa51dc6…
07-18 09:48:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0x615c49…
07-15 17:16:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	82	53¢	$43	0x7ad12a…
07-15 17:16:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x47b849…
07-14 18:16:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	111	54¢	$60	0x1e2c17…
07-14 18:15:26	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x6c2257…
07-14 18:15:16	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	69	44¢	$30	0x02146c…
07-11 22:27:23	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x6097ab…
07-11 20:52:34	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0x105ba3…
07-11 20:50:59	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners team home 3pt5	Over	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xff677c…
07-11 20:50:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xc8c349…
07-10 15:20:34	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x94d303…
07-10 15:19:53	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals romelu lukaku gte1	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x4ffc7f…
07-10 15:19:02	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x41bb40…
07-09 18:56:11	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x070338…
07-09 18:54:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x0ba0f8…
07-09 18:53:49	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	62	49¢	$30	0x2a718d…
07-09 18:53:34	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x3468b0…
07-07 18:55:49	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 corners team away 4pt5	Over	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x8dbac8…
07-07 18:54:50	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe41fbb…
07-07 17:50:26	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x47b400…
07-07 15:43:26	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x395cb1…
07-07 15:43:17	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x1e1213…
07-07 15:42:22	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xb4f91c…
07-06 21:24:41	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x30d8b7…
07-06 21:24:34	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x07a111…
07-06 18:46:56	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x58a2f1…
07-06 18:46:38	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x4bf0f1…
07-06 18:46:01	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xca08d8…
07-05 16:47:34	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x8724df…
07-05 16:46:35	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x110bff…
07-05 16:45:32	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd2e859…
07-04 19:35:22	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners second half total 4pt5	Over	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x7f1603…
07-04 19:34:41	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xff7d1a…
07-04 16:59:04	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x250676…
07-04 16:58:53	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x1e644a…
07-03 20:48:58	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x0dd3a9…
07-03 20:09:44	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners team home 6pt5	Over	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x75eb0d…
07-03 17:01:55	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x13ce15…
07-03 16:59:53	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xb307c2…
07-02 21:00:34	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xd8a324…
07-02 21:00:17	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	62	49¢	$30	0x72afeb…
07-02 20:59:04	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	99	28¢	$28	0x8aebc7…
07-02 18:49:02	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners team away 2pt5	Over	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xa12795…
07-01 17:44:01	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x54afc8…
07-01 16:50:29	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x8abfee…
07-01 16:50:14	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x9af0b2…
07-01 16:48:58	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb0c801…
06-30 21:10:46	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xa40b1d…
06-30 21:10:20	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x199c91…
06-29 19:34:40	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xf588b4…
06-29 16:15:50	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	76	43¢	$33	0x058b73…
06-28 19:29:35	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x23cdd6…
06-26 21:40:26	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x777fbb…
06-26 21:39:58	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x40f667…
06-26 18:20:05	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x68b1bc…
06-26 18:19:41	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xa1b992…
06-24 20:17:58	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xab34f9…
06-24 20:17:26	Morocco leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa380f3…
05-27 19:44:34	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xb3ae3c…
05-25 16:49:55	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	62¢	$13	0xc1906d…
05-25 09:56:19	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xcf71e9…
05-25 09:55:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0xdfe08f…
05-23 20:24:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xdff684…
05-23 15:57:29	Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x380a5f…
05-20 18:41:17	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x0e97f0…
05-18 18:27:50	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xc1f0e0…
05-18 14:32:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	54	57¢	$31	0xa8c7cc…
05-18 14:32:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xc5e93d…
05-18 14:32:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xafcddf…
05-18 14:32:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	29	57¢	$16	0xa52a21…
05-18 14:32:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x731650…
05-18 14:32:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x39e983…
05-18 13:53:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	14	68¢	$9	0xb352b0…
05-18 13:53:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x270951…
05-18 13:53:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0xb2a8e8…
05-18 13:53:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x206679…
05-18 13:53:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	17	68¢	$12	0x4652a4…
05-18 13:53:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0xfbeaee…
05-18 13:53:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0xb1b9a4…
05-18 13:53:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x19a5f4…
05-18 13:30:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0xa08cb1…
05-18 13:30:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x610160…
05-18 13:23:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x01e433…
05-18 13:22:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	61	65¢	$40	0x8a121f…
05-18 12:34:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	150	46¢	$69	0x3d9218…
05-18 11:52:01	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	150	42¢	$63	0x450716…
05-18 11:39:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	110	32¢	$35	0x7a199a…
05-18 10:19:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	110	30¢	$33	0x51c143…
05-18 07:21:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	95	77¢	$73	0x9d7eb4…
05-18 07:21:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x105727…
05-18 07:00:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	101	74¢	$75	0xb9af45…
05-17 15:57:24	FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x147c21…
05-17 15:56:58	Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x945b42…
05-17 10:46:00	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xdf0678…
05-16 21:00:22	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xe0a9e6…
05-16 20:59:25	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x58efe8…
05-15 20:43:07	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xaa5ec7…
05-15 15:34:16	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xfedce8…
05-14 21:10:00	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x374a67…