Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

250

Trades

411

lifetime

Volume

$2.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

7 positions

First seen

2026-10-06

last 10-31 07:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

74% 67% -$39

Politics

10% 69% +$15

Tech

7% 100% +$9

Crypto

6% 59% -$27

Sports

4% 68% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	+7	$6	95¢	$7	+$0	10-24 15:25
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-21 12:57
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+5	$4	94¢	$5	+$0	10-24 17:09
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	+5	$5	53¢	$3	-$2	10-18 19:55
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	+5	$2	42¢	$2	+$0	10-24 04:32
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	+5	$3	4¢	$0	-$3	10-25 11:37
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	+18	$6	1¢	$0	-$6	10-13 09:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	2	$108	56	56	+0	open	—	10-31 05:43
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-30 15:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$97	50	50	+0	Yes	+$3	10-28 18:55
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	4	$92	60	60	+0	Yes	-$9	10-11 05:53
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	3	$84	33	66	-33	Yes	+$11	10-11 15:40
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	4	$48	64	46	+18	open	—	10-13 09:10
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?	3	$31	23	23	+0	Yes	+$9	10-10 12:31
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 00:17
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	3	$28	20	20	+0	No	+$7	10-16 11:35
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	10-20 01:27
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	4	$24	23	23	+0	open	—	10-21 14:36
will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1	2	$23	24	12	+12	No	-$17	10-18 08:08
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	10-15 11:32
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	2	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	10-15 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?	1	$21	25	0	+25	open	—	10-31 07:20
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$4	10-16 02:52
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	3	$18	40	40	+0	No	-$11	10-13 09:12
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	2	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	10-28 14:56
Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	2	$17	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	10-10 16:09
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$17	31	31	+0	open	—	10-20 08:38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	2	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	10-31 05:34
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	10-15 11:27
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	3	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	10-09 19:14
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	2	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	+$6	10-11 05:53
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	2	$11	15	15	+0	No	+$1	10-20 21:24
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$11	36	36	+0	open	—	10-20 11:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-19 15:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-20 14:56
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-19 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-22 06:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 07:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x38f4b5…
10-31 06:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x3fadf5…
10-31 06:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xff34f3…
10-31 05:43:10	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x302d0b…
10-31 05:34:10	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x22c546…
10-30 18:43:12	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb38020…
10-30 16:47:03	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0xc237bb…
10-30 16:27:25	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x353523…
10-30 15:39:25	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x2b2ba2…
10-30 11:42:54	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x7339be…
10-30 11:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8f4cfb…
10-30 08:55:51	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x7d5815…
10-29 12:08:01	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7fda4c…
10-29 10:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x951828…
10-28 19:25:38	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xcfa613…
10-28 18:55:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9d531e…
10-28 14:58:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xbb7bd6…
10-28 14:56:38	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4eeaf4…
10-28 10:52:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x9848d1…
10-27 06:19:54	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf91f18…
10-27 06:19:47	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x67e3df…
10-27 06:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4b6050…
10-27 06:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb98fcb…
10-27 06:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa487f6…
10-27 05:25:29	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xb7283e…
10-27 04:29:21	Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	B8	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd045e9…
10-27 04:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb757a2…
10-27 04:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x637cf2…
10-27 03:56:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x252dd0…
10-27 03:42:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x594f6c…
10-27 03:26:35	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5b52c5…
10-27 03:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x36d149…
10-27 03:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf36799…
10-27 03:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9038d1…
10-26 21:57:39	California voter ID referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x71ef7a…
10-26 18:18:51	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9e6359…
10-26 17:17:32	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd2e8ad…
10-26 17:17:09	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xcc8c3e…
10-26 17:06:12	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb1593d…
10-26 16:57:11	Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Brute (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Brute	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x879283…
10-26 16:53:54	Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley	Arthur Fery	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4d92e2…
10-26 16:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x21e4f6…
10-26 16:50:57	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7455e3…
10-26 16:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xdb6382…
10-26 16:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3cf54d…
10-26 12:34:39	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc8c1bb…
10-26 12:26:36	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3e7e38…
10-26 11:19:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa211a0…
10-26 11:15:02	Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - European Pro League Series 11 Closed Qualifier Group D	KUUSAMO.gg	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xde15bc…
10-26 10:59:17	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x11bb01…
10-26 08:50:06	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xbeeadb…
10-26 08:26:26	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4605cd…
10-26 08:04:18	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6ace5d…
10-26 08:03:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x489fe2…
10-26 07:10:33	Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf79f36…
10-26 06:44:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7219d8…
10-26 06:27:02	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xff2fb7…
10-26 06:23:03	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc6307b…
10-26 06:09:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6fa9f8…
10-26 06:08:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x02163c…
10-26 06:05:27	W15 Singapore: Aditi Rawat vs Amodini Naik	Aditi Rawat	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfd472f…
10-26 05:53:51	Seoul: Christian Langmo vs Sanhui Shin	Christian Langmo	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x50a892…
10-26 05:50:12	Counter-Strike: gothboiclique vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	UNiTY esports	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9d9862…
10-26 05:43:05	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	OG	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xca9a31…
10-26 05:12:02	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8b1303…
10-26 05:09:09	W15 Singapore: Aditi Rawat vs Amodini Naik	Aditi Rawat	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x57ce50…
10-26 05:07:20	Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8aadaa…
10-26 05:07:08	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Egor Pleshivtsev	Semen Pankin	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc9e373…
10-26 05:06:32	Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Off Chops - Map 2 Winner	Off Chops	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7600d8…
10-26 05:06:24	Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Off Chops (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Group A	Off Chops	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x31dfb4…
10-26 04:45:18	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe7cc9a…
10-26 04:33:11	Seoul: Christian Langmo vs Sanhui Shin	Christian Langmo	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x01bab0…
10-26 04:20:14	Pan Pacific Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson	Talia Gibson	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x78c8a5…
10-26 04:16:29	Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Off Chops (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Group A	Off Chops	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3a4243…
10-26 04:13:11	Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Off Chops - Map 2 Winner	Off Chops	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4c925d…
10-26 03:46:47	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Egor Pleshivtsev	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc955ff…
10-26 03:45:48	Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Beibit Zhukayev	Koki Matsuda	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa2f53f…
10-25 12:02:12	Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x31f216…
10-25 11:54:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd0f5df…
10-25 11:53:36	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb3f475…
10-25 11:40:17	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7d6750…
10-25 11:37:03	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xf43036…
10-25 11:33:24	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x380d90…
10-25 11:25:38	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd984e9…
10-25 11:24:47	Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x3e3eba…
10-25 11:22:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x57b219…
10-25 11:20:50	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x555442…
10-25 10:40:05	Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester United FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x73c7cf…
10-25 09:14:57	Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x754fe8…
10-25 08:48:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd237b9…
10-25 08:11:59	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4b7a4d…
10-25 07:53:03	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x52cf97…
10-25 05:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x505763…
10-25 05:46:39	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6171f2…
10-25 05:46:09	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x48465c…
10-25 05:44:18	Houston vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x4c573f…
10-24 23:17:56	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe7a294…
10-24 21:53:02	San Diego State vs. Colorado State	San Diego State	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x938002…
10-24 18:57:32	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5d3440…
10-24 18:39:27	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)	RC Deportivo A Coruña	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x0beac3…