Anxious-Railing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$827

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

283

Trades

698

lifetime

Volume

$20.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-24 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

52% 49% -$287

Crypto

23% 65% -$45

Politics

13% 59% -$131

Sports

12% 82% -$344

Tech

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No		+19	$11	56¢	$11	$0	11-12 11:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$581	511	511	+0	Yes	+$14	05-30 19:58
will israel strike lebanon on january 23 2026	16	$482	309	239	+70	No	+$35	01-24 10:25
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	11	$461	262	262	+0	No	+$23	05-08 15:00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	6	$428	228	228	+0	No	+$0	05-29 17:22
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	2	$418	697	697	+0	magic	+$0	05-29 17:41
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$417	268	268	+0	Yes	+$21	02-24 17:03
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?	2	$315	158	158	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 20:30
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$298	363	363	+0	Spain	-$6	07-18 21:40
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	3	$292	182	182	+0	Yes	+$70	07-08 16:06
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	10	$276	311	263	+48	No	-$70	02-06 15:14
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	7	$275	192	192	+0	No	+$22	02-10 13:06
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	2	$267	136	136	+0	Yes	+$4	01-21 16:35
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 115 139	5	$264	202	202	+0	No	-$2	01-24 13:42
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	9	$258	347	347	+0	No	-$72	05-14 15:07
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	5	$250	155	155	+0	Yes	+$56	05-09 15:33
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	7	$237	123	123	+0	No	+$4	01-20 21:41
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	8	$235	268	176	+92	No	-$65	05-11 19:35
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	5	$231	144	144	+0	Yes	+$2	02-10 18:22
bitcoin up or down january 20 5pm et	3	$224	116	116	+0	Down	+$8	01-20 23:02
bitcoin up or down january 23 9am et	2	$222	115	115	+0	Down	+$7	01-23 14:57
ucl spo1 psg1 2026 01 20 total 3pt5	2	$221	116	116	+0	Under	+$11	01-20 21:58
bitcoin up or down january 24 12pm et	2	$218	131	131	+0	Up	+$43	01-24 18:06
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 65 89	3	$216	131	131	+0	No	+$47	01-21 12:17
bitcoin up or down on january 23	3	$214	255	211	+44	Up	+$1	01-23 15:04
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89	10	$208	630	630	+0	Yes	-$32	02-25 10:04
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 90 114	4	$204	145	145	+0	No	+$29	02-09 15:43
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	11	$196	235	235	+0	Yes	-$34	02-23 13:36
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 140 164	6	$193	140	140	+0	Yes	-$1	01-24 17:07
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 65 89	2	$193	101	101	+0	No	+$4	02-20 20:49
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	5	$191	200	200	+0	Yes	+$53	06-01 13:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 11:37:52	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xe13ed8…
10-24 18:56:45	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	63	42¢	$27	0x57b5a2…
10-24 18:55:44	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0x759c14…
07-18 21:41:45	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	199	89¢	$177	0xcf97ce…
07-18 21:40:52	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	SELL	148	26¢	$39	0xc78468…
07-18 21:40:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	363	40¢	$146	0xf072bf…
07-17 07:41:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	363	42¢	$152	0x2f2b29…
07-17 07:40:58	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0x03bfb8…
07-09 07:16:50	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0xe38bfe…
07-09 05:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xda1ec1…
07-09 05:20:13	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	33¢	$15	0x9d9408…
07-08 16:16:58	Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-08?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xf25060…
07-08 16:06:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0x3190ef…
07-08 15:49:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x06ef45…
07-08 05:31:07	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	61¢	$111	0x56095b…
06-09 11:58:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:55 UTC	Down	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x017193…
06-09 11:56:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xe6a990…
06-09 11:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x64a96f…
06-09 11:42:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:40 UTC	Down	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x15b828…
06-09 11:40:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xad1d96…
06-09 11:38:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x9c3167…
06-09 11:37:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x3a989c…
06-09 11:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x9a44ef…
06-09 11:23:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x5751fc…
06-09 11:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x038a36…
06-09 10:44:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa164de…
06-09 09:57:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0xa8ce08…
06-09 09:54:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	21	23¢	$5	0xe53060…
06-09 09:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xce0ea3…
06-09 08:53:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x5067a1…
06-09 08:52:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	83	3¢	$2	0xae111f…
06-09 08:52:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x795087…
06-09 08:14:15	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	57	23¢	$13	0x797020…
06-09 05:55:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x00a041…
06-09 05:52:18	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa76205…
06-09 05:52:07	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xb6f3ff…
06-09 05:46:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	51	66¢	$34	0x4137c9…
06-08 17:30:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xeae768…
06-08 17:28:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x665690…
06-08 11:51:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0x6ebc58…
06-04 05:15:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xe7e031…
06-04 05:12:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x799cab…
06-04 05:07:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2204d6…
06-03 13:20:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	135	6¢	$8	0x4c5fe6…
06-02 17:01:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf1a416…
06-02 17:00:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	70	22¢	$15	0x5284b9…
06-02 16:59:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x6f19e6…
06-02 16:59:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf7f87a…
06-02 16:58:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x11f2fa…
06-02 16:58:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xa1b4a6…
06-02 16:25:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	15¢	$28	0x62eda9…
06-02 13:20:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	67¢	$34	0xdd04f2…
06-02 10:43:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	71¢	$134	0x89dad6…
06-02 07:36:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	113	38¢	$43	0x73dcc4…
06-02 07:33:59	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$55	0xf5e38e…
06-02 07:32:52	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x5a0aa3…
06-02 07:32:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	113	39¢	$44	0x101e8e…
06-02 07:31:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	7¢	$5	0x785210…
06-02 05:38:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	27¢	$21	0x527191…
06-02 04:47:26	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	27¢	$16	0xca8bb7…
06-02 04:43:25	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	29¢	$17	0xa4f7f0…
06-02 04:36:16	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xfb3ff5…
06-01 22:06:11	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xe6d2ed…
06-01 22:02:41	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	25¢	$11	0x3a6ecd…
06-01 22:02:19	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	25¢	$39	0x6e43c8…
06-01 19:54:48	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x7424be…
06-01 19:54:46	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x432f43…
06-01 13:22:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	61¢	$63	0x40ca18…
06-01 13:22:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	61¢	$59	0x26399f…
05-31 11:45:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xea9daa…
05-31 11:30:12	Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	Leo Team	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xaefb8e…
05-31 11:13:50	Valorant: TEC Esports vs Nova Esports (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	Nova Esports	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x9ce39d…
05-31 11:13:22	Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	Gen.G Esports	SELL	220	6¢	$12	0xfe60b8…
05-31 11:08:19	Valorant: TEC Esports vs Nova Esports (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	Nova Esports	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x777fff…
05-31 11:06:08	Valorant: TEC Esports vs Nova Esports (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs	Nova Esports	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x5a305c…
05-31 11:01:02	Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	Gen.G Esports	SELL	59	19¢	$11	0x126f93…
05-31 10:58:03	Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	Gen.G Esports	BUY	280	20¢	$56	0xaf761b…
05-30 20:28:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x667462…
05-30 20:27:47	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x2573e7…
05-30 19:58:14	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0xd067bd…
05-30 17:33:02	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	197	58¢	$114	0xc9a107…
05-30 16:49:58	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x1181d2…
05-30 16:49:51	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	314	32¢	$101	0x6b154b…
05-30 14:36:49	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	314	54¢	$170	0xfc32b0…
05-30 14:35:55	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xd95127…
05-30 12:46:25	Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Johnny Speeds	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x633bf8…
05-30 12:41:14	Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Johnny Speeds	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xb6712d…
05-30 11:55:19	Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Johnny Speeds	SELL	101	21¢	$21	0x638252…
05-30 11:45:57	Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Johnny Speeds	SELL	35	16¢	$6	0x6e437a…
05-30 11:40:55	Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Johnny Speeds	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x6e7c54…
05-30 11:40:14	Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Johnny Speeds	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x15eaa6…
05-30 11:39:25	Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Johnny Speeds	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xffd43e…
05-30 11:35:40	Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Johnny Speeds	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x81715f…
05-30 11:34:49	Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs	Johnny Speeds	BUY	103	17¢	$18	0x0cf0f3…
05-29 19:32:29	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	Sharks	SELL	1,010	8¢	$81	0xfbec4a…
05-29 19:32:10	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	Sharks	BUY	1,010	9¢	$91	0x711746…
05-29 18:23:43	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	ASTRAL	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x61efa3…
05-29 18:23:20	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	ASTRAL	SELL	49	28¢	$14	0x0ec2e5…
05-29 18:22:35	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	ASTRAL	SELL	208	27¢	$56	0x67ae41…
05-29 18:21:56	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	ASTRAL	BUY	260	27¢	$70	0xe81d8d…