Realized P&L
-$2.32K
Unrealized P&L
+$53
Hit rate
58.5%
Resolved
1,251
Trades
1,854
lifetime
Volume
$49.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$647
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 11-02 15:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Other
92% 42% -$2,508
Politics
5% 28% +$35
Sports
3% 58% +$119
Crypto
0% 86% +$50
Tech
0% 25% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +258 $173 74¢ $192 +$20 10-26 21:10
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +160 $106 76¢ $121 +$15 09-22 22:58
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +44 $34 86¢ $38 +$4 10-05 21:41
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $33 74¢ $37 +$4 10-24 12:28
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $32 72¢ $36 +$4 10-24 12:27
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +40 $30 72¢ $29 -$1 10-24 12:19
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +90 $20 26¢ $23 +$3 10-26 21:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $22 67¢ $20 -$1 10-25 13:58
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50 $25 36¢ $18 -$7 10-01 04:42
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $14 44¢ $18 +$4 10-25 16:22
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +30 $14 56¢ $17 +$3 10-25 14:14
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +50 $18 32¢ $16 -$2 10-25 14:08
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $13 50¢ $15 +$3 11-01 11:29
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +20 $13 65¢ $13 +$0 10-26 09:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +60 $10 16¢ $9 $0 10-01 04:42
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $7 40¢ $8 +$1 10-29 21:15
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +20 $7 32¢ $6 $0 10-25 19:04
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A B8 — +15 $5 40¢ $6 +$1 11-02 15:02
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +30 $5 18¢ $5 $0 10-29 21:47
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B TYLOO +15 $5 34¢ $5 +$0 11-02 15:01
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) PARIVISION — +15 $5 34¢ $5 +$0 11-02 15:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +40 $5 12¢ $5 $0 10-24 12:09
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +10 $1 30¢ $3 +$2 09-29 16:59
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +20 $2 8¢ $2 $0 09-06 07:58