Impartial-Kangaroo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.1%

Resolved

Trades

571

lifetime

Volume

$1.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-10 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 13% $-32

Other

18% — —

Politics

15% 33% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 207 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
James Comey arrested by April 29?	23	$136	6,303	2,704	+3,599	open	—	04-29 19:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$61	352	352	+0	open	—	05-01 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7PM ET	11	$61	107	107	+0	open	—	05-01 23:53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$58	1,315	1,315	+0	open	—	04-29 14:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	10	$57	52	52	+0	open	—	04-30 02:33
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-30 08:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$42	44	44	+0	open	—	05-03 14:25
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	7	$39	62	62	+0	open	—	04-29 21:19
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	5	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	$-0	05-04 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6PM ET	14	$34	86	86	+0	open	—	05-01 23:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$32	17	17	+0	Yes	$-0	05-04 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	5	$25	587	7	+580	open	—	04-30 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$25	47	0	+47	open	—	04-30 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	9	$22	27	24	+4	open	—	05-01 23:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 18:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$18	17	13	+3	open	—	05-03 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$17	27	13	+13	open	—	05-03 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	05-02 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	5	$16	85	51	+35	open	—	05-02 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	8	$16	76	76	+0	open	—	05-02 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$13	13	7	+6	open	—	05-02 21:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 22:43
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-02 17:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	5	$11	17	16	+1	open	—	05-03 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	4	$11	21	15	+6	open	—	05-02 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 13:50
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$11	59	5	+54	open	—	05-03 17:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$11	13	9	+3	open	—	05-02 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$10	32	32	+0	open	—	05-01 23:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 22:05:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6bf909…
05-10 22:03:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0xfd591a…
05-10 22:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb0a3fb…
05-10 21:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xcaaf66…
05-10 21:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x13f3c7…
05-10 21:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x53510d…
05-10 21:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5e8e3c…
05-10 21:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc05994…
05-10 21:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x804724…
05-10 21:41:22	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x82f724…
05-10 21:40:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5c6cad…
05-10 21:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x96c220…
05-10 21:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x231ebc…
05-09 09:54:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	138	1¢	$1	0x374ae4…
05-06 21:06:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	138	1¢	$2	0xf3db33…
05-06 20:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x506094…
05-06 20:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xea372b…
05-06 20:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc3b64a…
05-06 20:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf658b1…
05-06 20:19:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x799690…
05-06 20:18:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xee8364…
05-05 07:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x298e46…
05-05 07:43:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xf9e763…
05-05 07:43:14	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x45565b…
05-05 07:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xc188bf…
05-05 07:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0a67e1…
05-05 07:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xe816c5…
05-05 06:06:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x761eee…
05-05 05:41:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xea42ef…
05-05 05:17:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x66d731…
05-05 05:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xeaec83…
05-05 04:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf4d2d4…
05-05 04:52:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6e9a6a…
05-05 04:47:18	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2feb3d…
05-05 04:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x949177…
05-05 04:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2313a4…
05-05 03:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x16dce3…
05-05 03:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x92fe0f…
05-05 03:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x74336f…
05-05 02:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x81c922…
05-05 02:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3cc181…
05-05 02:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xda1be0…
05-05 02:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x258ba3…
05-05 00:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0ccbdd…
05-04 23:39:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x45125f…
05-04 20:15:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0xb3f59f…
05-04 20:15:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0xb88da2…
05-04 20:15:36	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x382e71…
05-04 20:13:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0xddcfcc…
05-04 20:12:06	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0xee6e4f…
05-04 20:10:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x6023ce…
05-04 20:10:10	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x50259e…
05-04 20:09:30	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x9880cf…
05-04 20:09:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x0914ed…
05-04 20:01:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0xffc775…
05-04 20:01:26	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x8e2e72…
05-04 20:01:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xee01f8…
05-04 19:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x49a640…
05-04 19:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x689d97…
05-04 06:48:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0xb0e93f…
05-04 06:48:38	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xba4a19…
05-04 06:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xeb410e…
05-04 06:47:32	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xba51e0…
05-04 06:44:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x80a101…
05-04 06:44:14	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xcb5422…
05-04 06:34:04	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x63de42…
05-04 06:33:16	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xce54ff…
05-04 06:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xed2fa3…
05-04 06:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x9853cd…
05-04 06:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x4cc843…
05-04 06:19:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x822fe6…
05-04 06:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xb46843…
05-04 06:18:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x079e2a…
05-04 06:17:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x7bf1f1…
05-04 06:17:42	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x896fa6…
05-04 06:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x38e8c0…
05-04 06:17:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x534a59…
05-04 06:17:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x41f2c5…
05-04 06:14:42	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x543649…
05-04 06:14:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x7748dd…
05-04 06:07:10	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xa4f593…
05-04 06:06:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x20aa2c…
05-04 06:06:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xb4c13e…
05-04 06:06:52	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x57823e…
05-04 06:04:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x846ae5…
05-04 06:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5f11bc…
05-04 06:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xcec347…
05-04 06:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x1e61ae…
05-04 06:02:34	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb30375…
05-04 05:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x9536cb…
05-04 05:59:12	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xaec9bd…
05-04 05:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x273b4d…
05-03 21:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x9cccb4…
05-03 21:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x42808d…
05-03 21:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x498425…
05-03 21:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0f1077…
05-03 21:20:16	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x139d47…
05-03 21:16:06	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9e596d…
05-03 21:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x529225…
05-03 20:47:38	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0x35b7cf…