Clueless-Secret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.81K

Unrealized P&L

-$288

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

6,859

Trades

18,797

lifetime

Volume

$541.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$3.10K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-14 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 77% +$5,127

Other

1% 60% -$386

Politics

0% 86% +$122

Sports

0% 17% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes		+3,614	$3,392	86¢	$3.1K	-$288	11-14 08:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	25	$4.0K	3,948	334	+3,614	open	—	11-14 08:41
ethereum up or down on february 5	8	$2.8K	2,800	0	+2,800	Down	+$28	02-05 15:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 4	1	$2.3K	2,281	0	+2,281	No	+$7	02-04 15:20
ethereum above 2700 on january 26	2	$2.1K	2,066	0	+2,066	Yes	+$2	01-26 15:33
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on february 3	2	$2.1K	2,064	0	+2,064	No	+$8	02-03 15:03
ethereum above 3200 on january 28	2	$1.9K	1,916	0	+1,916	No	+$6	01-28 15:38
ethereum above 3100 on january 22	1	$1.7K	1,683	0	+1,683	No	+$7	01-22 15:37
bitcoin up or down january 31 9am et	1	$1.7K	1,676	0	+1,676	Down	+$7	01-31 14:51
ethereum above 2600 on february 1	2	$1.5K	1,541	0	+1,541	No	+$3	02-01 15:18
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 15	1	$1.5K	1,507	0	+1,507	No	+$9	01-15 15:37
will msft dip to 465 in january	3	$1.5K	1,501	0	+1,501	Yes	+$18	01-14 16:07
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 19	1	$1.4K	1,442	0	+1,442	No	+$3	01-19 15:01
ethereum above 3400 on january 6	2	$1.4K	1,423	0	+1,423	No	+$6	01-06 15:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:15 UTC	11	$1.2K	640	640	+0	Down	-$1	01-21 16:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 27	1	$1.2K	1,186	0	+1,186	No	+$2	01-27 16:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 15:00 UTC	7	$1.2K	1,185	0	+1,185	Down	+$10	02-05 15:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 14:30 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$6	02-02 14:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:30 UTC	6	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Down	+$16	01-21 16:39
bitcoin above 88k on january 30	1	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	No	+$1	01-30 15:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 00:15 UTC	9	$955	977	0	+977	Up	+$21	01-13 00:29
penguin listed on binance by march 31	16	$930	579	579	+0	No	+$164	02-07 00:40
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 15:30 UTC	2	$901	910	0	+910	Up	+$9	01-13 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 02:45 UTC	24	$877	455	455	+0	Down	+$15	01-14 02:59
bitcoin above 90k on january 2	1	$841	850	0	+850	Yes	+$8	01-02 16:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 03:45 UTC	2	$812	820	0	+820	Up	+$8	01-09 03:57
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	6	$798	900	900	+0	Yes	-$796	01-31 14:30
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	1	$797	798	0	+798	No	+$1	01-24 15:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 00:15 UTC	8	$781	800	0	+800	Up	+$19	02-05 00:25
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 23:45 UTC	10	$774	782	0	+782	Up	+$8	01-04 23:59
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	10	$771	500	500	+0	Yes	-$96	01-30 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 13:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	93¢	$34	0x3976ae…
11-14 13:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	80¢	$27	0x143d13…
11-14 13:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0x90c191…
11-14 13:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xeba623…
11-14 13:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xe18168…
11-14 13:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x415ea2…
11-14 13:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x1d7bdb…
11-14 13:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x074d05…
11-14 13:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x907f08…
11-14 13:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x5b8064…
11-14 13:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe2dc3c…
11-14 13:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0xb39edf…
11-14 13:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8165b6…
11-14 13:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xb58fd9…
11-14 13:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0xcf934b…
11-14 13:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfd17d0…
11-14 13:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0x28651b…
11-14 13:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x33c222…
11-14 12:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xbdf287…
11-14 12:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x701229…
11-14 12:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x11cb12…
11-14 12:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x150ac0…
11-14 11:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x073093…
11-14 11:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x984587…
11-14 11:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xb73564…
11-14 11:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xe05f11…
11-14 11:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf1a3a6…
11-14 10:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x82d3e4…
11-14 10:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xc4241f…
11-14 10:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x30bc61…
11-14 10:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xb2ced6…
11-14 10:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xba74ec…
11-14 10:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x040a28…
11-14 10:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x218538…
11-14 09:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x0693e3…
11-14 09:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x620001…
11-14 09:18:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-14 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x1edd7f…
11-14 09:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x7a5c53…
11-14 08:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0x638252…
11-14 08:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x5814b3…
11-14 08:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x1b6ce1…
11-14 08:41:02	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x3d13fa…
11-14 08:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x136512…
11-14 08:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd629d6…
11-14 08:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb8ab1f…
11-14 08:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	32¢	$4	0x8d3d98…
11-14 08:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x1debcd…
11-14 08:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe171c8…
11-14 08:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x939c4d…
11-14 08:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2e07bc…
11-14 08:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd5db3c…
11-14 08:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf2b14a…
11-14 08:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8f2dd6…
11-14 08:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x744027…
11-14 08:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xf36541…
11-14 07:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x66b800…
11-14 07:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xb41bab…
11-14 07:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6f847a…
11-14 07:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x731990…
11-14 07:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf6bda1…
11-14 07:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x9f2dfb…
11-14 07:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x33873a…
11-14 07:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xd79d0d…
11-14 07:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x494332…
11-14 07:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa15a28…
11-14 07:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xd774d9…
11-14 07:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xa8717a…
11-14 07:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0db821…
11-14 07:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x83f832…
11-14 07:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xd31a39…
11-14 07:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0xe47e5c…
11-14 07:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xfdb514…
11-14 06:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xdab61f…
11-14 06:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x6693d3…
11-14 06:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x4ace78…
11-14 06:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0xc8733c…
11-14 06:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x4268f2…
11-14 06:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa368af…
11-14 06:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xaa5ee2…
11-14 06:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x2e6004…
11-14 06:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x3d97b0…
11-14 06:22:19	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x77148e…
11-14 06:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x96c8d9…
11-14 06:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x445b06…
11-14 06:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x8d7ff6…
11-14 06:19:46	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x2e77e3…
11-14 06:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xb4d0a0…
11-14 06:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xb7018c…
11-14 06:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x5901dd…
11-14 06:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x86cc0e…
11-14 06:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xdf5093…
11-14 06:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x29a3be…
11-14 05:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x39ff47…
11-14 05:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x3a8494…
11-14 05:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x098494…
11-14 04:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x1766d1…
11-14 04:10:28	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x5d56aa…
11-14 04:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x87d26e…
11-14 04:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0xcffaa4…
11-14 04:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x1e87a0…