Clueless-Secret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.76K

Unrealized P&L

-$241

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

6,699

Trades

18,501

lifetime

Volume

$537.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$3.29K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-12 00:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 221 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 77% +$5,095

Other

1% 60% -$403

Politics

0% 86% +$122

Sports

0% 17% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes		+3,746	$3,503	87¢	$3.3K	-$244	11-07 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	—	+24	$20	99¢	$24	+$4	11-12 01:32
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No		+20	$12	60¢	$12	$0	11-12 00:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	14	$3.9K	3,948	202	+3,746	open	—	11-07 08:24
ethereum up or down on february 5	8	$2.8K	2,800	0	+2,800	Down	+$28	02-05 15:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 4	1	$2.3K	2,281	0	+2,281	No	+$7	02-04 15:20
ethereum above 2700 on january 26	2	$2.1K	2,066	0	+2,066	Yes	+$2	01-26 15:33
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on february 3	2	$2.1K	2,064	0	+2,064	No	+$8	02-03 15:03
ethereum above 3200 on january 28	2	$1.9K	1,916	0	+1,916	No	+$6	01-28 15:38
ethereum above 3100 on january 22	1	$1.7K	1,683	0	+1,683	No	+$7	01-22 15:37
bitcoin up or down january 31 9am et	1	$1.7K	1,676	0	+1,676	Down	+$7	01-31 14:51
ethereum above 2600 on february 1	2	$1.5K	1,541	0	+1,541	No	+$3	02-01 15:18
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 15	1	$1.5K	1,507	0	+1,507	No	+$9	01-15 15:37
will msft dip to 465 in january	3	$1.5K	1,501	0	+1,501	Yes	+$18	01-14 16:07
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 19	1	$1.4K	1,442	0	+1,442	No	+$3	01-19 15:01
ethereum above 3400 on january 6	2	$1.4K	1,423	0	+1,423	No	+$6	01-06 15:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:15 UTC	11	$1.2K	640	640	+0	Down	-$1	01-21 16:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 27	1	$1.2K	1,186	0	+1,186	No	+$2	01-27 16:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 15:00 UTC	7	$1.2K	1,185	0	+1,185	Down	+$10	02-05 15:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 14:30 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$6	02-02 14:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:30 UTC	6	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Down	+$16	01-21 16:39
bitcoin above 88k on january 30	1	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	No	+$1	01-30 15:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 00:15 UTC	9	$955	977	0	+977	Up	+$21	01-13 00:29
penguin listed on binance by march 31	16	$930	579	579	+0	No	+$164	02-07 00:40
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 15:30 UTC	2	$901	910	0	+910	Up	+$9	01-13 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 02:45 UTC	24	$877	455	455	+0	Down	+$15	01-14 02:59
bitcoin above 90k on january 2	1	$841	850	0	+850	Yes	+$8	01-02 16:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 03:45 UTC	2	$812	820	0	+820	Up	+$8	01-09 03:57
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	6	$798	900	900	+0	Yes	-$796	01-31 14:30
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	1	$797	798	0	+798	No	+$1	01-24 15:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 00:15 UTC	8	$781	800	0	+800	Up	+$19	02-05 00:25
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 23:45 UTC	10	$774	782	0	+782	Up	+$8	01-04 23:59
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	10	$771	500	500	+0	Yes	-$96	01-30 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 01:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xdc7622…
11-12 01:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xc10b7a…
11-12 01:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x85a541…
11-12 01:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x217249…
11-12 01:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x7c39fa…
11-12 01:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0x629778…
11-12 01:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x157a1c…
11-12 01:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x9168e5…
11-12 01:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x06e35e…
11-12 00:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x284dfa…
11-12 00:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xf9e382…
11-12 00:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x15891d…
11-12 00:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x30f769…
11-12 00:44:40	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x7b2585…
11-11 14:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x81790d…
11-11 14:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9e45a0…
11-11 14:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe25990…
11-11 14:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xff455f…
11-11 13:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x8f0773…
11-11 13:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x68f3c4…
11-11 13:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x8096e6…
11-11 13:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9356c8…
11-11 11:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xa68616…
11-11 11:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x32efff…
11-11 11:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x0ce9b1…
11-11 11:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xc4a2e8…
11-11 10:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x8290e7…
11-11 10:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x060658…
11-11 10:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbe285f…
11-11 08:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x55e722…
11-11 08:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7e2898…
11-11 08:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x93d03b…
11-11 08:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x90f7eb…
11-11 08:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc94375…
11-11 08:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x1e5c50…
11-11 07:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x98f801…
11-11 07:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x893304…
11-11 07:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x88e9a0…
11-11 07:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x57eabb…
11-11 07:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1dfe33…
11-11 07:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1d64ed…
11-11 07:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5a5bf9…
11-11 07:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x03bd27…
11-11 07:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6398f2…
11-11 07:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x1d0bf3…
11-11 07:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfb8d3b…
11-11 06:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x02b22e…
11-11 06:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x549fc3…
11-11 06:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xccc6d6…
11-11 06:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xc4f7f9…
11-11 06:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x6d7cf7…
11-11 06:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xe556af…
11-11 06:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x60650d…
11-11 04:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x3bc94e…
11-11 04:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe83489…
11-11 04:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x72d4f8…
11-11 04:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9a6687…
11-11 04:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd935f9…
11-11 04:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x9ddc96…
11-11 04:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0xdb3f9e…
11-11 04:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xba098b…
11-11 04:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xbaa80a…
11-11 04:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xeaba7f…
11-11 04:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x345409…
11-11 03:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x885420…
11-11 03:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf41c1a…
11-11 03:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x80f219…
11-11 03:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xef5d38…
11-11 03:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xd91a08…
11-11 03:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x74f600…
11-11 03:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xa7b104…
11-11 03:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xdbdebd…
11-11 03:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xadc8b1…
11-11 03:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x3f7a78…
11-11 03:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa8835b…
11-11 03:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xdca26a…
11-11 03:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x66ebf8…
11-11 03:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	32	32¢	$10	0xcd3b7e…
11-11 03:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xea7619…
11-11 03:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xaf16e3…
11-11 03:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb4cfd3…
11-11 02:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xb449fb…
11-11 02:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4e788a…
11-11 02:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6919e0…
11-11 02:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4e1ffe…
11-11 02:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7efc35…
11-11 02:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xe90d45…
11-11 02:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5c02ec…
11-11 02:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x7421ab…
11-11 02:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x82fdbe…
11-11 02:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x1548e0…
11-11 02:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x578a97…
11-11 02:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5a27be…
11-11 02:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x020fc7…
11-11 02:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe9f0ee…
11-11 02:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	250	94¢	$235	0xe62689…
11-11 02:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xedbc20…
11-11 02:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	208	99¢	$206	0x1cf763…
11-11 02:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xccfce3…
11-11 02:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe78d90…