Clueless-Secret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.71K

Unrealized P&L

-$175

Hit rate

86.3%

Resolved

6,639

Trades

18,367

lifetime

Volume

$535.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$3.33K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-10 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 77% +$5,039

Other

1% 60% -$403

Politics

0% 86% +$122

Sports

0% 17% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes		+3,746	$3,503	89¢	$3.3K	-$175	11-07 08:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	14	$3.9K	3,948	202	+3,746	open	—	11-07 08:24
ethereum up or down on february 5	8	$2.8K	2,800	0	+2,800	Down	+$28	02-05 15:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 4	1	$2.3K	2,281	0	+2,281	No	+$7	02-04 15:20
ethereum above 2700 on january 26	2	$2.1K	2,066	0	+2,066	Yes	+$2	01-26 15:33
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on february 3	2	$2.1K	2,064	0	+2,064	No	+$8	02-03 15:03
ethereum above 3200 on january 28	2	$1.9K	1,916	0	+1,916	No	+$6	01-28 15:38
ethereum above 3100 on january 22	1	$1.7K	1,683	0	+1,683	No	+$7	01-22 15:37
bitcoin up or down january 31 9am et	1	$1.7K	1,676	0	+1,676	Down	+$7	01-31 14:51
ethereum above 2600 on february 1	2	$1.5K	1,541	0	+1,541	No	+$3	02-01 15:18
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 15	1	$1.5K	1,507	0	+1,507	No	+$9	01-15 15:37
will msft dip to 465 in january	3	$1.5K	1,501	0	+1,501	Yes	+$18	01-14 16:07
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 19	1	$1.4K	1,442	0	+1,442	No	+$3	01-19 15:01
ethereum above 3400 on january 6	2	$1.4K	1,423	0	+1,423	No	+$6	01-06 15:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:15 UTC	11	$1.2K	640	640	+0	Down	-$1	01-21 16:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 27	1	$1.2K	1,186	0	+1,186	No	+$2	01-27 16:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 15:00 UTC	7	$1.2K	1,185	0	+1,185	Down	+$10	02-05 15:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 14:30 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$6	02-02 14:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:30 UTC	6	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Down	+$16	01-21 16:39
bitcoin above 88k on january 30	1	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	No	+$1	01-30 15:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 00:15 UTC	9	$955	977	0	+977	Up	+$21	01-13 00:29
penguin listed on binance by march 31	16	$930	579	579	+0	No	+$164	02-07 00:40
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 15:30 UTC	2	$901	910	0	+910	Up	+$9	01-13 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 02:45 UTC	24	$877	455	455	+0	Down	+$15	01-14 02:59
bitcoin above 90k on january 2	1	$841	850	0	+850	Yes	+$8	01-02 16:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 03:45 UTC	2	$812	820	0	+820	Up	+$8	01-09 03:57
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	6	$798	900	900	+0	Yes	-$796	01-31 14:30
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	1	$797	798	0	+798	No	+$1	01-24 15:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 00:15 UTC	8	$781	800	0	+800	Up	+$19	02-05 00:25
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 23:45 UTC	10	$774	782	0	+782	Up	+$8	01-04 23:59
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	10	$771	500	500	+0	Yes	-$96	01-30 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 13:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	199	98¢	$195	0xf5f461…
11-10 13:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xbba66c…
11-10 13:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x79417d…
11-10 13:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x572a0d…
11-10 13:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x49f361…
11-10 13:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x48a7c0…
11-10 13:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8307f7…
11-10 13:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0x5ee8d7…
11-10 13:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x196abc…
11-10 13:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x493302…
11-10 13:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xb2d6a5…
11-10 13:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x54e4da…
11-10 12:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xfb1666…
11-10 12:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xe6f730…
11-10 12:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x6d5a02…
11-10 12:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0c9b7e…
11-10 12:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xdb2b79…
11-10 12:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd0c8b1…
11-10 12:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0a255d…
11-10 12:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x989d73…
11-10 12:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xfd42f4…
11-10 12:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf1bed2…
11-10 11:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x3ee1ea…
11-10 11:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x3d5bf1…
11-10 11:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x04147f…
11-10 10:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	240	99¢	$238	0x88526f…
11-10 10:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x18ede2…
11-10 10:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x2f6e49…
11-10 04:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xbabc55…
11-10 03:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x84e200…
11-10 03:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xbe2809…
11-10 03:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9c9763…
11-10 03:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1610a9…
11-10 03:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x03a640…
11-10 03:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xb3018d…
11-10 03:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x4e5dce…
11-10 03:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x765915…
11-10 03:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xe40344…
11-10 02:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xb9e18f…
11-10 02:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xcc1470…
11-10 02:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xb84620…
11-10 02:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xf7c14d…
11-10 02:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x97d4b5…
11-10 02:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x236fc9…
11-10 01:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7a3bcb…
11-10 01:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbe6ac0…
11-10 01:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x67670c…
11-10 01:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x42879d…
11-10 01:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x958628…
11-10 01:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xebe33e…
11-10 01:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xee86ef…
11-10 01:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0x36ef00…
11-10 01:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5fb6a6…
11-10 01:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03245d…
11-10 01:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x8bbedd…
11-10 01:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xddf5f1…
11-10 01:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x932292…
11-10 00:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x43e86a…
11-10 00:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3f2ecd…
11-10 00:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x999891…
11-10 00:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x78eb2b…
11-10 00:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x49b5e4…
11-10 00:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4688c2…
11-10 00:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xa494f8…
11-09 23:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x5a558f…
11-09 14:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xa23162…
11-09 14:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2f7431…
11-09 14:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	242	99¢	$240	0x213575…
11-09 14:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$6	0xe2c04f…
11-09 14:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x462368…
11-09 14:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xae72b3…
11-09 14:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd1f53c…
11-09 14:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xff2eb4…
11-09 14:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0866a1…
11-09 14:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x264e52…
11-09 14:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x08c213…
11-09 14:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc18f1b…
11-09 14:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x9c27a4…
11-09 13:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x7adbfd…
11-09 13:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1d3720…
11-09 13:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x42bd6a…
11-09 13:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2dc572…
11-09 13:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xcfd78d…
11-09 13:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xe0d2bf…
11-09 13:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xf31480…
11-09 13:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x03c53e…
11-09 13:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x44af79…
11-09 13:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x3b5775…
11-09 13:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x18e2ed…
11-09 13:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xc969f1…
11-09 13:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8c536e…
11-09 12:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x142381…
11-09 12:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7094c4…
11-09 12:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xab6159…
11-09 12:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd4b7c0…
11-09 12:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x434313…
11-09 12:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xf988c7…
11-09 12:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0xd48b88…
11-09 12:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc7540f…
11-09 12:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x14046b…