Clueless-Secret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.83K

Unrealized P&L

-$287

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

6,766

Trades

18,619

lifetime

Volume

$539.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$3.22K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 15:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 77% +$5,143

Other

1% 60% -$386

Politics

0% 86% +$122

Sports

0% 17% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes		+3,746	$3,503	86¢	$3.2K	-$287	11-07 08:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	14	$3.9K	3,948	202	+3,746	open	—	11-07 08:24
ethereum up or down on february 5	8	$2.8K	2,800	0	+2,800	Down	+$28	02-05 15:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 4	1	$2.3K	2,281	0	+2,281	No	+$7	02-04 15:20
ethereum above 2700 on january 26	2	$2.1K	2,066	0	+2,066	Yes	+$2	01-26 15:33
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on february 3	2	$2.1K	2,064	0	+2,064	No	+$8	02-03 15:03
ethereum above 3200 on january 28	2	$1.9K	1,916	0	+1,916	No	+$6	01-28 15:38
ethereum above 3100 on january 22	1	$1.7K	1,683	0	+1,683	No	+$7	01-22 15:37
bitcoin up or down january 31 9am et	1	$1.7K	1,676	0	+1,676	Down	+$7	01-31 14:51
ethereum above 2600 on february 1	2	$1.5K	1,541	0	+1,541	No	+$3	02-01 15:18
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 15	1	$1.5K	1,507	0	+1,507	No	+$9	01-15 15:37
will msft dip to 465 in january	3	$1.5K	1,501	0	+1,501	Yes	+$18	01-14 16:07
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 19	1	$1.4K	1,442	0	+1,442	No	+$3	01-19 15:01
ethereum above 3400 on january 6	2	$1.4K	1,423	0	+1,423	No	+$6	01-06 15:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:15 UTC	11	$1.2K	640	640	+0	Down	-$1	01-21 16:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 27	1	$1.2K	1,186	0	+1,186	No	+$2	01-27 16:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 15:00 UTC	7	$1.2K	1,185	0	+1,185	Down	+$10	02-05 15:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 14:30 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$6	02-02 14:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:30 UTC	6	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Down	+$16	01-21 16:39
bitcoin above 88k on january 30	1	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	No	+$1	01-30 15:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 00:15 UTC	9	$955	977	0	+977	Up	+$21	01-13 00:29
penguin listed on binance by march 31	16	$930	579	579	+0	No	+$164	02-07 00:40
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 15:30 UTC	2	$901	910	0	+910	Up	+$9	01-13 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 02:45 UTC	24	$877	455	455	+0	Down	+$15	01-14 02:59
bitcoin above 90k on january 2	1	$841	850	0	+850	Yes	+$8	01-02 16:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 03:45 UTC	2	$812	820	0	+820	Up	+$8	01-09 03:57
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	6	$798	900	900	+0	Yes	-$796	01-31 14:30
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	1	$797	798	0	+798	No	+$1	01-24 15:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 00:15 UTC	8	$781	800	0	+800	Up	+$19	02-05 00:25
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 23:45 UTC	10	$774	782	0	+782	Up	+$8	01-04 23:59
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	10	$771	500	500	+0	Yes	-$96	01-30 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 15:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x851d75…
11-13 15:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x6bcade…
11-13 15:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9e854f…
11-13 15:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x6bf4af…
11-13 15:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x98fa93…
11-13 15:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xfca511…
11-13 14:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x079c62…
11-13 14:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xebdd67…
11-13 14:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1821db…
11-13 14:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7f9ad7…
11-13 14:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfc6a8d…
11-13 14:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6dfe2f…
11-13 14:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x4b57a1…
11-13 14:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe805e4…
11-13 13:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3db07f…
11-13 13:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x9b06c0…
11-13 13:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xd4b566…
11-13 13:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3c008f…
11-13 13:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x2d803d…
11-13 13:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x8fcae7…
11-13 13:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	13	67¢	$9	0x6bbed3…
11-13 13:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x69b2af…
11-13 13:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	212	99¢	$210	0xaa64f6…
11-13 13:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb7227f…
11-13 13:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x45e411…
11-13 13:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x07d455…
11-13 13:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x84ec9a…
11-13 13:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	27	60¢	$16	0x95d721…
11-13 13:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf041c4…
11-13 13:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x43b86f…
11-13 13:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xb43c86…
11-13 13:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x7bb377…
11-13 13:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x8432f3…
11-13 13:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0xf1ecc7…
11-13 13:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x11eb53…
11-13 13:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb73f2c…
11-13 12:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x45cdc6…
11-13 12:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x24b611…
11-13 11:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x398501…
11-13 11:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xa580bf…
11-13 11:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x8b6068…
11-13 11:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x925726…
11-13 11:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xcf2e3f…
11-13 11:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x2c686e…
11-13 11:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xec2f01…
11-13 11:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdb1e2f…
11-13 11:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x927dba…
11-13 11:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x00bf9b…
11-13 11:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x4db72c…
11-13 11:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x6fa478…
11-13 11:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x201a26…
11-13 11:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x89e6f8…
11-13 11:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0x6d816a…
11-13 11:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xfd364d…
11-13 11:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x7d7302…
11-13 11:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0fa076…
11-13 09:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xb7ace1…
11-13 02:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x079ffb…
11-13 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x6cbe6e…
11-13 02:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x093d7e…
11-13 02:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xf3a2c9…
11-13 02:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0xfe101a…
11-13 02:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x52e3dc…
11-13 02:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x587967…
11-13 01:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x7693f6…
11-13 01:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xf96eb0…
11-13 01:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x073282…
11-13 01:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3f64e1…
11-13 01:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7b66ab…
11-13 01:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x4d7bc2…
11-13 01:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0c9f25…
11-13 01:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x5cfc23…
11-13 01:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x804e83…
11-13 01:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xbf2603…
11-13 01:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xaa3f08…
11-13 00:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xa93c06…
11-13 00:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x5ea2cc…
11-13 00:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0519e9…
11-12 22:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x6aad41…
11-12 22:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x5c0892…
11-12 22:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x548f95…
11-12 22:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2db739…
11-12 12:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x035829…
11-12 12:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6b4753…
11-12 12:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x4f7663…
11-12 11:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	263	99¢	$260	0xed7519…
11-12 11:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x41286d…
11-12 11:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xcb0502…
11-12 11:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x124211…
11-12 10:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf803e7…
11-12 04:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x86fce7…
11-12 04:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe174c3…
11-12 04:28:12	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	43	91¢	$39	0x960610…
11-12 03:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf37fb3…
11-12 03:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1e1ebb…
11-12 03:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb03a2d…
11-12 02:40:43	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc9d5c8…
11-12 02:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x94aca9…
11-12 02:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0x3a592e…
11-12 02:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x0d6dd5…