Clueless-Secret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.85K

Unrealized P&L

-$254

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

6,737

Trades

18,562

lifetime

Volume

$538.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$3.25K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 02:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 77% +$5,161

Other

1% 60% -$386

Politics

0% 86% +$122

Sports

0% 17% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes		+3,746	$3,503	87¢	$3.2K	-$254	11-07 08:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	14	$3.9K	3,948	202	+3,746	open	—	11-07 08:24
ethereum up or down on february 5	8	$2.8K	2,800	0	+2,800	Down	+$28	02-05 15:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 4	1	$2.3K	2,281	0	+2,281	No	+$7	02-04 15:20
ethereum above 2700 on january 26	2	$2.1K	2,066	0	+2,066	Yes	+$2	01-26 15:33
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on february 3	2	$2.1K	2,064	0	+2,064	No	+$8	02-03 15:03
ethereum above 3200 on january 28	2	$1.9K	1,916	0	+1,916	No	+$6	01-28 15:38
ethereum above 3100 on january 22	1	$1.7K	1,683	0	+1,683	No	+$7	01-22 15:37
bitcoin up or down january 31 9am et	1	$1.7K	1,676	0	+1,676	Down	+$7	01-31 14:51
ethereum above 2600 on february 1	2	$1.5K	1,541	0	+1,541	No	+$3	02-01 15:18
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 15	1	$1.5K	1,507	0	+1,507	No	+$9	01-15 15:37
will msft dip to 465 in january	3	$1.5K	1,501	0	+1,501	Yes	+$18	01-14 16:07
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 19	1	$1.4K	1,442	0	+1,442	No	+$3	01-19 15:01
ethereum above 3400 on january 6	2	$1.4K	1,423	0	+1,423	No	+$6	01-06 15:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:15 UTC	11	$1.2K	640	640	+0	Down	-$1	01-21 16:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 27	1	$1.2K	1,186	0	+1,186	No	+$2	01-27 16:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 15:00 UTC	7	$1.2K	1,185	0	+1,185	Down	+$10	02-05 15:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 14:30 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$6	02-02 14:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:30 UTC	6	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Down	+$16	01-21 16:39
bitcoin above 88k on january 30	1	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	No	+$1	01-30 15:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 00:15 UTC	9	$955	977	0	+977	Up	+$21	01-13 00:29
penguin listed on binance by march 31	16	$930	579	579	+0	No	+$164	02-07 00:40
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 15:30 UTC	2	$901	910	0	+910	Up	+$9	01-13 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 02:45 UTC	24	$877	455	455	+0	Down	+$15	01-14 02:59
bitcoin above 90k on january 2	1	$841	850	0	+850	Yes	+$8	01-02 16:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 03:45 UTC	2	$812	820	0	+820	Up	+$8	01-09 03:57
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	6	$798	900	900	+0	Yes	-$796	01-31 14:30
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	1	$797	798	0	+798	No	+$1	01-24 15:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 00:15 UTC	8	$781	800	0	+800	Up	+$19	02-05 00:25
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 23:45 UTC	10	$774	782	0	+782	Up	+$8	01-04 23:59
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	10	$771	500	500	+0	Yes	-$96	01-30 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 02:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x079ffb…
11-13 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x6cbe6e…
11-13 02:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x093d7e…
11-13 02:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xf3a2c9…
11-13 02:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0xfe101a…
11-13 02:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x52e3dc…
11-13 02:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x587967…
11-13 01:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x7693f6…
11-13 01:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xf96eb0…
11-13 01:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x073282…
11-13 01:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3f64e1…
11-13 01:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7b66ab…
11-13 01:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x4d7bc2…
11-13 01:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0c9f25…
11-13 01:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x5cfc23…
11-13 01:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x804e83…
11-13 01:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xbf2603…
11-13 01:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xaa3f08…
11-13 00:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xa93c06…
11-13 00:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x5ea2cc…
11-13 00:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0519e9…
11-12 22:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x6aad41…
11-12 22:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x5c0892…
11-12 22:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x548f95…
11-12 22:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2db739…
11-12 12:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x035829…
11-12 12:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6b4753…
11-12 12:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x4f7663…
11-12 11:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	263	99¢	$260	0xed7519…
11-12 11:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x41286d…
11-12 11:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xcb0502…
11-12 11:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x124211…
11-12 10:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf803e7…
11-12 04:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x86fce7…
11-12 04:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe174c3…
11-12 04:28:12	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	43	91¢	$39	0x960610…
11-12 03:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf37fb3…
11-12 03:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1e1ebb…
11-12 03:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb03a2d…
11-12 02:40:43	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc9d5c8…
11-12 02:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x94aca9…
11-12 02:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0x3a592e…
11-12 02:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x0d6dd5…
11-12 02:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x2ed8dd…
11-12 02:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x55edc1…
11-12 02:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xeaa240…
11-12 02:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x6d6df1…
11-12 02:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x905b71…
11-12 02:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4b5bec…
11-12 02:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2415a9…
11-12 02:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc25672…
11-12 01:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xa5c090…
11-12 01:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xdc7622…
11-12 01:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xc10b7a…
11-12 01:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x85a541…
11-12 01:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x217249…
11-12 01:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x7c39fa…
11-12 01:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0x629778…
11-12 01:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x157a1c…
11-12 01:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x9168e5…
11-12 01:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x06e35e…
11-12 00:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x284dfa…
11-12 00:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xf9e382…
11-12 00:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x15891d…
11-12 00:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x30f769…
11-12 00:44:40	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x7b2585…
11-11 14:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x81790d…
11-11 14:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9e45a0…
11-11 14:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe25990…
11-11 14:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xff455f…
11-11 13:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x8f0773…
11-11 13:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x68f3c4…
11-11 13:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x8096e6…
11-11 13:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9356c8…
11-11 11:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xa68616…
11-11 11:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x32efff…
11-11 11:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x0ce9b1…
11-11 11:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xc4a2e8…
11-11 10:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x8290e7…
11-11 10:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x060658…
11-11 10:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbe285f…
11-11 08:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x55e722…
11-11 08:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7e2898…
11-11 08:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x93d03b…
11-11 08:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x90f7eb…
11-11 08:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc94375…
11-11 08:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x1e5c50…
11-11 07:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x98f801…
11-11 07:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x893304…
11-11 07:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x88e9a0…
11-11 07:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x57eabb…
11-11 07:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1dfe33…
11-11 07:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1d64ed…
11-11 07:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5a5bf9…
11-11 07:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x03bd27…
11-11 07:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6398f2…
11-11 07:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x1d0bf3…
11-11 07:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfb8d3b…
11-11 06:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x02b22e…
11-11 06:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x549fc3…