Realized P&L
-$191
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
57.8%
Resolved
623
Trades
2,095
lifetime
Volume
$10.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$277
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 10-27 08:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Crypto
60% 75% -$10
Other
21% 18% -$97
Politics
10% 0% -$64
Sports
4% 50% -$1
Tech
4% 0% -$19
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +35 $32 78¢ $28 -$5 08-24 18:51
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +20 $14 90¢ $18 +$4 09-12 18:18
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Yes +20 $13 89¢ $18 +$5 08-19 19:25
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? Yes +20 $14 88¢ $18 +$3 10-02 12:42
Will Napoli qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? No +20 $14 83¢ $17 +$3 09-10 20:19
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? No +20 $14 78¢ $16 +$1 09-17 10:47
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +20 $13 75¢ $15 +$2 10-26 13:53
Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? Yes +15 $12 95¢ $15 +$2 09-07 17:05
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes +24 $5 56¢ $13 +$8 08-22 01:13
Will Sunderland be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +21 $16 62¢ $13 -$3 10-21 21:27
Will Real Betis reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? Yes +20 $9 61¢ $12 +$3 10-14 18:23
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? No +24 $19 44¢ $10 -$8 08-24 18:51
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? No +20 $12 52¢ $10 -$1 09-09 19:03
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? Yes +20 $9 48¢ $10 +$1 09-09 18:20
Will Real Betis reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? No +20 $12 39¢ $8 -$4 10-14 19:25
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No +35 $6 22¢ $8 +$2 08-24 18:51
Will Sunderland be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? Yes +20 $6 38¢ $8 +$2 10-18 15:42
Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election? Yes +11 $9 69¢ $7 -$2 09-04 21:40
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +20 $8 25¢ $5 -$3 10-27 08:15
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? Yes +20 $6 22¢ $4 -$2 09-14 22:10
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +7 $3 53¢ $3 +$0 09-10 20:44
Will Napoli qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? Yes +20 $8 17¢ $3 -$4 09-10 12:26
Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election? No +11 $2 31¢ $3 +$2 09-07 17:05
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +7 $4 47¢ $3 -$1 09-10 02:53
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? No +5 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 09-02 16:23
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? No +20 $12 12¢ $2 -$10 10-05 00:07
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? No +20 $7 11¢ $2 -$5 08-19 17:15
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? Yes +5 $3 42¢ $2 -$1 09-07 17:05
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $7 10¢ $2 -$5 09-12 08:27
Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? No +15 $3 5¢ $1 -$3 09-06 22:19