Bright-Bidet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$124

Unrealized P&L

-$134

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

772

lifetime

Volume

$77.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

$1.76K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-16 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% 100% +$110

Other

42% 100% +$14

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+3,055	$1,890	57¢	$1.8K	$-134	06-16 16:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	10	$5.2K	2,519	2,796	-277	open	—	05-30 09:32
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	10	$4.8K	2,544	2,544	+0	open	—	02-03 17:12
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	9	$4.6K	2,391	2,390	+0	open	—	04-24 09:14
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	11	$3.8K	2,258	1,790	+468	open	—	06-14 21:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	12	$2.4K	1,342	1,342	+0	open	—	01-31 02:07
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	3	$2.4K	1,385	1,385	+0	open	—	01-16 00:20
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	18	$2.3K	1,468	2,068	-600	open	—	03-09 17:56
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$2.2K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-14 23:03
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	3	$2.0K	1,069	1,069	+0	open	—	01-19 17:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$1.9K	3,055	0	+3,055	open	—	06-16 16:17
will trump visit china by march 31	9	$1.6K	899	899	+0	open	—	03-23 20:19
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$1.6K	1,670	0	+1,670	open	—	02-18 13:01
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	11	$1.5K	2,070	0	+2,070	open	—	03-30 20:47
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	8	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	02-25 13:44
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	6	$1.3K	723	723	+0	open	—	02-26 18:15
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	9	$1.3K	935	935	+0	open	—	02-01 06:46
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	6	$1.2K	1,088	383	+705	open	—	06-16 16:46
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	7	$1.1K	905	220	+685	open	—	02-23 15:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$966	600	600	+0	open	—	03-24 20:18
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	8	$879	570	570	+0	open	—	04-09 17:29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$848	689	689	+0	open	—	01-30 09:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	3	$827	641	641	+0	open	—	04-24 15:57
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	9	$814	885	885	+0	open	—	02-05 17:32
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	14	$813	931	1,331	-400	open	—	01-26 10:05
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	2	$759	900	0	+900	open	—	06-10 19:52
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	4	$718	630	630	+0	open	—	02-04 17:03
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	5	$680	384	384	+0	open	—	01-31 02:29
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$679	768	768	+0	open	—	03-26 15:42
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15 20260612142709365	1	$671	685	0	+685	open	—	06-14 11:09
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	9	$662	562	562	+0	open	—	01-31 16:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 16:46:59	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x5015c8…
06-16 16:43:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x165d70…
06-16 16:17:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe98afe…
06-16 16:12:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x7789d8…
06-16 14:35:10	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	105	86¢	$90	0x48afdf…
06-16 14:30:28	will wti reach 85 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x983e92…
06-16 14:25:04	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0xdefc40…
06-16 14:16:40	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	383	87¢	$333	0x8776d0…
06-16 12:32:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	383	81¢	$310	0x734f34…
06-16 11:32:39	will wti reach 85 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	248	84¢	$208	0x7bab31…
06-16 04:18:46	will wti reach 85 by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	113	19¢	$22	0xb0ce5e…
06-16 00:12:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	62¢	$1,860	0x26f381…
06-15 22:01:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	BUY	467	87¢	$406	0xdfb665…
06-15 22:01:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0x588e88…
06-15 19:48:18	will wti reach 85 by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0x7bba0a…
06-15 18:18:37	will wti reach 85 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x75511d…
06-15 18:18:37	will wti reach 85 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	109	20¢	$21	0x6506c9…
06-15 14:33:33	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 22 20260612142709366	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x443791…
06-14 23:51:04	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 first half total 0pt5	Under	SELL	77	95¢	$74	0x837387…
06-14 23:51:03	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 first half total 0pt5	Under	SELL	158	95¢	$150	0x5190ef…
06-14 23:46:22	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x617618…
06-14 23:03:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,102	84¢	$922	0x027f62…
06-14 23:02:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x68879a…
06-14 23:02:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0xe51957…
06-14 23:02:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	192	84¢	$160	0x4983b7…
06-14 22:34:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,400	71¢	$995	0xc21b37…
06-14 21:37:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	840	98¢	$824	0xabfdd1…
06-14 21:37:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	300	98¢	$294	0x5f92f0…
06-14 21:37:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x259ada…
06-14 21:37:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	400	98¢	$392	0x5c7357…
06-14 21:37:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	230	98¢	$225	0x746e7d…
06-14 21:37:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x5a62bc…
06-14 21:37:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x946571…
06-14 21:31:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	1,790	97¢	$1,736	0xe7087c…
06-14 21:01:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x23cc79…
06-14 19:08:33	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	75	55¢	$41	0x417ff7…
06-14 19:08:31	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x817ed5…
06-14 19:08:18	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	23	55¢	$12	0x6e69a8…
06-14 19:05:39	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf94a98…
06-14 11:09:10	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15 20260612142709365	No	BUY	685	98¢	$671	0x0c5e69…
06-14 07:17:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x95914c…
06-14 07:05:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	268	59¢	$159	0x1c09ec…
06-13 11:08:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	152	93¢	$141	0x26dc12…
06-10 19:52:09	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0x4b51a6…
06-10 16:09:55	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	600	88¢	$525	0x551858…
06-07 19:01:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	300	42¢	$127	0x790d11…
06-07 18:50:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x9cf1d8…
06-07 18:46:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x1c2175…
06-07 18:46:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	158	39¢	$62	0xf45463…
06-07 18:45:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x5c5cf8…
06-07 18:45:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xf2d99d…
06-07 18:45:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xcd8ebe…
06-07 18:45:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x129c97…
06-07 18:45:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x084b9d…
06-07 18:45:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	23	44¢	$10	0xd4d83a…
06-07 18:45:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x26c26f…
06-07 18:45:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x0d2a28…
06-07 18:45:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x094514…
06-07 18:37:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x09e5ca…
06-07 18:37:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xe88db7…
06-07 18:37:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xc1d8c9…
06-07 18:37:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	86	40¢	$35	0x657ec2…
06-07 18:36:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	92	45¢	$41	0xfdfda7…
06-07 18:35:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x1996ea…
06-04 00:39:01	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0x49b1de…
06-01 20:40:04	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x219a5a…
06-01 16:55:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	600	80¢	$480	0xde3f9e…
06-01 06:20:07	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?	No	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x365d88…
06-01 06:07:25	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?	No	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x79180a…
06-01 04:54:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	688	25¢	$169	0xd1bc64…
06-01 04:51:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x3fc579…
05-31 17:40:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	24¢	$47	0x4e8f50…
05-30 16:52:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	484	29¢	$140	0x8ccc89…
05-30 16:50:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x812df9…
05-30 09:32:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	2,504	100¢	$2,502	0x8e0832…
05-30 09:24:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x051f52…
05-30 09:12:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x629fe6…
05-30 09:03:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	257	100¢	$257	0x1f99de…
05-30 08:47:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xce46f3…
05-29 20:36:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1,579	95¢	$1,500	0x83e6e7…
05-29 20:36:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x6fd4c7…
05-29 20:03:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0xa797d8…
05-29 19:53:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x1a5508…
05-29 19:50:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	115	91¢	$105	0x04a0c7…
05-29 12:41:14	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?	No	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x32a10d…
05-28 16:47:30	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	SELL	409	1¢	$4	0xe375ab…
05-28 16:47:23	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xf2295c…
05-28 16:47:22	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0x72caa5…
05-28 14:41:51	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xebba22…
05-28 07:50:10	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xfaa835…
05-28 07:41:29	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xcead5d…
05-28 07:31:55	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	145	25¢	$36	0x75c693…
05-28 06:41:39	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	105	26¢	$27	0xd30afb…
05-27 03:21:33	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	No	SELL	170	80¢	$136	0xad0840…
05-26 16:33:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	600	84¢	$504	0xab1c3f…
05-25 20:32:56	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	No	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0xf69631…
05-25 20:19:29	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x6071be…
05-24 22:11:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	646	19¢	$121	0x315a48…
05-24 22:03:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0xff22d8…
05-24 22:03:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	19¢	$5	0xf84a1a…