Wet-Neologism — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

447 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$16

$2.45K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 09-24 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 29% -$125

Other

13% 22% +$27

Sports

3% 0% -$48

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+12	$1	12¢	$2	+$1	08-08 15:03
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+15	$1	9¢	$1	+$0	08-08 15:02
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+24	$1	4¢	$1	$0	08-08 15:00
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+7	$1	12¢	$1	$0	07-26 12:47
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+7	$1	7¢	$0	-$1	08-08 15:02
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+14	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	08-08 15:01
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+21	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	08-08 15:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	3	$131	110	77	+33	Down	+$2	05-15 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$113	60	60	+0	Up	+$5	05-25 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$111	122	122	+0	Up	-$7	05-15 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$92	77	52	+25	Up	+$6	05-15 10:51
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	5	$90	137	137	+0	Yes	+$66	07-24 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$67	71	53	+18	Up	+$37	05-12 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$60	120	45	+75	Down	+$30	05-12 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$54	94	0	+94	Down	-$54	05-25 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	7	$54	100	82	+19	Up	+$10	05-15 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$49	210	19	+191	Up	-$11	05-12 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	4	$46	33	16	+17	Down	-$14	05-13 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$42	27	27	+0	Up	+$12	05-12 12:01
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	9	$41	74	70	+4	No	+$5	07-22 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$40	51	0	+51	Down	-$40	05-15 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$40	65	0	+65	Down	-$6	05-12 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$40	48	20	+28	Down	$0	05-12 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$40	1,190	24	+1,167	Down	+$8	05-12 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$37	55	0	+55	Up	+$18	05-25 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$36	43	0	+43	Down	-$36	05-30 01:14
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	3	$36	57	21	+36	Argentina	+$4	07-12 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$35	101	20	+81	Up	+$3	05-12 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$32	23	16	+7	Down	$0	05-12 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	5	$31	51	51	+0	Down	+$5	05-15 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$30	31	16	+16	Up	+$0	05-12 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-12 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	Down	+$6	05-12 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$25	190	0	+190	Down	-$1	05-12 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 15:10
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	6	$23	38	22	+16	No	-$7	07-20 05:07
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$23	88	0	+88	No	-$23	04-06 10:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 14:42:02	Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x9b0f22…
09-24 14:41:54	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$0	0xaec7be…
09-24 14:41:44	Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xdfeba9…
09-24 14:41:36	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0xf0070b…
09-24 14:41:29	Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x227c9a…
08-08 15:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x8a9f7f…
08-08 15:03:48	Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3c53b0…
08-08 15:02:28	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7a3236…
08-08 15:02:13	Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x040fd2…
08-08 15:01:57	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe51ac0…
08-08 15:01:40	Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x23b9d3…
08-08 15:01:10	Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x9f64e4…
08-08 15:00:28	Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x894fd7…
08-08 15:00:13	Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x22fb2d…
08-08 14:59:58	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xe8fa96…
08-08 14:59:37	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x27fa54…
08-08 14:59:19	Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x39ef7a…
08-08 14:46:09	Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xe46c4d…
08-08 14:45:58	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xba2dd7…
08-08 14:45:48	Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x676b80…
07-29 08:53:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x752aa5…
07-27 15:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x69072f…
07-26 12:47:00	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x25adb7…
07-24 15:39:34	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x27ed8c…
07-24 15:37:49	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x8f05c9…
07-23 17:00:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x5184e4…
07-23 16:59:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb05851…
07-23 16:59:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xea1a9f…
07-23 16:59:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	25¢	$6	0x40885a…
07-22 12:01:12	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0c9b6e…
07-22 11:58:48	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x804ab4…
07-22 11:58:30	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0xfc272e…
07-22 11:58:13	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0xb8ee4b…
07-20 05:08:15	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xcd3112…
07-20 05:07:55	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x83e78e…
07-20 05:07:30	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xf7e3de…
07-20 04:11:31	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5a80e6…
07-19 22:21:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xd0c805…
07-19 22:20:45	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x34793a…
07-19 22:20:21	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x2fda5e…
07-19 22:14:42	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xf0ae95…
07-19 22:14:25	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$1	0x225ea3…
07-19 22:14:16	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xb1f7e7…
07-19 22:13:48	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xeaff50…
07-19 22:13:46	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$1	0xc0b686…
07-19 22:13:37	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xab7858…
07-19 22:08:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa90aec…
07-19 21:49:24	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2ed9cf…
07-19 21:22:16	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5f1d82…
07-19 21:19:51	Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x51f742…
07-19 13:30:25	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$1	0x0b9586…
07-19 13:28:13	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xedcc8b…
07-19 13:26:36	Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x360331…
07-19 13:24:25	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$0	0x6afa00…
07-19 13:24:12	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x35d5b6…
07-19 13:18:40	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0xbdf941…
07-19 09:50:33	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x38bd4b…
07-18 00:09:25	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x13d333…
07-16 17:00:40	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x4a86a3…
07-16 16:59:35	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xd3c243…
07-16 16:59:13	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x6ef24c…
07-16 16:58:55	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x5b2adc…
07-15 15:38:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x959f53…
07-15 15:31:07	lol ts kc 2026 07 15	Team Secret	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2d5f89…
07-15 15:30:10	England vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc00424…
07-14 15:24:02	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2cb213…
07-12 04:04:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xc14e3e…
07-12 03:51:22	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x87f727…
07-12 03:37:07	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x8b749c…
07-12 03:36:22	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xa0bb65…
07-12 03:30:40	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xc51c5b…
07-12 03:30:16	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x97969e…
07-12 03:30:07	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x616848…
07-12 03:29:56	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x11bca8…
07-12 03:29:49	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x12e961…
07-12 03:29:35	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x71eece…
07-12 03:29:28	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5f0600…
07-12 03:17:46	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x42c9cf…
07-12 03:14:35	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	252	0¢	$0	0x64f02b…
07-12 03:14:29	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	1¢	$1	0xf2f63a…
07-12 03:14:28	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$2	0xac5c3b…
07-12 03:14:16	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	176	1¢	$2	0xccd75d…
07-12 03:14:10	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x499587…
07-12 03:14:02	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	66	10¢	$7	0x225697…
07-12 02:48:14	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0xab064d…
07-12 02:34:58	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	151	3¢	$4	0x0e2ab5…
07-11 23:58:08	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0xe6f91b…
07-11 23:57:35	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x19bbc2…
07-11 23:57:22	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0x99b8ff…
07-11 23:56:56	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x14e55c…
07-11 23:52:35	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xe951aa…
07-11 03:07:04	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	252	0¢	$1	0x488fd7…
07-11 03:06:43	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0xd2c324…
07-11 03:05:26	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcef052…
07-11 03:04:08	lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11	LYON	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf0d7f1…
07-10 08:41:31	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8719ee…
07-10 07:15:37	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	151	2¢	$3	0x3a9b3b…
07-10 07:15:22	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x50775f…
07-10 07:15:07	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x47f7a1…
07-10 07:14:56	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x3ec7b8…