Well-Documented-Hospital-Satire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$87

Unrealized P&L

-$1.40K

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$28.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$264

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-19

last 08-07 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

51% 36% -$260

Other

49% 15% +$347

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+8,465	$1,411	0¢	$8	-$1,403	07-11 08:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$6.1K	20,515	20,515	+0	Yes	+$2,774	06-17 19:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$3.2K	4,932	4,932	+0	No	+$1,149	05-23 18:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$3.1K	59,280	7,280	+52,000	Yes	+$345	06-17 17:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$2.6K	3,316	3,316	+0	Yes	+$357	06-13 18:56
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	3	$2.4K	2,727	2,727	+0	Yes	+$1,839	06-30 18:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	15	$1.4K	8,465	0	+8,465	open	—	07-11 08:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$1.1K	6,281	6,281	+0	No	+$573	05-21 17:28
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	5	$1.0K	23,859	0	+23,859	No	-$1,015	08-07 14:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	9	$996	17,834	0	+17,834	No	-$996	07-11 08:25
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	4	$914	44,681	0	+44,681	No	-$914	08-02 07:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$892	238,950	0	+238,950	Yes	-$892	06-17 17:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	21	$878	106,636	0	+106,636	No	-$878	07-11 08:25
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	4	$799	34,857	0	+34,857	No	-$799	08-07 14:40
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	1	$534	1,954	0	+1,954	Yes	+$1,420	06-14 16:18
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	3	$522	264,952	0	+264,952	Yes	-$522	06-17 20:09
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	2	$400	3,364	0	+3,364	No	-$400	08-07 14:39
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway?	1	$400	6,667	0	+6,667	No	-$400	06-30 16:50
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	5	$250	11,141	0	+11,141	No	-$250	07-11 13:19
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?	1	$250	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$250	07-10 14:47
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?	1	$200	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$200	07-10 14:48
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	1	$200	1,231	0	+1,231	No	-$200	07-10 14:48
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?	1	$200	8,696	0	+8,696	No	-$200	07-10 14:47
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	1	$155	155,000	0	+155,000	No	-$155	06-15 16:51
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?	1	$100	6,667	0	+6,667	No	-$100	07-10 14:49
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Belgium?	1	$90	10,054	0	+10,054	No	-$90	07-10 14:49
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?	1	$60	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$60	07-10 14:50
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	2	$27	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$27	06-15 17:22
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	1	$22	4,400	0	+4,400	No	-$22	06-24 17:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 14:40:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	6,600	2¢	$99	0x0127dc…
08-07 14:40:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	14,206	1¢	$200	0xf8bc75…
08-07 14:39:54	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	13,537	3¢	$400	0x437658…
08-07 14:39:45	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2,531	12¢	$300	0x5c49eb…
08-02 07:31:24	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	17,138	2¢	$300	0x233741…
08-02 07:30:56	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	6,897	3¢	$200	0xb4d2ec…
08-02 07:30:35	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	6,250	5¢	$300	0xa20dd8…
08-02 07:30:27	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0xf41a1d…
07-20 08:06:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	7,155	4¢	$300	0xac0bdf…
07-20 08:06:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	18,313	2¢	$332	0xb33614…
07-20 08:06:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	3,188	6¢	$200	0x10b709…
07-11 14:11:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	2,563	3¢	$82	0xd5c591…
07-11 13:19:25	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x29971e…
07-11 12:29:56	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd5ab95…
07-11 12:28:53	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf201ce…
07-11 08:25:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,145	14¢	$300	0xde6b9f…
07-11 08:25:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,324	4¢	$95	0xc56d21…
07-11 08:25:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16,667	1¢	$100	0x830a59…
07-11 08:24:56	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x856900…
07-11 08:24:26	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	10,128	2¢	$200	0xb02107…
07-11 08:24:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	6,667	3¢	$200	0xfab921…
07-11 08:24:11	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xf6897f…
07-10 14:50:07	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x9111b7…
07-10 14:49:47	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	6,667	1¢	$100	0x50ed52…
07-10 14:49:34	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	10,054	1¢	$90	0x8703c6…
07-10 14:48:32	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	1,231	16¢	$200	0x138c1d…
07-10 14:48:11	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	4,000	5¢	$200	0x33d992…
07-10 14:47:59	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	8,696	2¢	$200	0x2485e8…
07-10 14:47:23	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	5,000	5¢	$250	0xea740b…
07-06 15:02:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	202	18¢	$36	0x2d58ba…
07-06 14:54:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25,246	1¢	$252	0xa11686…
07-06 14:41:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	431	1¢	$4	0xea4414…
07-06 14:41:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xe513a9…
07-06 14:40:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa0820a…
07-06 14:40:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	940	1¢	$9	0x7d9456…
07-06 14:40:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x08eea0…
07-06 14:40:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	18¢	$8	0x62fddb…
07-06 14:39:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	18¢	$14	0x6d6705…
07-06 14:39:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc01464…
07-06 14:39:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	18¢	$270	0xb83b92…
07-06 14:35:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x80855f…
07-06 14:34:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$5	0x64a522…
07-06 14:33:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x46400c…
07-06 14:33:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xed6966…
07-06 14:33:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x937ae1…
07-06 14:33:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x6a9a9f…
07-06 14:30:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	520	1¢	$5	0x348158…
07-06 14:27:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,190	6¢	$365	0x577a4f…
07-06 14:23:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	110	6¢	$6	0x3bdc91…
07-06 14:17:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,803	1¢	$18	0x7626ed…
07-06 14:13:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,479	6¢	$376	0x2b21b9…
07-06 13:41:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	203	1¢	$2	0x976cf4…
07-06 13:20:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,552	18¢	$459	0xfdac6e…
07-06 13:20:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	6¢	$7	0xf26e3c…
07-06 12:50:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$7	0x5621b6…
07-06 12:34:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	368	1¢	$3	0x7052be…
07-06 12:32:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5c976b…
07-06 12:32:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0xfcecaf…
07-06 12:29:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40,000	1¢	$320	0x14716e…
07-06 12:16:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,064	1¢	$9	0x4724bd…
07-06 12:15:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	431	1¢	$3	0x2c6934…
07-06 12:12:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	844	1¢	$7	0x39952c…
07-06 12:12:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	592	1¢	$5	0x7e4026…
07-06 12:10:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,067	1¢	$9	0x7fa940…
07-06 12:08:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	545	1¢	$4	0x7c5943…
07-06 12:06:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14,910	1¢	$119	0x5664b7…
07-06 12:05:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	710	6¢	$40	0xc920fb…
07-06 12:05:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,320	16¢	$211	0x01fc6c…
07-06 12:05:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	832	6¢	$47	0x0aee88…
07-06 12:04:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	980	6¢	$55	0x383aaf…
07-06 12:04:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x4056d7…
06-30 18:55:58	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	SELL	1,158	80¢	$926	0x9e96b4…
06-30 18:55:35	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	SELL	1,569	77¢	$1,212	0x1e1ba0…
06-30 16:50:56	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	6,667	6¢	$400	0x8b3def…
06-30 16:50:46	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	2,727	11¢	$300	0x63b446…
06-24 17:19:16	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	Yes	BUY	4,400	0¢	$22	0x9c40dc…
06-24 17:19:01	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x46479e…
06-17 20:09:50	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	78,952	0¢	$100	0x527230…
06-17 20:05:19	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	136,000	0¢	$272	0x091b19…
06-17 19:30:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20,515	22¢	$4,446	0x7ca7c6…
06-17 17:31:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x6b9de1…
06-17 17:30:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,765	10¢	$172	0xb8e3f8…
06-17 17:30:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	125,000	0¢	$500	0xebb9f2…
06-17 17:30:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25,000	0¢	$100	0xa2f0d2…
06-17 17:30:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25,000	0¢	$100	0xa0cf73…
06-17 17:26:16	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	50,000	0¢	$150	0xff2779…
06-17 17:25:53	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x56c46f…
06-17 11:00:11	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xd4337c…
06-17 09:05:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	63,950	0¢	$192	0xc41b35…
06-17 09:05:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18,750	8¢	$1,500	0x0e60af…
06-15 17:22:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$14	0x9feea0…
06-15 17:21:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$13	0xc8ad02…
06-15 16:51:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	155,000	0¢	$155	0xb4da9e…
06-14 16:18:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	1,954	27¢	$534	0xc9d740…
06-14 16:18:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	3,362	16¢	$535	0xf94a0f…
06-14 12:15:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,362	17¢	$569	0x44b789…
06-13 18:56:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	286	54¢	$154	0xb1e79d…
06-13 18:56:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,554	27¢	$415	0xeff746…
06-11 21:07:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,554	12¢	$188	0x1a7e82…
06-11 21:07:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xa1fae0…