Vapid-Compass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.50K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-26 21:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 0% -$4,335

Other

30% 11% -$745

Sports

13% 29% -$95

Politics

6% 0% -$329

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$602	324	324	+0	Yes	+$45	09-16 21:38
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$582	518	518	+0	Yes	+$382	07-19 21:50
will xrp reach 2pt6 in january 2026	1	$501	3,112	0	+3,112	No	-$501	01-14 11:42
will the us next strike iran on february 14 2026 et	2	$479	35,603	35,603	+0	No	-$277	02-14 15:24
will xrp reach 1pt6 in june 2026	1	$466	6,943	0	+6,943	No	-$466	06-06 20:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$465	3,549	3,549	+0	open	—	08-15 16:35
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	2	$439	700	700	+0	Yes	+$323	01-25 19:41
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April?	2	$348	6,124	5,705	+419	No	-$250	04-10 20:29
Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?	1	$299	3,323	0	+3,323	No	-$299	04-03 11:35
xrp all time high by march 31 2026	1	$261	2,901	0	+2,901	No	-$261	01-26 11:17
xrp above 1pt5 on april 19	2	$200	2,759	0	+2,759	No	-$200	04-15 20:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$200	1,143	0	+1,143	No	-$200	09-14 18:44
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$200	1,242	0	+1,242	No	-$200	07-09 14:18
will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	1	$200	3,108	0	+3,108	No	-$200	07-22 16:04
Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?	1	$200	1,084	0	+1,084	No	-$200	09-01 22:13
Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?	1	$183	626	0	+626	No	-$183	08-23 15:00
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$160	10,752	0	+10,752	Yes	-$160	03-07 15:01
will solana dip to 100 in september 2026 from september 17	1	$130	1,182	0	+1,182	No	-$130	09-23 10:38
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	1	$123	4,113	0	+4,113	No	-$123	07-18 09:49
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$120	15,000	0	+15,000	No	-$120	01-25 21:47
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$105	326	0	+326	No	-$105	07-09 14:19
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$102	1,673	0	+1,673	No	-$102	07-09 17:08
will solana reach 170 in february 2026	1	$100	5,125	0	+5,125	No	-$100	02-01 14:18
will xrp dip to 0pt6 in august 2026	1	$100	4,981	0	+4,981	No	-$100	08-05 10:22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$100	50,000	0	+50,000	No	-$100	07-29 06:00
will solana reach 160 in february 2026	1	$100	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$100	02-01 14:18
will solana reach 150 in february 2026	1	$100	1,254	0	+1,254	No	-$100	02-01 14:18
will solana reach 190 in february 2026	1	$100	6,167	0	+6,167	No	-$100	02-01 14:17
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in August?	1	$100	703	0	+703	No	-$100	08-23 14:58
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$100	5,378	0	+5,378	No	-$100	02-14 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:35:57	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9,703	0¢	$29	0x4f4905…
10-25 15:56:51	Steelers vs. Saints	Steelers	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x4881eb…
10-20 19:31:53	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0x2028de…
10-04 09:58:19	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,843	1¢	$48	0x482454…
09-24 13:03:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	174	3¢	$5	0xae5b64…
09-23 10:38:41	will solana dip to 100 in september 2026 from september 17	Yes	BUY	1,182	11¢	$130	0x633309…
09-22 00:51:31	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,169	6¢	$70	0xf7b563…
09-16 21:38:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	324	100¢	$323	0x804c48…
09-14 18:46:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	324	86¢	$278	0xc4b0c9…
09-14 18:44:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0xb3a726…
09-13 16:30:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,286	1¢	$30	0x780c40…
09-13 16:30:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x9387a6…
09-01 22:15:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,390	0¢	$25	0xd9e123…
09-01 22:14:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$60	0xbfd49a…
09-01 22:13:06	Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,084	18¢	$200	0x80b39d…
08-23 15:00:04	Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?	Yes	BUY	626	29¢	$183	0x5c347f…
08-23 14:58:54	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in August?	Yes	BUY	703	14¢	$100	0x5b95bb…
08-15 16:35:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,549	4¢	$131	0x2e40a1…
08-06 16:58:47	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 8?	Yes	BUY	808	3¢	$23	0xaf32ef…
08-05 10:22:08	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4,981	2¢	$100	0x3bf992…
07-29 06:00:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x2679e0…
07-22 16:04:18	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	3,108	6¢	$200	0xf27b9b…
07-19 21:53:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0x1324dd…
07-19 21:52:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x7926c8…
07-19 21:51:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4,000	0¢	$10	0xf9954e…
07-19 21:50:31	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	518	93¢	$482	0x78a96b…
07-18 09:49:57	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	4,113	3¢	$123	0x00fc4c…
07-15 19:02:14	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	85	10¢	$8	0x05e593…
07-15 19:01:17	Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	722	3¢	$19	0x3701dd…
07-09 17:08:26	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xad10f9…
07-09 14:19:35	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	326	32¢	$105	0xc0d63c…
07-09 14:18:43	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,242	16¢	$200	0xd9fb2d…
07-09 14:17:23	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	518	19¢	$100	0x88792f…
07-09 14:16:32	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,639	6¢	$100	0xf06120…
07-09 14:11:44	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,600	2¢	$40	0xf2aa8c…
07-09 14:11:37	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,290	3¢	$40	0xf17a13…
06-24 13:28:41	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	2,393	4¢	$94	0xc38420…
06-06 20:48:22	will xrp reach 1pt6 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6,943	7¢	$466	0x2621ac…
06-02 08:15:20	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	933	10¢	$93	0xb4c50c…
05-31 09:22:27	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	726	8¢	$60	0xaf9263…
05-31 09:21:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3,206	2¢	$50	0xb8b994…
05-31 09:20:57	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1,051	5¢	$50	0xd5efa8…
05-31 09:20:52	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1,186	4¢	$50	0x61b161…
05-25 15:39:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32,510	0¢	$98	0x7f8e0f…
05-08 14:36:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,549	9¢	$334	0x6d9607…
04-16 13:27:46	xrp above 1pt6 on april 19	Yes	BUY	3,464	3¢	$99	0x1cdf65…
04-15 20:55:44	xrp above 1pt5 on april 19	Yes	BUY	1,359	7¢	$99	0x30c3dd…
04-14 15:36:57	xrp above 1pt5 on april 19	Yes	BUY	1,400	7¢	$101	0x567b0d…
04-10 20:29:41	Will XRP reach $2.00 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,250	2¢	$45	0x7e097a…
04-10 20:29:19	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April?	Yes	SELL	5,705	1¢	$49	0xb5510d…
04-06 19:30:33	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April?	Yes	BUY	6,124	5¢	$299	0xf33965…
04-03 11:35:27	Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?	Yes	BUY	3,323	9¢	$299	0xae62dd…
03-07 15:01:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	10,752	1¢	$160	0x03ff09…
02-14 15:24:49	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	5,378	2¢	$100	0x8af8ee…
02-14 15:24:33	will the us next strike iran on february 14 2026 et	Yes	SELL	35,603	0¢	$101	0x6a531a…
02-13 11:35:53	will the us next strike iran on february 14 2026 et	Yes	BUY	35,603	1¢	$378	0xd265f1…
02-01 14:19:28	will solana reach 180 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	3,572	3¢	$100	0x4366d3…
02-01 14:18:32	will solana reach 140 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xd62923…
02-01 14:18:26	will solana reach 150 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,254	8¢	$100	0x211b4b…
02-01 14:18:18	will solana reach 160 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	4¢	$100	0x690340…
02-01 14:18:10	will solana reach 170 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	5,125	2¢	$100	0xde1ea2…
02-01 14:17:50	will solana reach 190 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	6,167	2¢	$100	0xf3fcb8…
02-01 14:17:44	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	6,347	2¢	$100	0xe0b60b…
01-26 11:17:23	xrp all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,901	9¢	$261	0x9b1721…
01-25 21:47:40	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	15,000	1¢	$120	0x0350a5…
01-25 19:41:50	si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	Yes	SELL	700	54¢	$381	0x805d87…
01-24 14:58:00	will xrp dip to 1pt4 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	3,404	1¢	$50	0xf65d25…
01-14 14:11:20	will solana reach 180 january 12 18	Yes	BUY	3,636	2¢	$60	0x38055e…
01-14 11:42:36	will xrp reach 2pt6 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	3,112	16¢	$501	0xd5d8a6…
01-13 17:55:09	si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	Yes	BUY	700	8¢	$58	0x80583f…