Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$389

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

231

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$8.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$369

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-15 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 75% +$9

Other

33% 34% -$157

Politics

13% 75% -$47

Sports

3% 0% -$168

Tech

2% 67% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	-190	-$186	98¢	$-187	-$1	08-15 09:59
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	-114	-$112	98¢	$-111	+$1	08-15 09:59
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-74	-$71	96¢	$-71	+$1	08-15 09:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	3	$1.8K	981	981	+0	open	—	08-15 09:59
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$345	207	206	+0	No	-$55	01-06 05:38
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$275	280	0	+280	No	+$5	01-04 11:40
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	2	$267	277	0	+277	No	+$10	02-23 20:56
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$263	112	229	-116	No	-$53	01-10 22:20
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	3	$259	213	112	+101	Yes	-$20	04-29 10:28
Ranger FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$204	213	0	+213	No	+$9	01-10 18:47
Ranger FDV above $40M one day after launch?	1	$200	216	0	+216	No	+$16	01-10 18:47
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$187	138	138	+0	Yes	-$13	02-13 18:42
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$186	0	190	-190	open	—	08-15 09:59
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$160	168	0	+168	No	+$8	02-02 05:10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	1	$150	156	0	+156	No	+$6	05-31 05:11
over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	3	$146	183	72	+111	Yes	+$57	01-10 15:48
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$112	0	114	-114	open	—	08-15 09:59
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$103	105	0	+105	No	+$1	04-06 12:48
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$100	110	0	+110	Yes	+$10	01-13 10:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$100	104	0	+104	No	+$4	05-31 05:12
iran strike on us military by january 31	1	$100	135	0	+135	No	+$35	01-13 10:28
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$100	119	0	+119	No	+$19	01-13 10:29
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$100	105	0	+105	No	+$5	01-13 10:29
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$100	113	0	+113	Yes	-$100	02-09 10:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$100	109	0	+109	No	+$9	01-17 19:29
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$100	104	0	+104	No	+$4	01-17 19:29
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	1	$100	108	0	+108	No	+$8	01-17 19:31
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	1	$100	106	0	+106	No	+$6	02-26 18:59
will the us next strike iran on january 13 2026 et 111	1	$100	105	0	+105	No	+$5	01-13 10:28
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	3	$92	150	150	+0	Yes	-$78	01-10 15:48
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?	1	$91	122	0	+122	Yes	+$31	01-13 10:30
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$72	8,000	8,000	+0	No	-$8	06-19 12:43
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$71	0	74	-74	open	—	08-15 09:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 09:59:24	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	114	98¢	$112	0x4bc82e…
08-15 09:59:19	Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	SELL	103	56¢	$57	0x8d5913…
08-15 09:59:12	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	190	98¢	$186	0x39ea17…
08-15 09:59:06	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	981	95¢	$933	0x477b35…
08-15 09:58:55	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0x0380a0…
07-02 18:33:02	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x11fab5…
07-02 18:32:43	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	57¢	$12	0x4b0dd1…
07-02 18:32:16	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x66adf0…
07-02 18:31:59	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xa464b2…
07-02 18:31:46	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x0a67bd…
07-02 18:24:08	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals goncalo ramos gte1	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x98d2e4…
07-02 18:23:58	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	20	57¢	$12	0x7326a0…
07-02 18:22:32	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	20	57¢	$12	0xcfbd68…
07-02 18:22:08	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xc045b1…
07-02 18:21:43	Portugal to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$13	0xe7b9cb…
07-02 18:21:26	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xd2664c…
07-02 18:21:08	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa30f96…
07-02 18:20:56	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x01fb2e…
07-02 18:20:43	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x608617…
07-02 18:20:29	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x4343f4…
06-30 16:45:56	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals amad diallo gte1	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x9d3a4b…
06-30 16:45:35	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x292979…
06-30 16:45:16	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xa486cb…
06-30 16:44:17	Norway leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x92be76…
06-30 16:44:05	Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xa691d8…
06-30 16:43:49	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdf7220…
06-30 16:43:17	Côte d'Ivoire to score first vs. Norway?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xf5a74b…
06-30 16:43:04	Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xf72dd9…
06-30 16:42:41	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	No	BUY	20	42¢	$9	0x6ba525…
06-30 16:42:31	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x6bd630…
06-30 16:42:07	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$6	0x2d1300…
06-30 16:41:53	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x62dcbe…
06-30 16:41:35	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x05216f…
06-29 07:39:50	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals ayoub el kaabi gte1	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x637ad7…
06-29 07:39:34	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals brian brobbey gte1	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xec4917…
06-29 07:39:08	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x3b5ff4…
06-29 07:37:56	Morocco leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x8dccf8…
06-29 07:37:46	Netherlands leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x5b3fc0…
06-29 07:36:38	Morocco to score first vs. Netherlands?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x2caa9d…
06-29 07:36:25	Netherlands vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x049d6f…
06-29 07:36:10	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe9ed8a…
06-29 07:35:55	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xbdff71…
06-29 07:35:25	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$6	0xa10c5d…
06-29 07:35:14	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$7	0x767944…
06-29 07:35:04	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x37b8ff…
06-29 07:34:02	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals julio cesar enciso gte1	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x4e9acb…
06-29 07:33:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals kai havertz gte1	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xc7ae66…
06-29 07:32:52	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xc0185a…
06-29 07:32:17	Paraguay to score first vs. Germany?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x469c3c…
06-29 07:32:02	Germany vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xb53e1e…
06-29 07:31:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 btts	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x5ba17a…
06-29 07:30:59	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa0a6fb…
06-29 07:30:41	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x1fec1e…
06-29 07:30:14	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x77a2dd…
06-29 07:30:01	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xd7028e…
06-29 07:29:40	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x24842f…
06-27 10:29:11	Croatia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$8	0x3b8e1b…
06-27 10:29:02	Ghana leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	21	17¢	$3	0xb7c134…
06-27 10:28:46	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x8f8f91…
06-27 10:28:32	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd63fc9…
06-27 10:28:13	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xbeb8e6…
06-27 10:25:50	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x46c5f7…
06-27 10:25:35	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x5d1040…
06-27 10:24:35	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x8b6a70…
06-27 10:24:22	Colombia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x155212…
06-27 10:24:05	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x47690f…
06-27 10:23:44	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x6cabc0…
06-27 10:23:28	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x282599…
06-27 10:23:13	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8600c7…
06-27 10:23:02	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x7fc9bc…
06-25 21:28:59	Uruguay leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x45f9fb…
06-25 21:28:37	Uruguay vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xb89f17…
06-25 21:28:14	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xfb2c9d…
06-25 21:28:04	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdf3c4e…
06-25 21:27:40	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Spain	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x4aa6f5…
06-25 21:27:14	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Spain	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x7b3698…
06-25 21:26:55	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xb9b1ed…
06-25 21:23:41	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xeb551c…
06-25 21:23:32	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x997db6…
06-25 21:21:16	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc41077…
06-25 21:20:59	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Spain	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xc02d52…
06-25 21:20:22	Uruguay leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xc1a3ef…
06-25 21:20:02	Uruguay vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xbd2564…
06-25 21:19:31	Spain leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x60bdeb…
06-25 21:18:38	Spain leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x4c9e7e…
06-25 21:18:31	Spain leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x9b02ba…
06-25 21:17:59	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xa8ae8b…
06-25 21:17:47	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0xe9b09d…
06-25 21:16:11	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xd76e87…
06-25 21:15:25	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	32¢	$7	0xc63e4b…
06-25 21:14:38	New Zealand leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xc3d713…
06-25 21:14:25	New Zealand vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x13b788…
06-25 21:12:19	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 spread away 2pt5	Belgium	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x062eba…
06-25 21:11:49	Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	12¢	$2	0xe48a16…
06-25 21:11:32	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd96ec1…
06-25 21:10:44	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 btts	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xae5202…
06-25 21:10:07	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3ed0ff…
06-25 21:09:19	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 spread home 1pt5	Japan	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd3072b…
06-25 21:07:59	Sweden leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x0d9b7b…
06-25 21:07:44	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$8	0x157e5e…