Gregarious-Method — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$59

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$750

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$66

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 93% +$59

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down		+67	$50	99¢	$66	+$16	05-05 22:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$50	62	+62	Up	+$12	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$50	55	+55	Up	+$5	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$50	54	+54	Up	+$4	05-04 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$50	63	+63	Up	+$13	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$50	54	+54	Down	+$4	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$50	57	+57	Up	+$7	05-05 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$50	56	+56	Down	+$6	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$50	67	+67	open	—	05-05 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$50	65	+65	Up	+$15	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$50	55	+55	Down	+$5	05-04 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$50	66	+66	Up	+$16	05-04 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$50	65	+65	Down	+$15	05-05 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$50	56	+56	Down	+$6	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$50	53	+53	Down	$-50	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	05-05 01:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x17e332…
05-05 01:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xb483ba…
05-05 00:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x7df78a…
05-05 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x90ed85…
05-05 00:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xaa4aab…
05-04 23:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x1a485f…
05-04 23:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x9f8e63…
05-04 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x2156c8…
05-04 23:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x4fb27c…
05-04 22:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xb978f7…
05-04 22:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x477771…
05-04 22:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	55	92¢	$50	0x53d9b9…
05-04 22:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xfa9c48…
05-04 22:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x997d68…
05-04 22:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x47ed0a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	14	$2.64K	42	05-05 22:20
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	13	$2.25K	41	05-05 22:15
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	10	$2.05K	21	05-05 01:29
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	10	$1.34K	251	05-05 22:20
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	10	$778	47	05-05 22:15
Ignorant-Cruise 0x0763…dc47	10	$519	91	05-05 22:20
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	9	$1.56K	17	05-05 22:15
Adored-Dory-Producer 0x04a1…3527	9	$1.16K	33	05-05 01:29