Liquid-Polarisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

2.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$81

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 25% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up		+5	$5	92¢	$5	$-0	05-06 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up		-5	$-2	44¢	$-2	+$0	05-06 00:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xd7675f…
05-06 00:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0468b6…
05-05 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf2a646…
05-05 18:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3ea3a8…
05-05 16:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xde4baa…
05-05 15:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x114c1d…
05-05 12:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x7a19a1…
05-05 12:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xb67aaa…
05-05 04:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6ffb3e…
05-05 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8f37ec…
05-05 03:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xde85a4…
05-05 03:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x4f840c…
05-05 03:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xca0112…
05-05 02:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x962918…
05-05 02:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xa85649…
05-05 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xdc3f47…
05-05 01:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb12974…
05-05 00:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xff6445…
05-05 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xa4748d…
05-04 23:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc05b2b…
05-04 23:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7718f1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	20	$4.66K	104	05-06 00:19
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	17	$1.22K	89	05-06 00:18
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	17	$586	66	05-06 00:19
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	16	$7.69K	113	05-06 00:19
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	16	$3.40K	62	05-06 00:19
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	16	$1.24K	89	05-06 00:18
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	14	$1.29K	125	05-06 00:19
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	14	$979	92	05-06 00:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$9	0	10	-10	Down	$-1	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-06 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-05 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$2	0	5	-5	open	—	05-06 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$2	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$0	0	5	-5	Up	+$0	05-05 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$0	0	5	-5	Up	+$0	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$0	0	5	-5	Down	+$0	05-05 01:44