Lumbering-Dictator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-30 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$1

Other

22% 33% $-126

Sports

12% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$318	159	159	+0	open	—	03-07 03:44
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$318	159	159	+0	open	—	03-07 04:20
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$281	141	141	+0	open	—	03-12 08:56
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$281	140	140	+0	open	—	03-12 09:23
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$280	140	140	+0	open	—	04-07 07:20
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$264	134	134	+0	open	—	03-20 07:07
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$257	129	129	+0	open	—	04-19 11:19
will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$256	129	129	+0	open	—	03-29 10:02
will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$256	129	129	+0	open	—	03-29 10:16
bitcoin above 76k on march 6	1	$159	159	0	+159	open	—	03-06 12:18
bitcoin above 60k on march 7	1	$152	153	0	+153	open	—	03-07 04:27
will ethereum reach 2400 march 2 8	1	$152	152	0	+152	open	—	03-08 07:28
ethereum above 1800 on march 9	1	$149	149	0	+149	open	—	03-09 11:58
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 260 279	1	$147	147	0	+147	open	—	03-03 08:42
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	1	$144	144	0	+144	open	—	03-01 11:59
bitcoin above 76k on march 10	1	$144	144	0	+144	open	—	03-10 08:04
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 17	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	03-17 12:40
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 16	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	03-16 12:25
ethereum above 2100 on april 11	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	04-11 12:46
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	1	$140	141	0	+141	open	—	03-14 05:14
bitcoin above 68k on april 10	1	$140	141	0	+141	open	—	04-10 11:23
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	03-13 09:37
bitcoin above 76k on april 9	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	04-09 06:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 12	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	03-12 09:33
ethereum above 2100 on april 8	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	04-08 12:36
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 6	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	04-06 09:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	04-07 07:25
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	04-20 12:56
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	04-22 12:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 5	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	04-05 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 11:24:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x60a024…
05-30 10:38:00	Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	Miami Marlins	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x6a4818…
05-28 11:37:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x7d22ee…
05-28 09:41:21	Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton	Raphael Collignon	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe4cc2c…
05-27 08:25:28	Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xff7bc8…
05-26 07:52:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xdec7dc…
05-26 07:46:06	Roland Garros WTA: Simona Waltert vs Katerina Siniakova	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x926e52…
05-25 03:31:48	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x26e0cc…
05-24 10:57:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x26abed…
05-23 11:40:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x78e657…
05-23 11:36:00	Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul	Ignacio Buse	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xf3979a…
05-22 11:38:43	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x30bfe4…
05-21 07:09:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x6a57a9…
05-20 11:36:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 20?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xf83f19…
05-20 11:32:11	Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Laslo Djere	Laslo Djere	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0x13c160…
05-19 11:22:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xbe9083…
05-18 10:54:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x623b6d…
05-17 08:08:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x41e19f…
05-15 10:34:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x671ddc…
05-14 18:14:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x06d370…
05-12 19:52:58	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 13?	No	BUY	135	86¢	$116	0xaf1f4d…
05-11 05:36:58	Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	NRG	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x35d844…
05-10 06:55:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x57177f…
05-09 07:45:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x778881…
05-08 04:48:34	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x24579d…
05-07 10:36:15	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x001ccf…
05-07 10:12:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Tereza Valentova	Tereza Valentova	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x6cc2af…
05-06 06:38:24	KBO: NC Dinos vs. SSG Landers	NC Dinos	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x54facc…
05-05 03:38:06	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x1c0782…
05-04 06:53:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x4fc0ab…
05-03 07:44:46	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x2340e9…
05-02 06:32:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x8b9e58…
05-01 07:24:10	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xe6af5e…
04-30 08:22:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x19b008…
04-28 10:15:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0xa88e03…
04-27 10:21:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xe0e7c1…
04-26 11:51:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xf0cf14…
04-26 11:48:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xd72ac6…
04-26 10:35:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0xd0deff…
04-25 04:02:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xfdaf7f…
04-24 04:09:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 24	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x9664c5…
04-24 03:26:46	Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x7c4add…
04-23 05:36:26	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 23	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x86a2d5…
04-22 12:17:06	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xc9f26a…
04-21 12:40:42	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x1d531a…
04-20 12:56:32	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x829dd1…
04-19 11:29:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 19	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xd09a0f…
04-19 11:19:08	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$128	0x78e012…
04-19 10:18:46	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$128	0x4c557b…
04-19 10:16:26	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0xfd4a14…
04-15 08:13:58	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x32207c…
04-14 06:24:55	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0x66437f…
04-13 08:48:21	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0x68be7d…
04-12 05:12:55	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 12	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x65901b…
04-12 03:38:05	mlb ari phi 2026 04 12	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x2d916d…
04-11 12:46:17	ethereum above 2100 on april 11	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x9ba3af…
04-10 11:23:01	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x15f07b…
04-09 06:26:51	bitcoin above 76k on april 9	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x81607f…
04-08 12:36:45	ethereum above 2100 on april 8	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xa57f8a…
04-07 07:25:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x2e7264…
04-07 07:20:37	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x63beec…
04-07 06:59:29	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xcb63dd…
04-06 09:21:29	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 6	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x1b5612…
04-05 12:18:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 5	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x94a60c…
04-04 10:59:21	bitcoin above 72k on april 4	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x3311c1…
04-03 06:00:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 3	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xfbc7e9…
04-02 03:45:33	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x09b3d1…
04-01 08:02:47	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on april 1	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x53d9d4…
03-31 06:13:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 31	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x468d5a…
03-30 14:07:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 30	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x65af38…
03-29 10:21:48	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 23 29	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x1cff70…
03-29 10:16:36	will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	129	99¢	$128	0xa22701…
03-29 10:03:54	will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	129	100¢	$128	0x377ab6…
03-29 10:02:08	will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	129	99¢	$128	0x27dfb7…
03-29 08:58:20	will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	129	100¢	$128	0xa5bf9a…
03-29 08:54:38	mlb tex phi 2026 03 29	Texas Rangers	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x7b3f29…
03-28 12:56:09	bitcoin above 70k on march 28	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x68db00…
03-27 10:06:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xcc6315…
03-26 14:19:37	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 26	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xb6712f…
03-25 12:35:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0x11c71c…
03-24 10:56:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 24	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x98e93f…
03-22 11:57:29	ethereum above 2300 on march 22	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x8cc876…
03-21 05:37:29	ethereum above 2000 on march 21	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x20b3a2…
03-20 07:39:43	ethereum above 2400 on march 20	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x0eac51…
03-20 07:07:51	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	134	99¢	$132	0x9bd9be…
03-20 06:51:41	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	134	99¢	$132	0xac55ce…
03-18 06:49:05	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x6e2f90…
03-18 06:26:39	ahl wil lav 2026 03 18	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x294af7…
03-17 12:40:29	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 17	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x53368f…
03-16 12:25:35	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 16	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x1b7d5b…
03-14 05:14:53	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0xb716c4…
03-13 09:37:59	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x6ce71f…
03-12 09:33:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 12	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xe500dd…
03-12 09:23:29	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xcccd12…
03-12 08:59:33	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x41fea6…
03-12 08:56:37	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	141	100¢	$140	0xd705a6…
03-12 08:32:01	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x0f4848…
03-12 08:26:31	shl fae tim 2026 03 12	Timraa	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0xdff85b…
03-10 08:04:35	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xb1b9dd…
03-10 07:59:31	nba phx mil 2026 03 10	Bucks	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x8ec240…