Lumbering-Dictator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$129

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

136

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$18.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-22 17:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 95% +$11

Other

31% 65% -$141

Politics

13% 57% +$0

Sports

12% 25% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$318	159	159	+0	No	$0	03-07 03:44
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$318	159	159	+0	No	$0	03-07 04:20
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$281	141	141	+0	No	$0	03-12 08:56
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$281	140	140	+0	No	$0	03-12 09:23
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$280	140	140	+0	No	$0	04-07 07:20
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$264	134	134	+0	No	$0	03-20 07:07
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$257	129	129	+0	No	$0	04-19 11:19
will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$256	129	129	+0	No	$0	03-29 10:02
will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$256	129	129	+0	No	$0	03-29 10:16
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$254	127	127	+0	open	—	05-27 08:20
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$254	127	127	+0	open	—	05-27 07:23
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	05-26 07:06
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	05-26 07:41
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$242	121	121	+0	No	$0	05-06 07:02
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$238	120	120	+0	No	$0	05-07 10:34
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$238	120	120	+0	No	$0	05-24 10:36
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$238	120	120	+0	No	$0	05-24 10:54
Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$238	119	119	+0	No	$0	05-09 07:42
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$238	119	119	+0	open	—	05-16 11:57
Will Montenegro be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$238	119	119	+0	No	$0	05-09 07:21
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$238	120	120	+0	open	—	05-18 10:13
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$236	119	119	+0	open	—	05-19 11:19
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$236	119	119	+0	open	—	05-18 10:50
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$236	119	119	+0	open	—	05-20 11:29
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$234	118	118	+0	open	—	05-11 05:56
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$226	114	114	+0	open	—	05-23 11:33
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$224	113	113	+0	No	$0	05-28 11:34
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	05-30 11:21
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$176	88	88	+0	No	$0	05-30 11:02
bitcoin above 76k on march 6	1	$159	159	0	+159	No	+$0	03-06 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 17:34:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $288 in October?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x849241…
09-29 08:24:08	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x5cdacf…
08-14 09:45:13	will ng dip to 2 20 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x5bd3af…
08-14 09:41:13	lol shft sk 2026 08 14	Shifters	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xfe00f1…
07-10 08:17:25	msft above 430 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x0eb169…
06-30 11:21:38	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xecdfdf…
05-31 09:04:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xce78ab…
05-30 11:24:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x60a024…
05-30 11:21:22	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xe68339…
05-30 11:04:46	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x02f2c3…
05-30 11:02:42	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x59fb0f…
05-30 10:43:13	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x584536…
05-30 10:38:00	Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	Miami Marlins	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x6a4818…
05-30 10:35:40	Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xe00753…
05-29 08:10:59	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x8c1051…
05-29 08:07:36	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd4e2a…
05-28 11:37:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x7d22ee…
05-28 11:34:54	Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0x06eb2d…
05-28 09:44:48	Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x0d0507…
05-28 09:41:21	Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton	Raphael Collignon	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe4cc2c…
05-28 09:38:51	Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5cf1f8…
05-27 08:29:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xd5b498…
05-27 08:25:28	Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xff7bc8…
05-27 08:20:55	Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0xf9d0f2…
05-27 07:25:46	Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x839d1d…
05-27 07:23:28	Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x13f940…
05-27 07:06:10	Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x830180…
05-26 07:52:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xdec7dc…
05-26 07:46:06	Roland Garros WTA: Simona Waltert vs Katerina Siniakova	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x926e52…
05-26 07:41:08	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0x1a875e…
05-26 07:08:06	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x2f846e…
05-26 07:06:47	Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0x66e3db…
05-26 06:33:41	Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x4c585b…
05-25 03:41:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x856331…
05-25 03:31:48	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x26e0cc…
05-24 10:57:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x26abed…
05-24 10:54:01	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x77ca19…
05-24 10:37:58	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xd8a14f…
05-24 10:36:52	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x3c7c13…
05-24 10:05:01	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x244fd3…
05-23 11:40:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x78e657…
05-23 11:36:00	Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul	Ignacio Buse	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xf3979a…
05-23 11:33:15	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0xc2db98…
05-23 10:55:15	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x53ffdd…
05-22 11:44:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x3425ff…
05-22 11:38:43	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x30bfe4…
05-21 07:09:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x6a57a9…
05-20 11:36:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 20?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xf83f19…
05-20 11:32:11	Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Laslo Djere	Laslo Djere	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0x13c160…
05-20 11:29:48	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0xc78272…
05-20 10:18:27	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x3569f4…
05-19 11:22:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xbe9083…
05-19 11:19:32	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0x7eeeb7…
05-19 10:56:56	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x52611a…
05-18 10:54:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x623b6d…
05-18 10:50:21	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0x1fdf68…
05-18 10:17:06	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x538049…
05-18 10:13:36	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x155777…
05-18 09:24:29	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x5b5348…
05-17 08:08:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x41e19f…
05-16 12:01:17	Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x82e96d…
05-16 11:57:31	Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xe247f8…
05-16 11:30:06	Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x4b087f…
05-15 10:34:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x671ddc…
05-14 18:14:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x06d370…
05-12 19:52:58	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 13?	No	BUY	135	86¢	$116	0xaf1f4d…
05-12 04:20:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x5b68c5…
05-11 05:57:12	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 11?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xc793c9…
05-11 05:56:14	Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0xf530f4…
05-11 05:39:35	Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x26fff3…
05-11 05:36:58	Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	NRG	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x35d844…
05-10 06:55:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x57177f…
05-09 07:45:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x778881…
05-09 07:42:35	Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x745976…
05-09 07:23:39	Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xba0db7…
05-09 07:21:08	Will Montenegro be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xae7141…
05-09 07:05:32	Will Montenegro be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x1a607a…
05-08 04:48:34	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x24579d…
05-07 10:36:15	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x001ccf…
05-07 10:34:49	Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x7342a7…
05-07 10:18:25	Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x466ff3…
05-07 10:12:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Tereza Valentova	Tereza Valentova	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x6cc2af…
05-06 07:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xb4a738…
05-06 07:02:14	Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xc84600…
05-06 06:44:18	Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x61e817…
05-06 06:38:24	KBO: NC Dinos vs. SSG Landers	NC Dinos	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x54facc…
05-05 03:38:06	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x1c0782…
05-04 06:53:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x4fc0ab…
05-03 07:44:46	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x2340e9…
05-02 06:34:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	614	1¢	$4	0x06f467…
05-02 06:32:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x8b9e58…
05-01 07:24:10	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xe6af5e…
04-30 08:22:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x19b008…
04-29 07:06:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xfc3ae5…
04-28 10:15:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0xa88e03…
04-27 10:21:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xe0e7c1…
04-26 11:51:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xf0cf14…
04-26 11:48:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xd72ac6…
04-26 10:35:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0xd0deff…
04-25 04:02:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xfdaf7f…