Shrill-Haversack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-13 23:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 100% +$9

Other

1% 100% +$10

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin above 81,000 on May 9, 5AM ET?	No		+5	$5	2¢	$0	$-5	05-10 05:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin above 78,800 on May 11, 6AM ET?	1	$277	277	0	+277	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:45
Bitcoin above 79,800 on May 5, 11AM ET?	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	05-05 14:54
Bitcoin above 78,400 on May 8, 5PM ET?	1	$198	200	0	+200	Yes	+$2	05-09 15:37
Bitcoin above 79,800 on May 4, 7PM ET?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin above 77,200 on May 13, 8PM ET?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	05-13 23:55
Bitcoin above 79,800 on May 5, 4PM ET?	1	$85	85	0	+85	Yes	+$0	05-05 19:48
Bitcoin above 81,800 on May 7, 12PM ET?	1	$69	70	0	+70	No	+$1	05-07 14:49
Bitcoin above 80,800 on May 10, 9PM ET?	1	$69	70	0	+70	Yes	+$1	05-10 23:53
Bitcoin above 83,000 on May 6, 5PM ET?	1	$69	70	0	+70	No	+$1	05-06 19:50
Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 13, 5PM ET?	1	$69	70	0	+70	No	+$1	05-13 20:08
Ethereum above 2,255 on May 11, 8AM ET?	1	$69	70	0	+70	Yes	+$1	05-11 10:47
Bitcoin above 78,600 on May 7, 12PM ET?	1	$69	70	0	+70	Yes	+$1	05-07 14:49
Bitcoin above 82,200 on May 11, 1AM ET?	4	$28	29	0	+29	No	+$1	05-11 03:48
Bitcoin above 79,600 on May 13, 8PM ET?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-13 23:54
Bitcoin above 78,000 on May 13, 6PM ET?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-13 21:11
Bitcoin above 79,800 on May 6, 5PM ET?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	05-06 19:50
Bitcoin above 80,400 on May 10, 9PM ET?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	05-10 23:46
Bitcoin above 84,000 on May 10, 9PM ET?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-10 23:47
Bitcoin above 84,400 on May 10, 9PM ET?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-10 23:47
Bitcoin above 83,400 on May 6, 5PM ET?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-06 19:50
Will Hans Niemann win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Poland?	2	$10	0	80	-80	Yes	+$10	05-09 13:48
Bitcoin above 82,400 on May 8, 11PM ET?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-09 15:49
Bitcoin above 81,000 on May 13, 7PM ET?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-13 21:57
Bitcoin above 81,000 on May 9, 5AM ET?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-10 05:11
Bitcoin above 83,200 on May 5, 5PM ET?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-05 19:53
Bitcoin above 78,200 on May 9, 7AM ET?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-09 15:30
Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 11, 6AM ET?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-11 09:59
Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 13, 6PM ET?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-13 21:34
Bitcoin above 80,800 on May 13, 5PM ET?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-13 20:08
Will Trump say "Football" 8+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	1	$0	0	100	-100	Yes	+$0	05-11 22:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 23:55:04	Bitcoin above 77,200 on May 13, 8PM ET?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8df9fc…
05-13 23:54:34	Bitcoin above 79,600 on May 13, 8PM ET?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x82fb53…
05-13 21:57:50	Bitcoin above 81,000 on May 13, 7PM ET?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb0c395…
05-13 21:34:04	Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 13, 6PM ET?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a137d…
05-13 21:11:52	Bitcoin above 78,000 on May 13, 6PM ET?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x73d3e5…
05-13 20:08:51	Bitcoin above 80,800 on May 13, 5PM ET?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf9de9e…
05-13 20:08:17	Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 13, 5PM ET?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x64c204…
05-11 22:14:17	Will Trump say "Football" 8+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xebdf03…
05-11 10:47:32	Ethereum above 2,255 on May 11, 8AM ET?	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x5ced99…
05-11 09:59:19	Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 11, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc159cb…
05-11 09:45:17	Bitcoin above 78,800 on May 11, 6AM ET?	Yes	BUY	277	100¢	$277	0xe85b2b…
05-11 03:48:57	Bitcoin above 82,200 on May 11, 1AM ET?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x936947…
05-11 03:48:54	Bitcoin above 82,200 on May 11, 1AM ET?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7d0844…
05-11 03:48:50	Bitcoin above 82,200 on May 11, 1AM ET?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5a662b…
05-11 03:48:47	Bitcoin above 82,200 on May 11, 1AM ET?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x106ffb…
05-10 23:53:02	Bitcoin above 80,800 on May 10, 9PM ET?	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x30a71d…
05-10 23:47:59	Bitcoin above 84,000 on May 10, 9PM ET?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x21d439…
05-10 23:47:12	Bitcoin above 84,400 on May 10, 9PM ET?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3f4afe…
05-10 23:46:23	Bitcoin above 80,400 on May 10, 9PM ET?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfc53fd…
05-10 05:11:46	Bitcoin above 81,000 on May 9, 5AM ET?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x68eafe…
05-09 15:49:03	Bitcoin above 82,400 on May 8, 11PM ET?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7555a0…
05-09 15:37:11	Bitcoin above 78,400 on May 8, 5PM ET?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x10d2b9…
05-09 15:30:58	Bitcoin above 78,200 on May 9, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xab43b3…
05-09 13:48:02	Will Hans Niemann win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Poland?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xdd4426…
05-08 22:06:34	Will Hans Niemann win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Poland?	No	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0xcb5388…
05-07 14:49:44	Bitcoin above 78,600 on May 7, 12PM ET?	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xcef72e…
05-07 14:49:37	Bitcoin above 81,800 on May 7, 12PM ET?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xc202a5…
05-06 19:50:32	Bitcoin above 79,800 on May 6, 5PM ET?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x8087f2…
05-06 19:50:11	Bitcoin above 83,000 on May 6, 5PM ET?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x6ab9f2…
05-06 19:50:08	Bitcoin above 83,400 on May 6, 5PM ET?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x91b16b…
05-05 19:53:02	Bitcoin above 83,200 on May 5, 5PM ET?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b4bd5…
05-05 19:48:16	Bitcoin above 79,800 on May 5, 4PM ET?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xa34465…
05-05 14:54:52	Bitcoin above 79,800 on May 5, 11AM ET?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb46969…
05-04 22:59:58	Bitcoin above 79,800 on May 4, 7PM ET?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbd900b…