Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$272

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

1,083

Trades

2,041

lifetime

Volume

$22.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$681

9 positions

First seen

2026-07-05

last 10-27 09:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 45% -$275

Other

27% 73% +$12

Sports

11% 70% -$9

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 763 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+228	$185	78¢	$177	-$8	07-14 05:19
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+153	$96	62¢	$94	-$2	07-07 04:49
2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	+75	$75	100¢	$75	+$0	07-14 02:02
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	+75	$74	99¢	$74	+$1	07-14 02:02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+75	$64	92¢	$69	+$6	07-14 02:02
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+153	$58	38¢	$59	+$1	07-07 04:49
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	+75	$45	74¢	$55	+$10	07-14 02:02
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+228	$41	22¢	$51	+$10	07-14 05:19
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+75	$42	34¢	$26	-$16	07-14 02:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$407	526	0	+526	No	+$119	07-19 20:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	21	$382	386	0	+386	No	+$4	07-15 16:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	21	$378	386	0	+386	No	+$8	07-15 16:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	21	$371	386	0	+386	No	+$15	07-15 16:00
Will England win the World Cup?	14	$301	185	151	+34	No	-$4	07-14 09:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	23	$255	403	20	+383	Yes	-$247	09-11 12:32
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?	9	$236	234	5	+229	No	+$3	07-11 10:29
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	10	$198	126	91	+35	No	-$1	07-14 09:36
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	8	$191	237	12	+225	No	+$53	07-10 21:56
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	2	$185	228	0	+228	open	—	07-14 05:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 06:00 UTC	2	$174	300	0	+300	Up	-$24	08-09 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC	2	$168	300	0	+300	Up	-$18	08-08 14:02
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	6	$166	225	0	+225	Yes	-$166	07-10 21:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	22	$159	386	0	+386	No	+$227	09-11 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 12:15 UTC	3	$154	300	0	+300	Up	-$4	08-08 12:16
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$151	159	0	+159	No	+$8	07-07 18:32
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	5	$150	113	38	+75	No	+$0	07-19 08:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 14:45 UTC	2	$150	300	0	+300	Up	+$0	08-08 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 20:35 UTC	2	$150	161	0	+161	Down	+$0	08-08 20:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 18:15 UTC	3	$149	160	0	+160	Down	+$1	08-08 18:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 23:15 UTC	1	$147	150	0	+150	Up	+$3	08-08 23:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 17:30 UTC	2	$147	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	08-08 17:33
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	9	$145	234	5	+229	Yes	-$139	07-11 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 22:00 UTC	1	$144	150	0	+150	Up	+$6	08-08 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 11:15 UTC	1	$137	140	0	+140	Down	+$3	08-08 11:18
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	8	$135	95	61	+34	Yes	-$30	07-14 09:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 11:50 UTC	4	$134	224	0	+224	Up	+$16	08-08 11:52
Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?	3	$133	135	0	+135	No	+$2	07-11 09:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:15 UTC	1	$129	132	0	+132	Up	+$3	08-08 23:18
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$125	528	0	+528	Yes	-$125	07-19 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:02:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xedf0cc…
10-27 09:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x44ae5f…
10-27 08:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xca58ef…
10-27 08:42:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf5591c…
10-27 07:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7dc8f9…
10-27 06:28:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x6777c5…
10-27 05:17:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xb6ae8e…
10-27 02:13:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xdc7996…
10-26 23:01:57	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x92dae9…
10-26 22:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbff9bc…
10-26 20:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xca1815…
10-26 20:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4237a0…
10-26 19:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xec3ef3…
10-26 18:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xc95c2e…
10-26 18:13:47	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -2°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xaf2c5b…
10-26 18:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x33286f…
10-26 13:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x39808f…
10-26 12:00:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xcd4535…
10-26 11:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2a5a98…
10-26 10:18:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe6bd36…
10-26 08:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xcb9a15…
10-26 08:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x889133…
10-26 07:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x71fa8c…
10-26 07:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0xc77365…
10-26 07:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x438b81…
10-26 06:25:02	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0a21f2…
10-26 06:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa516d8…
10-26 06:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4feac4…
10-26 05:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd32d13…
10-26 05:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb0f246…
10-26 05:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x288b55…
10-26 04:04:54	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x23019f…
10-26 01:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xb84d50…
10-26 01:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb2f7fd…
10-26 00:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc31377…
10-25 21:37:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xab91fa…
10-25 19:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3d0911…
10-25 18:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1e45f1…
10-25 18:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x75aa92…
10-25 18:15:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x12e9e7…
10-25 17:02:59	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x6f9caa…
10-25 16:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xb6fed8…
10-25 15:57:35	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x90c8c5…
10-25 13:27:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xcb42e0…
10-25 11:07:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x97a5b8…
10-25 08:51:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x5c8b9a…
10-25 07:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdd2484…
10-25 06:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xe6e6a5…
10-25 03:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xa4af14…
10-25 02:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x43cee7…
10-25 01:26:02	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x6b4e00…
10-24 23:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc93911…
10-24 20:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x005e65…
10-24 18:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C or below on October 25?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7c6e4d…
10-24 17:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3da90a…
10-24 15:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x4847d3…
10-24 12:40:12	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x33072f…
10-24 10:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xadca1a…
10-24 09:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3423a7…
10-24 08:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x73b5d5…
10-24 08:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1835e1…
10-24 08:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb6a19b…
10-24 07:52:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3ff64f…
10-24 07:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd32ab8…
10-24 07:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8413a3…
10-24 07:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xed2627…
10-24 06:16:24	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x707f62…
10-24 04:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc39eff…
10-24 04:20:12	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x63cb8d…
10-24 02:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8e8747…
10-24 01:41:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x8e58ff…
10-24 01:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x539302…
10-24 01:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x4a1279…
10-24 00:08:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4bd022…
10-23 23:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1d48e6…
10-23 23:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x8798da…
10-23 20:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x0eb9f6…
10-23 19:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9fd997…
10-23 18:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x456d09…
10-23 18:12:48	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x51be3d…
10-23 15:49:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf674b3…
10-23 14:25:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2eb1fa…
10-23 11:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xf21e5b…
10-23 08:37:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xa9fda6…
10-23 07:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x00fe52…
10-23 06:32:53	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xdac4ba…
10-23 03:56:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xfe8994…
10-23 01:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x018035…
10-22 23:30:42	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x38e289…
10-22 21:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe55f61…
10-22 20:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc324f6…
10-22 18:52:57	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x753a9e…
10-22 16:00:14	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xb5af2a…
10-22 15:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x09cef7…
10-22 15:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0fbd1c…
10-22 14:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x38a63a…
10-22 11:31:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x35c853…
10-22 09:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x43bd67…
10-22 08:36:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x7a61f9…
10-22 07:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 23?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6c664f…