(anonymous) 0x79cb48…40cf01 Create alert
bot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
51.0%
Resolved (7d)
660
Trades (7d)
969
3,710 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.34K
$30.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-05
last 11-15 19:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Crypto
54% 47% -$299
Other
32% 81% -$20
Sports
8% 70% -$9
Politics
5% 56% -$12
Tech
1% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 304 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +220 $127 89¢ $196 +$69 11-05 08:15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +152 $89 92¢ $139 +$50 11-05 04:54
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +200 $149 63¢ $126 -$23 11-05 08:20
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +200 $134 62¢ $125 -$9 11-04 03:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $70 91¢ $91 +$21 11-03 23:56
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +120 $98 74¢ $88 -$9 11-13 14:17
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +200 $67 38¢ $75 +$8 11-04 03:23
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +200 $54 37¢ $74 +$20 11-05 08:20
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +79 $24 90¢ $71 +$47 10-30 00:59
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No +77 $34 83¢ $64 +$30 11-04 20:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +100 $83 55¢ $55 -$28 11-05 03:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +100 $18 45¢ $45 +$27 11-05 03:03
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31? Yes +64 $50 68¢ $43 -$7 11-09 00:05
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? Yes +60 $47 68¢ $41 -$6 11-05 08:58
Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? Yes +40 $21 85¢ $34 +$13 10-30 03:30
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026? Yes +59 $21 56¢ $33 +$12 10-30 01:37
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +120 $27 26¢ $32 +$5 11-04 21:39
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026? No +40 $30 72¢ $29 -$1 10-30 00:52
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026? No +60 $39 44¢ $26 -$13 10-30 01:37
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +220 $94 11¢ $23 -$70 11-05 08:15
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? No +60 $28 32¢ $19 -$9 11-05 08:58
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? Yes +17 $14 97¢ $17 +$3 10-30 02:52
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +20 $8 68¢ $14 +$5 10-29 15:23
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +77 $43 17¢ $13 -$30 11-04 20:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +152 $66 8¢ $13 -$53 11-05 04:54
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +11 $7 99¢ $11 +$4 11-04 15:33
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026? Yes +40 $17 28¢ $11 -$6 10-30 00:52
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m? No +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$1 10-29 09:03
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? No +10 $4 86¢ $9 +$5 10-30 02:10
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +100 $30 9¢ $9 -$21 11-03 23:56