Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$619

Unrealized P&L

-$97

Hit rate

28.3%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$2.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$188

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-12

last 11-05 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 16% -$42

Other

30% 0% -$476

Politics

4% 0% -$101

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+5,717	$224	2¢	$129	-$96	10-30 00:24
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	Yes		+207	$60	29¢	$59	-$1	11-05 17:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$280	2,437	0	+2,437	No	-$280	09-15 19:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	8	$241	5,928	211	+5,717	open	—	10-30 00:24
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	2	$231	251	251	+0	Yes	+$176	09-21 08:48
Base FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$210	321	321	+0	open	—	09-15 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	4	$189	333	333	+0	Up	+$89	10-26 23:54
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	7	$101	6,336	0	+6,336	Yes	-$101	10-24 13:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$100	1,010	0	+1,010	No	-$100	10-26 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	3	$100	468	0	+468	Down	-$100	10-26 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	3	$98	94	94	+0	Down	+$38	10-27 17:33
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	4	$85	640	640	+0	No	-$75	10-30 00:23
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	3	$81	314	314	+0	No	-$69	10-30 00:23
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	3	$78	917	917	+0	No	-$72	10-30 00:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 20?	2	$72	1,246	1,246	+0	No	-$28	10-18 20:50
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$67	529	529	+0	open	—	10-16 19:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	4	$66	1,368	0	+1,368	No	-$66	10-19 13:42
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	2	$60	207	0	+207	open	—	11-05 17:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	2	$60	566	0	+566	No	-$60	10-18 20:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	1	$50	455	0	+455	Yes	+$405	10-20 19:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	4	$43	1,710	1,710	+0	No	-$39	10-18 13:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$42	5,875	0	+5,875	No	-$42	09-15 18:01
will bitcoin dip to 82k september 21 27 2026	2	$40	583	0	+583	No	-$40	09-26 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$36	339	0	+339	Down	-$36	10-28 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	2	$36	61	30	+31	Up	-$4	10-27 19:19
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	7	$35	494	494	+0	No	-$24	10-24 18:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$35	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$35	09-14 20:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 21?	2	$30	1,538	1,538	+0	No	-$10	10-20 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$25	312	0	+312	Down	-$25	10-26 23:09
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	3	$17	489	489	+0	No	-$13	10-24 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	3	$15	144	0	+144	Down	-$15	10-28 12:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	3	$12	400	0	+400	No	-$12	10-22 13:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:11:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xd57811…
11-05 17:11:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x1acf22…
10-30 00:24:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	658	4¢	$25	0x8e53cb…
10-30 00:23:37	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	917	0¢	$3	0xb81a6e…
10-30 00:23:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	314	2¢	$6	0x004075…
10-30 00:23:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	SELL	640	1¢	$5	0x351ba9…
10-28 15:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0x672067…
10-28 13:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x1fe49b…
10-28 13:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	76	20¢	$15	0x1b131e…
10-28 13:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x7a3222…
10-28 12:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xd2cf77…
10-28 12:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x4960f7…
10-28 12:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa5a56f…
10-28 08:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x23081b…
10-27 19:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x4f5dd4…
10-27 19:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x082d7a…
10-27 17:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xea4834…
10-27 17:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	47	74¢	$35	0x84bbab…
10-27 17:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	47	72¢	$34	0x7b56a5…
10-27 17:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x924201…
10-27 17:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x812734…
10-27 00:06:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x8f73c2…
10-27 00:05:00	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xb6bcff…
10-26 23:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	85	97¢	$82	0x32dcf7…
10-26 23:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	82	33¢	$27	0xd33fbd…
10-26 23:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	167	18¢	$30	0x8c2584…
10-26 23:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0xc74945…
10-26 23:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x0a2699…
10-26 22:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	278	9¢	$25	0xcb6ae7…
10-26 22:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x61cc59…
10-26 22:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x96f2da…
10-26 22:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xfe1f5a…
10-26 21:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa5e501…
10-26 21:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0xfad537…
10-26 21:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb6eb20…
10-26 18:32:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xf368c3…
10-26 13:38:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x517c6b…
10-26 12:12:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd89b7e…
10-26 12:12:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xd7cc54…
10-25 15:13:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	BUY	320	16¢	$50	0x2ce3ef…
10-25 15:11:09	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x6e3761…
10-25 15:11:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	175	29¢	$50	0x22a27f…
10-25 14:52:57	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	513	1¢	$5	0x2af097…
10-25 14:49:59	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x3a600b…
10-24 18:26:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	489	0¢	$2	0x9054a4…
10-24 18:26:23	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	494	1¢	$5	0x199d25…
10-24 13:17:57	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x738353…
10-23 16:08:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	562	2¢	$10	0xf8e904…
10-23 16:07:30	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	744	1¢	$5	0xce1055…
10-23 11:01:51	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,059	2¢	$50	0x963a84…
10-23 10:59:27	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,263	2¢	$20	0x460bf9…
10-23 10:43:59	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	324	3¢	$10	0x8d99cb…
10-23 10:41:36	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0x651f02…
10-23 10:41:20	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xe516da…
10-23 10:38:53	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	173	3¢	$5	0xa3656a…
10-23 10:29:00	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x873886…
10-23 10:27:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	289	2¢	$5	0xbefa87…
10-23 10:25:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xd4358e…
10-23 07:50:03	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0xf3b18d…
10-23 07:49:48	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	572	1¢	$5	0x1ef826…
10-23 07:48:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	292	3¢	$10	0x18749f…
10-22 20:55:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x57de13…
10-22 15:25:24	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x2c6145…
10-22 13:33:41	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x247e2a…
10-22 13:23:23	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x195bf5…
10-22 13:20:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	162	2¢	$2	0x93a0ba…
10-22 13:15:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xc350ef…
10-22 08:24:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0x29c648…
10-22 08:19:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xe41577…
10-22 08:17:53	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xd253c8…
10-22 08:14:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0xe1df71…
10-22 08:12:26	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5a3c88…
10-20 19:24:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	1,538	1¢	$10	0x1f5c00…
10-20 19:16:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1,538	1¢	$20	0x8f9b2e…
10-20 19:14:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x071465…
10-20 18:56:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x87d5c7…
10-20 18:56:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x7bb3d9…
10-19 13:42:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	305	2¢	$5	0x7b4fd3…
10-18 20:52:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xd0e167…
10-18 20:51:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	146	4¢	$6	0xf43dbc…
10-18 20:50:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	1,246	2¢	$22	0x268f17…
10-18 14:02:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xa33a39…
10-18 14:00:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1,246	4¢	$50	0xfe58a5…
10-18 13:54:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x1024ae…
10-18 13:54:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	Yes	SELL	1,710	0¢	$2	0x8365c8…
10-17 13:51:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	723	1¢	$6	0x389094…
10-17 13:50:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	833	6¢	$50	0x091681…
10-16 19:23:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	204	4¢	$8	0xa3b6d6…
10-16 19:23:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	211	4¢	$8	0x298ecb…
10-16 19:22:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	783	3¢	$27	0x0f7123…
10-16 19:19:22	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	529	6¢	$30	0x56c8d8…
09-26 10:24:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	183	4¢	$7	0xc45d7f…
09-26 10:24:14	will bitcoin dip to 82k september 21 27 2026	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x94c418…
09-26 09:32:00	will bitcoin dip to 82k september 21 27 2026	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xc2efe0…
09-21 20:14:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,045	4¢	$46	0x80d2b6…
09-21 20:13:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,136	4¢	$50	0xcf01a5…
09-21 08:49:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,429	3¢	$50	0x5ef76c…
09-21 08:48:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	251	81¢	$203	0x00e63c…
09-17 20:02:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	251	11¢	$28	0xb941b6…
09-15 19:46:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xed9783…