Awkward-Bachelor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.16K

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

32.8%

Resolved

Trades

266

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

1 position

First seen

2026-06-01

last 10-24 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

61% 0% -$1,202

Crypto

38% 65% +$28

Politics

1% 50% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes		+213	$27	18¢	$38	+$11	10-24 14:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	10	$1.2K	5,573	5,573	+0	No	-$1,200	09-29 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	6	$46	42	24	+18	Down	+$2	10-16 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	5	$34	32	32	+0	Down	+$4	10-13 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	5	$31	30	19	+11	Up	+$1	10-13 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	4	$27	18	17	+1	Down	+$5	10-08 16:14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	2	$27	213	0	+213	open	—	10-24 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$27	17	17	+0	Down	+$7	10-09 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	6	$25	20	20	+0	Down	+$3	10-08 15:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:50 UTC	5	$24	23	23	+0	Down	+$0	10-13 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:35 UTC	4	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	10-13 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$23	21	14	+7	Up	+$3	10-09 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:20 UTC	4	$22	23	23	+0	Up	+$2	10-13 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$21	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	10-16 08:34
will iran target an arab country by october 22 2026 20261015	2	$21	25	25	+0	Yes	+$11	10-18 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-08 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:45 UTC	4	$19	22	22	+0	Up	-$1	10-13 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	6	$18	113	13	+100	Down	-$2	10-09 06:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	5	$17	21	5	+16	Down	-$1	10-16 09:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:10 UTC	3	$15	38	0	+38	Down	+$4	10-13 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	10-09 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$14	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	10-09 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$14	14	7	+7	Down	+$0	10-16 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$14	18	6	+12	Down	+$2	10-08 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$13	15	9	+6	Down	+$1	10-08 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	6	$13	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	10-08 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$13	14	6	+8	Down	-$1	10-16 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$11	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	10-09 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$11	14	0	+14	Down	-$1	10-08 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:05 UTC	3	$11	12	6	+6	Up	+$1	10-13 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$9	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	10-09 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 14:00:47	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x075a51…
10-22 23:10:21	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	142	12¢	$17	0x0b0bf3…
10-18 01:41:51	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x81b53d…
10-16 09:23:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcddc84…
10-16 09:18:36	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xf9a77c…
10-16 09:12:03	will iran target an arab country by october 22 2026 20261015	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x74e064…
10-16 09:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf9c517…
10-16 09:02:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x60f2f1…
10-16 09:02:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x64624a…
10-16 09:02:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x32e1ab…
10-16 09:00:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1301da…
10-16 09:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x77416c…
10-16 08:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x80b98b…
10-16 08:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4d510c…
10-16 08:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xdf5ff5…
10-16 08:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa67443…
10-16 08:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9bbebb…
10-16 08:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4158e7…
10-16 08:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x3ad865…
10-16 08:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x5ff107…
10-16 08:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe124f8…
10-16 08:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x419aec…
10-16 08:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x03779e…
10-16 08:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xec060a…
10-16 08:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x696042…
10-16 08:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x5425d3…
10-16 08:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x1ce1dd…
10-16 08:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xad8423…
10-16 08:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xec78db…
10-16 08:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x559e2e…
10-13 13:53:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:50 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfde71e…
10-13 13:51:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0x12c4b4…
10-13 13:51:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7457c5…
10-13 13:50:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x7cf652…
10-13 13:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xdd13e5…
10-13 13:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x67a3b6…
10-13 13:47:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xaa9d03…
10-13 13:45:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf3f541…
10-13 13:45:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9a4b0b…
10-13 13:40:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6e8ca0…
10-13 13:37:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xa880c5…
10-13 13:37:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x5c3b1d…
10-13 13:35:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xcf627a…
10-13 13:35:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa97f94…
10-13 13:33:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x600989…
10-13 13:33:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	16	46¢	$8	0x06e3e5…
10-13 13:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5adbcc…
10-13 13:31:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7086e9…
10-13 13:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x5dada6…
10-13 13:29:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xe29756…
10-13 13:26:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x10b956…
10-13 13:25:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Up	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0xb5db8e…
10-13 13:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0c9190…
10-13 13:25:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd83679…
10-13 13:23:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:20 UTC	Down	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x639692…
10-13 13:23:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:20 UTC	Up	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x95ce4d…
10-13 13:21:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5ef2db…
10-13 13:20:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf6813a…
10-13 13:17:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5201bf…
10-13 13:16:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x859abe…
10-13 13:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdf67aa…
10-13 13:11:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2a0cea…
10-13 13:10:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xeaad04…
10-13 13:10:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0cb5d2…
10-13 13:09:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x272b80…
10-13 13:07:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd79df8…
10-13 13:07:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x501ee8…
10-10 07:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xbf368b…
10-10 07:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1fabb6…
10-10 07:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x635b95…
10-10 07:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8adad1…
10-10 07:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd9dcb0…
10-10 07:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x10cd5f…
10-10 07:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6ece08…
10-10 07:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xea333f…
10-10 07:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xeb1d3e…
10-10 07:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x210be2…
10-10 07:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa6c5bb…
10-10 07:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe38e04…
10-10 07:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x430ec1…
10-10 07:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf8ecb0…
10-10 07:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb45a2b…
10-10 07:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x56c2e5…
10-10 07:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x58b7eb…
10-09 13:58:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa3f6b0…
10-09 13:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3463b4…
10-09 13:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x400785…
10-09 13:46:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4ecd41…
10-09 12:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xa5dd66…
10-09 12:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x8c9440…
10-09 12:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x395156…
10-09 12:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc9bd3d…
10-09 07:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x032ffa…
10-09 07:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x4b7406…
10-09 07:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa5fe71…
10-09 07:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe03769…
10-09 07:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x7ba464…
10-09 07:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xa8786f…
10-09 06:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x5e20e9…
10-09 06:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xa81b08…