Clumsy-Native — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$660

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

20.0%

Resolved

253

Trades

541

lifetime

Volume

$21.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$186

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 11-03 11:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

59% 40% -$246

Politics

28% 50% -$440

Crypto

9% 31% +$11

Sports

3% 35% +$16

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+87	$81	96¢	$83	+$3	09-15 17:59
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+50	$45	96¢	$48	+$3	06-15 12:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+100	$26	26¢	$26	$0	11-03 11:27
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+62	$31	30¢	$19	-$12	11-01 18:37
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$15	11¢	$5	-$10	10-21 06:07
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$4	5¢	$3	-$1	10-10 16:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+50	$3	4¢	$2	-$1	07-02 02:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	2	$3.9K	4,899	4,899	+0	No	-$49	05-19 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$3.4K	2,372	2,372	+0	No	-$119	05-24 22:09
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	2	$2.7K	1,973	1,973	+0	Tundra Esports	-$62	05-20 12:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$2.3K	1,576	1,576	+0	No	-$326	05-25 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	22	$567	438	438	+0	No	-$29	10-27 06:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	18	$523	389	389	+0	Yes	-$75	10-27 05:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	23	$433	644	445	+199	Yes	+$35	10-30 23:59
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	15	$300	362	300	+62	open	—	11-01 18:37
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	11	$284	280	280	+0	No	+$2	09-29 02:51
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	7	$213	131	98	+33	No	+$6	10-23 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11?	5	$201	138	138	+0	Yes	-$69	06-11 19:55
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	12	$198	350	200	+150	Yes	+$98	10-27 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 11?	3	$194	146	68	+78	Yes	-$16	06-11 13:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	13	$193	164	164	+0	No	-$36	10-23 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9?	5	$187	118	118	+0	Yes	-$39	06-09 08:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	14	$171	357	356	+1	No	-$16	10-28 18:48
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$147	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	10-23 18:43
will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	14	$147	380	380	+0	No	-$17	09-26 22:08
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 4?	2	$141	81	81	+0	Yes	-$19	06-04 14:49
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	7	$121	150	149	+1	No	$0	10-26 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?	3	$116	71	71	+0	No	-$22	06-04 09:22
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	4	$114	150	50	+100	No	-$32	10-27 14:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	6	$107	132	32	+100	Yes	+$32	10-17 03:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	6	$104	152	102	+50	Yes	-$9	10-13 02:01
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	3	$100	100	50	+50	open	—	10-10 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 31?	1	$96	100	0	+100	Yes	+$4	07-31 06:03
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	2	$95	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	06-23 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?	1	$94	100	0	+100	Yes	+$6	08-06 06:37
will bitcoin dip to 80k in october 2026	3	$91	65	50	+15	Yes	+$3	10-15 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 13?	1	$90	100	0	+100	Yes	+$10	08-13 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 11:27:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x24dd08…
11-03 10:59:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x444c04…
11-01 18:37:42	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xf0dc59…
11-01 17:32:07	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x968147…
10-31 05:49:36	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0xa0d344…
10-30 23:59:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	133	1¢	$2	0x9c0f63…
10-30 23:32:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0xf53a25…
10-30 22:22:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xad966c…
10-30 22:01:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	33	87¢	$29	0xe5f1df…
10-30 21:40:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0x405afb…
10-30 21:24:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	62	41¢	$25	0x81a8f6…
10-30 19:55:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x14d652…
10-30 15:12:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1812c5…
10-30 12:29:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0xf1e234…
10-30 07:43:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0xf1d727…
10-30 05:36:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x0f9b5d…
10-30 05:20:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x57da93…
10-30 05:16:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x42b2f2…
10-28 18:48:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x870b35…
10-28 18:44:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf60b1e…
10-27 14:57:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xdc2fca…
10-27 14:49:36	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x00d94f…
10-27 06:53:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x2fab00…
10-27 05:59:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x4e1a5f…
10-27 05:23:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x7bd53f…
10-26 23:21:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x8795a5…
10-26 22:58:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0xf8d542…
10-26 22:57:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x2d34f3…
10-26 13:31:59	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0xb48d5e…
10-26 10:33:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xffc0e7…
10-26 10:32:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xd1aa69…
10-25 20:42:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x24f419…
10-25 20:40:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x1963fd…
10-25 16:24:23	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x878bf1…
10-25 13:38:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x3048f2…
10-25 13:25:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xbf4fcf…
10-25 10:53:48	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xa9db59…
10-25 03:22:17	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0xba70d1…
10-25 03:04:11	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0xb95cd5…
10-24 22:57:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0x62bc59…
10-24 22:55:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x4c6b36…
10-24 18:50:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xc36f48…
10-24 18:37:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xc29f2c…
10-24 18:17:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x7d8ba3…
10-24 18:15:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x4f5d41…
10-24 15:22:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x2dfcc4…
10-24 10:16:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xb7d641…
10-24 05:33:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x2b9311…
10-24 01:23:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x9c87d3…
10-23 23:05:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	38	15¢	$6	0x493d0c…
10-23 22:58:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x50b1d2…
10-23 19:23:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xa9b42d…
10-23 18:43:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x4ca654…
10-23 18:41:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x395089…
10-23 14:22:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xc46481…
10-23 12:36:05	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x92fa04…
10-23 12:30:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xc06d37…
10-23 11:34:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x6a9c20…
10-23 05:47:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	44	16¢	$7	0x538ad6…
10-23 04:32:32	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0x2e77b5…
10-23 03:37:11	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xd6c9c7…
10-23 03:01:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x109fdb…
10-23 02:55:24	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xa4b337…
10-23 02:31:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xd0a92e…
10-22 22:50:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x69129c…
10-22 14:07:12	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xcbd436…
10-22 09:42:35	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x5e8f0c…
10-22 09:42:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x2ab8b2…
10-22 06:30:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x3bc9db…
10-22 03:46:15	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0xbd2f6f…
10-21 22:05:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x378e3b…
10-21 22:02:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x76a79a…
10-21 21:11:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x0a063f…
10-21 19:29:57	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x2f84e4…
10-21 19:08:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x168768…
10-21 16:33:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xb427e6…
10-21 16:21:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xa6104d…
10-21 15:26:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xfff56a…
10-21 14:07:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x041032…
10-21 11:52:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x3570f4…
10-21 10:18:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x81020f…
10-21 10:01:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0xb16c81…
10-21 09:38:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xaa9ce0…
10-21 09:25:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xa51290…
10-21 09:17:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x8566f2…
10-21 08:45:00	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0x34da05…
10-21 07:37:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xea7e8d…
10-21 06:07:33	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0xa3b079…
10-20 18:44:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$9	0xb9b554…
10-20 14:27:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0xec1254…
10-20 13:37:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x1fc9ec…
10-20 11:12:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x82b642…
10-20 10:12:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x84c08e…
10-20 01:46:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xff1ae0…
10-20 00:00:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0bf2f0…
10-19 14:02:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	44	17¢	$7	0x7626a0…
10-19 06:13:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x30664a…
10-18 10:41:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x96ee85…
10-17 23:57:09	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xfc6ea0…
10-17 18:01:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x845f93…