Dull-Tie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.2%

Resolved

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 07-16 22:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

38% 17% -$2

Sports

32% 26% -$17

Politics

23% 12% $0

Crypto

7% 57% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	4	$800	401	401	+0	No	$0	04-12 06:01
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$722	361	361	+0	No	$0	04-05 14:06
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$688	345	345	+0	No	$0	04-07 08:32
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$456	229	229	+0	No	+$0	02-28 07:15
will nicolai hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$420	212	212	+0	No	$0	04-07 16:05
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$416	208	208	+0	No	$0	02-27 21:26
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$404	202	202	+0	No	$0	03-17 07:05
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$384	192	192	+0	No	$0	04-11 19:00
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$382	191	191	+0	No	$0	03-15 10:23
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$376	189	189	+0	No	$0	03-03 01:01
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$370	186	186	+0	No	$0	04-12 22:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$368	185	185	+0	No	$0	04-14 21:17
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$366	183	183	+0	No	$0	03-14 03:00
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$366	183	183	+0	No	$0	03-02 06:03
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$360	180	180	+0	No	$0	04-06 22:07
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$354	177	177	+0	No	$0	03-01 16:44
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$349	175	175	+0	No	+$0	03-01 23:21
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$326	164	164	+0	No	$0	04-02 03:18
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$324	163	163	+0	No	$0	03-12 12:09
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$324	163	163	+0	open	—	05-29 21:24
Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$322	161	161	+0	No	$0	02-25 12:41
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$314	157	157	+0	No	$0	04-14 18:10
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$312	156	156	+0	No	$0	03-20 18:31
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$306	153	153	+0	No	$0	02-22 03:48
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$304	152	152	+0	No	$0	03-28 10:41
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$292	146	146	+0	No	$0	04-18 05:41
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$170	86	86	+0	open	—	05-25 13:31
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$164	82	82	+0	No	$0	05-20 05:43
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?	2	$162	81	81	+0	No	$0	05-21 19:35
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$160	80	80	+0	No	$0	05-21 13:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 22:13:34	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdda51a…
07-16 19:27:56	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc6556…
07-16 16:19:59	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc6609e…
07-16 00:16:13	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x2997f4…
07-16 00:15:38	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x606221…
07-15 21:35:35	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07fc9c…
07-15 10:51:13	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xfb5c6b…
07-15 05:24:43	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x29882e…
07-15 05:24:16	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xb992e7…
07-15 01:55:23	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x93ee07…
07-14 23:16:25	Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x273b3b…
07-14 09:33:08	Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d882a…
07-14 07:29:34	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa26e3c…
07-14 03:26:26	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0f5d1d…
07-14 01:09:28	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd31765…
07-13 18:37:29	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x766424…
07-13 06:31:55	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x2914e5…
07-13 01:47:04	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x61e4ee…
07-12 18:21:40	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x76fc89…
07-12 10:56:41	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe38ccb…
07-12 10:56:19	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb1f7df…
07-12 07:10:05	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x34f295…
07-12 05:15:47	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7f77a0…
07-11 22:46:56	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x53f4a0…
07-11 16:17:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x17adbe…
07-11 14:38:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42a2ca…
07-10 13:46:40	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x60d543…
07-10 08:55:14	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc818fc…
07-09 17:33:26	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xf339a8…
07-09 15:05:59	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2753a7…
07-08 19:17:46	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xb12c88…
07-08 16:44:08	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x2b3f26…
07-07 22:32:16	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf0a578…
07-06 22:06:58	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1f1907…
07-06 22:06:28	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x72543d…
07-06 17:16:55	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9bda70…
07-06 17:16:29	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x071474…
07-06 12:50:16	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcea708…
07-06 10:24:26	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x2aa697…
07-05 16:21:40	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7590ef…
07-05 12:27:32	Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfc146a…
07-05 01:46:35	Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa484cc…
07-05 01:46:13	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x377097…
07-04 03:28:41	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x49fc75…
07-03 03:37:41	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xab5e92…
07-02 22:48:04	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x794e76…
07-02 22:47:41	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x63fb95…
07-02 21:00:55	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x90727f…
07-02 19:24:59	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xce8aea…
07-02 11:49:59	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa2ba10…
07-02 05:20:20	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xeb178a…
07-02 02:27:29	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1990e8…
07-02 02:27:11	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb2e7ab…
07-01 22:18:35	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf0782c…
07-01 22:18:16	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x9e1921…
07-01 20:17:43	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6e455b…
07-01 20:17:19	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x404baf…
07-01 10:51:50	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x48b4f2…
07-01 10:51:31	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x89cf71…
07-01 07:16:58	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6af6b6…
06-27 15:18:56	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9fbbe2…
06-27 07:44:16	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x754d2e…
06-23 08:15:31	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x77384a…
06-23 08:15:13	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xaf181a…
06-22 01:46:43	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa3daf8…
06-21 07:55:19	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1c5a56…
06-21 04:48:29	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8cb8b4…
06-21 04:48:11	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9eff47…
06-20 23:59:16	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x57305b…
06-20 23:58:58	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xbd154c…
06-19 14:17:26	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x987e74…
06-19 02:47:28	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x32534f…
06-15 04:51:03	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xcd6bb3…
06-11 05:09:49	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfc43c2…
06-09 18:11:15	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x586219…
06-08 02:14:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x1ecc82…
06-07 17:20:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa723a8…
06-07 17:20:06	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xcdf954…
06-07 12:24:40	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x9d251f…
06-07 12:24:22	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdd0898…
06-07 06:48:06	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1aa3b0…
06-02 00:42:12	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf341e6…
06-01 09:53:17	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6e45f6…
05-31 22:05:48	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc14f89…
05-30 18:41:28	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc194eb…
05-29 21:24:38	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0xfa5e4e…
05-28 07:28:53	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x9b67e6…
05-26 22:11:42	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x33c74e…
05-26 18:47:39	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x671b87…
05-26 08:20:40	Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x8e390c…
05-26 05:05:43	Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x4e61c4…
05-25 13:31:55	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x55d18f…
05-24 04:32:34	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xdf4662…
05-24 04:32:15	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0x013202…
05-23 15:42:50	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x432d3d…
05-23 07:43:08	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0x83883d…
05-22 08:14:26	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0x7fe3dd…
05-22 08:14:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xa99065…
05-22 02:37:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x222835…
05-22 02:37:13	Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xc17b9a…