Dearest-Certification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$2.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-10 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

86% 100% +$1

Other

11% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	10	$213	111	172	-61	open	—	05-30 05:17
israel closes its airspace by june 9	7	$180	93	93	+0	open	—	06-10 01:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	7	$159	81	81	+0	open	—	05-14 21:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	4	$148	76	76	+0	open	—	06-01 03:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	14	$131	236	236	+0	open	—	05-30 19:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	12	$129	133	133	+0	No	+$0	05-05 04:17
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	7	$119	61	61	+0	open	—	04-28 01:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	10	$102	246	246	+0	open	—	06-09 20:51
iran closes its airspace by june 15	6	$87	162	162	+0	open	—	06-07 14:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	6	$78	138	138	+0	open	—	05-13 19:51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	5	$72	29	45	-16	open	—	06-02 23:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	05-25 15:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	05-21 19:39
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	2	$67	35	35	+0	open	—	04-30 16:23
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$67	36	36	+0	open	—	04-24 03:48
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	04-26 05:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	05-20 06:01
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	3	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	04-24 23:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	04-23 14:41
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	3	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	04-24 09:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	7	$44	76	76	+0	open	—	05-18 08:07
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	05-06 10:50
israel closes its airspace by june 8	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	06-08 15:02
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	05-30 20:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-13 10:09
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	7	$13	175	175	+0	open	—	05-26 21:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	1	$13	0	99	-99	open	—	05-25 23:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	06-06 11:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$5	71	71	+0	open	—	05-09 06:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	4	$4	31	31	+0	No	+$1	05-01 14:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:30:42	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc46bd4…
06-09 22:31:34	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x8ed956…
06-09 22:31:34	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x2ef797…
06-09 20:51:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	51	5¢	$2	0xaf9e2f…
06-09 20:51:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x6f678a…
06-09 20:51:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x1b6536…
06-09 16:09:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0xc11a49…
06-09 04:22:12	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x919180…
06-08 23:28:06	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xedf279…
06-08 23:11:40	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0x28ca0b…
06-08 22:19:19	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x3e6e3e…
06-08 15:02:01	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xb278aa…
06-08 14:40:18	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xe9c610…
06-08 14:27:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	35	7¢	$2	0xe155d1…
06-08 14:27:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0xa1d4e2…
06-08 14:27:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	46	7¢	$3	0x3ae038…
06-08 10:23:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	110	6¢	$7	0x55ede9…
06-08 04:29:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0x898fbe…
06-08 02:17:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0xc74b98…
06-07 14:09:15	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0xb42391…
06-07 14:09:15	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x38893e…
06-07 10:05:55	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xb1e4e8…
06-07 09:02:24	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	119	7¢	$9	0xe3b9bd…
06-07 09:02:22	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x435efe…
06-07 04:46:58	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	124	8¢	$9	0x57c2fa…
06-06 11:53:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x289965…
06-06 06:13:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2d5d9a…
06-02 23:04:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xe614ee…
06-02 19:05:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0xa498c3…
06-02 16:05:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0xa70845…
06-02 01:47:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x438680…
06-01 22:11:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x19578c…
06-01 03:11:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x9f7d41…
06-01 00:14:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x4a5ed7…
05-31 10:53:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x230173…
05-31 10:45:15	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xda1d64…
05-30 20:52:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x025604…
05-30 19:42:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0xcb5e0c…
05-30 12:49:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0x1ee24a…
05-30 05:17:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0xf136d0…
05-30 04:56:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xea00b1…
05-30 02:13:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	3¢	$2	0x9b0e7c…
05-29 19:03:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x2a612e…
05-29 17:04:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0x3fb41e…
05-29 15:13:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	53	5¢	$2	0xa5c945…
05-29 15:00:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xbba7d9…
05-29 15:00:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0xb0065d…
05-29 15:00:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x85f1c8…
05-29 07:42:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x73932c…
05-29 07:08:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x52cca5…
05-29 04:14:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0xeaabd7…
05-29 04:14:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xd989a5…
05-29 04:14:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xc5102c…
05-29 04:14:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0x4eca6b…
05-29 04:14:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0x4d1b24…
05-29 02:20:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	123	6¢	$7	0xef626a…
05-28 13:32:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	94¢	$35	0xc4f494…
05-28 13:32:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x4bd4d6…
05-28 08:03:42	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xb1d772…
05-28 08:03:42	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x55d428…
05-28 08:03:42	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x4309b2…
05-26 21:48:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xe5d536…
05-26 21:48:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xe932bf…
05-26 21:48:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0x697ae4…
05-26 18:32:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0x86cd7c…
05-26 09:31:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0xc2eb6e…
05-26 09:31:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	76	4¢	$3	0x5f07e9…
05-26 09:18:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x1b1b5b…
05-25 23:20:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0xbf619e…
05-25 23:09:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$1	0xf2abaa…
05-25 23:09:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xab3a2b…
05-25 23:05:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	99	13¢	$13	0x78ac45…
05-25 15:17:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x0a5c34…
05-25 13:30:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x78b202…
05-21 23:39:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0x150142…
05-21 23:20:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xc69d1f…
05-21 23:20:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x062129…
05-21 19:39:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xdcf2ee…
05-21 19:39:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x6fbf02…
05-21 16:44:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xa96407…
05-20 06:01:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x5e84c0…
05-20 05:53:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x15a30b…
05-18 08:07:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0x78a8c7…
05-18 08:07:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x685c67…
05-18 08:06:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xf1879e…
05-18 08:06:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0xb173e4…
05-18 03:32:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0xfb00e6…
05-18 03:32:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x686fc2…
05-18 00:48:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x9184be…
05-14 21:32:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xabdf6f…
05-14 21:32:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6acad2…
05-14 19:16:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x14cae3…
05-14 14:57:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x14dbf8…
05-14 14:46:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x82787f…
05-13 19:51:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	66	5¢	$3	0xcfdc85…
05-13 17:08:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0xa567bb…
05-13 15:24:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x7d6194…
05-13 10:09:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x5efe6c…
05-13 09:47:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x581cc8…
05-13 09:40:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x863c72…