Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$386

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

201

Trades

445

lifetime

Volume

$5.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-07

last 10-21 18:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 64% -$287

Other

9% 23% -$49

Politics

2% 6% -$28

Sports

1% 33% -$8

Tech

0% 17% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
turkey military action against yemen by december 31 2026	Yes		+20	$3	9¢	$2	-$1	10-13 04:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$228	258	+258	Down	+$30	09-18 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$225	230	+230	Up	+$5	09-18 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:55 UTC	1	$145	333	+333	Down	-$145	09-21 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:00 UTC	1	$108	270	+270	Down	-$108	09-19 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:05 UTC	1	$105	586	+586	Down	-$105	09-21 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$104	121	+121	Down	+$17	09-18 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 22:50 UTC	1	$98	787	+787	Up	-$98	09-21 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$98	126	+126	Down	+$28	09-19 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$93	232	+232	Down	-$93	09-19 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$83	104	+104	Up	+$21	09-19 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$80	82	+82	Up	+$2	09-18 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$80	82	+82	Up	+$2	09-18 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$80	83	+83	Up	+$3	09-18 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$80	83	+83	Up	+$3	09-18 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$80	83	+83	Up	+$3	09-18 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$80	82	+82	Down	+$2	09-18 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$79	84	+84	Up	+$5	09-18 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$79	92	+92	Down	+$13	09-18 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$79	85	+85	Down	+$6	09-18 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$79	99	+99	Down	+$20	09-18 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$79	105	+105	Up	+$26	09-18 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$79	104	+104	Down	-$79	09-18 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$79	116	+116	Down	+$37	09-18 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$78	110	+110	Up	+$32	09-18 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$78	115	+115	Up	+$37	09-18 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$75	108	+108	Up	+$33	09-18 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$74	76	+76	Up	+$2	09-18 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:20 UTC	1	$74	175	+175	Down	+$102	09-21 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$73	98	+98	Up	-$73	09-18 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$72	94	+94	Up	+$23	09-18 16:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 18:05:27	Will Josh Jacobs have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6087b7…
10-21 16:44:15	Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xf0f052…
10-21 01:10:26	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x40e5b6…
10-20 13:49:27	Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xf41065…
10-17 05:30:32	Will Ethan Belchetz win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x48f632…
10-17 04:10:47	will nate morris be the republican nominee for kentucky governor	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x700e27…
10-17 00:33:06	Will the Nebraska Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0xb7219d…
10-17 00:32:29	ilhan omar denaturalization case filed by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0xb355ee…
10-16 23:44:44	will joel coen be nominated for best director at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x28227e…
10-16 22:20:59	will cristiano ronaldo attend the 2026 ballon d or ceremony 20261016121846566	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x0073ec…
10-16 12:40:19	husted flips brown for ohio senate by november 2	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x9feac9…
10-16 00:35:57	Will Ousmane Dembélé score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x838b11…
10-15 22:58:10	Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x700208…
10-15 22:12:38	ilhan omar denaturalization case filed by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x5d255a…
10-15 21:39:03	Will Charles Melton be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x315516…
10-15 20:18:18	Will the Nebraska Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xf18f79…
10-15 17:15:01	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x0cfd6c…
10-15 15:35:04	Will Peyz win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xb1a3e6…
10-15 15:20:49	Will Peyz win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x1978e4…
10-15 13:15:56	Will Charles Melton be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xa8d5e2…
10-15 12:35:14	Will Tom Holland be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x884ef0…
10-15 08:31:44	Will James Redgrave win the next Latrobe mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xf773f8…
10-15 06:37:43	Will Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x156678…
10-15 05:23:40	will houthis target pakistan by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x4f9d39…
10-15 00:01:01	will cnn fly with trump by october 15	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x4c3615…
10-14 20:50:43	Will Real Madrid finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x4428ff…
10-14 19:31:13	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xb176da…
10-14 19:16:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by november 30	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xc210ea…
10-14 13:40:23	will godzilla minus zero score at least 98 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xfd4879…
10-14 12:53:48	klitschko out as kyiv mayor by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x987471…
10-14 12:31:17	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xf1f63b…
10-14 11:54:14	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xaeef8e…
10-14 09:29:14	will microsoft msft q1 total capital expenditures be above 20261008120059000 68b	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xf3767f…
10-14 07:31:58	klitschko out as kyiv mayor by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x0198d1…
10-14 07:10:29	klitschko out as kyiv mayor by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xc471c4…
10-14 06:53:07	klitschko out as kyiv mayor by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0xb4c6cb…
10-14 06:53:07	klitschko out as kyiv mayor by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x97c354…
10-14 01:48:58	Will Democrats win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Republicans win New Hampshire?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xed2ddd…
10-14 00:43:31	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x20221e…
10-14 00:33:51	Will Geno Smith finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x5edc9e…
10-14 00:22:03	will microsoft msft q1 total capital expenditures be above 20261008120059000 68b	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xed43c6…
10-13 23:51:49	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x41170a…
10-13 21:18:19	Will Ousmane Dembélé score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x5e703c…
10-13 20:55:30	Will Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xb8c946…
10-13 20:01:24	kimberly guilfoyle federally charged by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0xb4a06f…
10-13 20:01:07	kimberly guilfoyle federally charged by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xec5eed…
10-13 19:15:07	ilhan omar arrested by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x99550b…
10-13 18:57:40	kimberly guilfoyle federally charged by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x07d44a…
10-13 17:44:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by november 30	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x49302e…
10-13 16:21:46	katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xc88fe0…
10-13 16:07:57	Will Boris Rhein be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xa484b8…
10-13 15:52:22	katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x31ba70…
10-13 15:35:38	Will Democrats win the Ohio Senate seat, and Republicans win Iowa and Maine?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xdb2500…
10-13 14:59:19	turkey military action against yemen by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x677b9f…
10-13 14:43:05	Will Boris Rhein be the next President of Germany?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xf5bb23…
10-13 14:38:43	Will James Redgrave win the next Latrobe mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf11187…
10-13 14:33:23	Will Boris Rhein be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x446000…
10-13 14:14:38	Will Democrats win the Ohio Senate seat, and Republicans win Iowa and Maine?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x11f093…
10-13 12:10:26	Will Real Madrid finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x60b57d…
10-13 11:58:07	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x7a46b6…
10-13 06:25:07	will houthis target pakistan by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xb96423…
10-13 05:14:50	will godzilla minus zero score at least 98 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x54c4a3…
10-13 04:31:56	turkey military action against yemen by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xfaa19e…
10-13 04:30:39	turkey military action against yemen by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2e52e6…
10-13 01:56:36	ilhan omar federally charged by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x6664ae…
10-12 23:22:56	ilhan omar arrested by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xde4f04…
10-12 18:17:15	ilhan omar federally charged by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x64198b…
10-12 14:00:45	Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xf52693…
10-12 13:49:35	Will Democrats win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Republicans win New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x300604…
10-12 13:18:29	Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xbc3707…
10-12 05:58:09	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x772726…
10-12 05:30:20	Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x098180…
10-12 02:35:06	Will Arch Manning be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x948d14…
10-12 02:21:06	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x2463ca…
10-11 22:45:09	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x936d90…
10-11 21:27:25	Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x931b9d…
10-11 19:06:37	Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x231f38…
10-11 19:06:37	Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x1afd15…
10-11 15:09:16	Will Arkansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x141f01…
10-11 15:00:48	Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x1a798f…
10-11 12:50:28	Will Arkansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x434593…
10-11 12:22:25	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x4c0514…
10-11 00:39:13	Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x2bd7a1…
10-11 00:00:58	Will Legalise Cannabis win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xbd9f5d…
10-10 22:51:16	Will Arch Manning be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x4b17b0…
10-10 22:29:43	Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0xe872da…
10-10 22:29:43	Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0x17b3dd…
10-10 15:46:27	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x8dc429…
10-10 15:46:27	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x174f0a…
10-10 13:23:07	Will Legalise Cannabis win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x43fb14…
10-10 08:51:13	Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x191a86…
10-10 07:04:21	Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x4d9361…
10-10 06:37:57	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xd4e4d5…
10-10 06:31:46	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xfd659f…
10-10 03:38:26	Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xe3986b…
10-10 01:58:45	Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe112f5…
10-09 16:17:39	Will October 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x6b73b5…
10-09 11:53:39	Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x86dbe5…
10-09 09:44:48	Will Waymo launch in Chicago, IL by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x26fefa…
10-09 07:59:58	Will Louise Bloomfield win the next Hobart mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x3b85a4…